Thursday, February 11, 2016

Republican New Hampshire Primary polling was off on average by 14%

Final New Hampshire result v Real Clear Politics poll average:

Trump 35. 3 v 31.2, underestimated 11.6%
Kasich 15.8 v 13.5, underestimated 14.6%
Cruz 11.7 v 11.8, overestimated 0.9%
Bush 11.0 v 11.5, overestimated 4.5%
Rubio 10.6 v 14.0, overestimated 32.1%
Christie 7.4 v 5.8, underestimated 21.6%

Average miss: 14.2%


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