Saturday, October 7, 2023
Friday, December 30, 2022
US COVID-19 vaccination fell off a cliff in 2022, down 90% from 2021, while confirmed deaths fell by 44% overall
Just 24.3 million received at least one dose in 2022 through Dec 27.
244.06 million had received at least one dose through 12/31/21.
Per Our World In Data, here.
About 19 million in 2022 received what amounts to the two-dose protocol.
Confirmed deaths in 2022 fell to about 264k from 475k in 2021 at the same time that vaccination fell off the cliff (724 deaths per day vs. 1301 deaths per day).
And in the second half of 2022 about only 70k have died (roughly 385 per day vs. 1066 per day in the first half of 2022). That's still 3.85 times worse than for an average influenza year, but that's a win in my book at this stage of the game.
Wednesday, December 21, 2022
The good news is COVID-19 deaths per million were 4-5x worse a year ago than they are now in the US
Deaths per million stabilized 8 months ago at the current level and haven't really budged since then.
Those who predicted an endemic situation developing appear to have been right.
1.2 deaths per million presently represents about 398 deaths per day at current population, or about 11.9k dying per month since mid-April.
Actual cumulative deaths over the period have averaged about 12.25k per month, or 98k.
If that rate persists like this for a full year we'll get something like 147k deaths, which would then still be 4x worse than the average influenza deaths year.
92% of COVID-19 deaths in California continue to be among those 50 and older, and 72% are among those 65 and older.
That's the bad news.
Seems like an unacceptable new normal to me.
Concentrating efforts on vaccinating people younger than 50 seems pointless and highly inappropriate for the situation.
Wednesday, December 14, 2022
Wednesday, December 7, 2022
Tuesday, November 29, 2022
Monday, November 28, 2022
Life insurance payouts soared past $100 billion in 2021 as pandemic took over 800,000 total US lives by year end
More.
Sunday, November 27, 2022
An unappreciated factor in the relatively poor Republican performance in Election 2022 is the death of many of their voters due to the pandemic
Older voters skew Republican, and COVID-19 victims skew overwhelmingly older.
A 3- to 4-point Republican advantage among a million deaths of older Americans is up to 40,000 voters nationwide who didn't vote in the election, which doesn't seem like much until you consider that 15 US House races were won by margins of 50% and a fraction.
Republicans won 6 of those races, with one additional race undecided with the Republican leading by just 600 votes.
But Democrats won 8 of those races, and each one by approximately 1,300 to 7,000 votes versus all competitors. In four of those races, with Republican opponents only, the Democrats won by just 1,300 to 3,000 votes.
Friday, November 25, 2022
WaPo: We can no longer say this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated
For the first time, a majority of Americans dying from the coronavirus received at least the primary series of the vaccine.
Fifty-eight percent of coronavirus deaths in August were people who were vaccinated or boosted, according to an analysis conducted for The Health 202 by Cynthia Cox, vice president at the Kaiser Family Foundation.
It’s a continuation of a troubling trend that has emerged over the past year. As vaccination rates have increased and new variants appeared, the share of deaths of people who were vaccinated has been steadily rising.
In September 2021, vaccinated people made up just 23 percent of coronavirus fatalities. In January and February this year, it was up to 42 percent, per our colleagues Fenit Nirappil and Dan Keating.
“We can no longer say this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated,” Cox told The Health 202.
Being unvaccinated is still a major risk factor for dying from covid-19. But efficacy wanes over time, and an analysis out last week from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention highlights the need to get regular booster shots to keep one’s risk of death from the coronavirus low, especially for the elderly. ...
Around 35 million people have received the updated boosters that became available to people 12 and over in September and to children as young as 5 last month. That’s a little over 10 percent of the U.S. population, amid concern that cooler weather will bring a surge of covid cases as people move indoors and respiratory infections spread.
More.
The progress of the pandemic has demonstrated the following facts.
There has been an annual increase in the percentage of the population infected every year, from 6% in 2020 to 10.5% in 2021 to 13.1% in 2022 to date, per Our World in Data and the US Census Population Clock.
Clearly the introduction of vaccines from early 2021 has not stopped the spread, and spread is probably a lot worse than the 2022 data suggest because of a complete breakdown in the testing regime.
On the other hand, while the percentage of the population which died from the pandemic surged by 35% in 2021 from 0.106% in 2020 to 0.143% in 2021, 2022 to date has marked a huge reversal with just 0.076% dead. That's down 47% from 2021 and 28% from 2020.
Why is that?
Vaccine advocates will credit the vaccines, yet vaccine uptake in the United States is at record lows throughout 2022. Since we know that vaccine protection wears out in mere months and requires repeated boosters, hence the continued drumbeat to get vaccinated, the dramatic decline in deaths cannot be ascribed to the low-uptake environment, especially with the transition from a pandemic of the unvaccinated to a pandemic of the vaccinated admitted publicly by the likes of Kaiser and WaPo.
There could be any number of other reasons for the decline in deaths which when combined account for the improved death numbers. These include fewer vulnerable people, more widespread natural immunity, and improved clinical practice and treatment, especially with drugs such as Paxlovid.
But perhaps the most important consideration continues to be virus mutation, which explains both the higher percentage of infections and the lower percentage of deaths.
The virus has continued to mutate to spread, at the expense of relative lethality.
That's what 254k record low deaths in 2022 with 43.6m record high cases tells you.
Monday, November 7, 2022
Friday, November 4, 2022
The people allied with those who wanted to put you in jail for vaccine skepticism now want fOrGiVeNeSs and AmNeStY
LET’S DECLARE A PANDEMIC AMNESTY
We have to put these fights aside and declare a pandemic amnesty. ... we need to learn from our mistakes and then let them go. We need to forgive the attacks . . ..
Get bent, lady economist from Brown University.
Despite FDA approval of mRNA COVID vaccines, you still can't sue the pharmaceutical companies, and the only government program adjudicating cases is hopelessly overwhelmed
This story is outrageous.
The bastards.
You are already completely out of luck if you received a jab more than one year ago and haven't filed a claim for an injury.
Some excerpts, but make sure to read the whole thing.
Reuters (June 16, 2022):
Part of the Health Resources and Services Administration, the CICP was designed to be “the payer of last resort” for people who suffered injuries from treatments or “countermeasures” related to “a declared pandemic, epidemic or security threat” like Ebola or anthrax. Payouts are limited to unreimbursed medical expenses and up to $50,000 a year in lost wages, with no provisions for pain and suffering or legal fees. A death benefit of $370,376 is also available.
The CICP is the only option under current law for people seeking damages for COVID-19 vaccine-related injuries.
Per a declaration under the Public Readiness and Emergency Preparedness Act, the federal government indemnified the vaccine makers, which are not party to CICP proceedings. A Pfizer spokesman declined comment. Media representatives from Moderna and Johnson & Johnson did not respond to requests for comment.
Until March 2020, the CICP attracted little attention, deciding fewer than 500 cases in its entire history. It’s now drowning in a 16-fold spike in claims, with more than 5,400 COVID-19 vaccine injury cases pending. Another 2,990 allege injuries or death from other COVID-19 countermeasures, such as being placed on a ventilator. ... At the current rate of adjudication – 18 cases a month, by my calculation – it will take 38 years to get through the backlog. That’s not much help for claimants who are unable to work or pay rent right now. ...
Without exception, the CICP requires claims to be filed within one year of vaccination.
Friday, October 14, 2022
Monday, October 3, 2022
US COVID-19 Big Picture Through 9/30/22
Deaths per day through September 2022 are down from 896 through August to 846 through September.
Cases per day through September 2022 are down from 163,178 through August to 151,878 through September.
Drilling down, there were 441 deaths per day in September vs. 511 deaths per day in August. May, June, and July figures were all in the 300s.
Cases really fell off. There were 3.222 million new cases in August vs. 1.810 million in September, portending fewer deaths going forward.
The CDC ranked COVID-19 the 3rd leading cause of death in 2020:
~1,909 people per day died of heart disease in 2020;
~1,650 died of cancer everyday in 2020;
~1,146 died of COVID-19 everyday in 2020 measured from Feb 29 when the first death was announced.
The New York Times data I use shows about 4,742 fewer total deaths in 2020 than the CDC does.
But any which way you measure it, even over 365 days in 2020, 2021 deaths per day were much higher than in 2020 and deaths per day now in 2022 at 846 to date are much lower than in either of the previous two years.
Saturday, October 1, 2022
Tuesday, September 13, 2022
Thursday, September 1, 2022
The legacy of unionized, government teachers who refused to show up because of COVID-19: Students in 2022 are performing at a level last seen two decades ago
In math, the average score for 9-year-old students fell 7 percentage points between 2020 and 2022, according to the study. The average reading score fell 5 points. . . . Although it marks a sharp drop since 2020, the average reading score was 7 points higher than it was in 1971, and the average math score was 15 points higher than in 1978, the study found.
More.
Now just in time for the election lying Democrats, but I repeat myself, want you to think that they and their allies opposed school closings when they were attacking Republicans for wanting them open.
US COVID-19 deaths per day in August 2022 are up 37% compared with the May-Jul average of 373
Deaths per day monthly in 2022:
Aug 2022: 511
Jul 2022: 383
Jun 2022: 363
May 2022: 373
Apr 2022: 426
Mar 2022: 980
Feb 2022: 2,247
Jan 2022: 1,987
Deaths
per day annually still fell through August, but not by much, from 953 through July:
2020: 1,131
2021: 1,310
2022 through 8/31: 896
Monday, August 29, 2022
LOL, fear-mongering spending lunatic at The Daily Beast gets nothing right about Nigeria, which has Africa's largest economy and a COVID-19 death record 55 TIMES better than the world's, and: "A few trillion in U.S. government spending isn't a lot of money"
Gee, and Nigeria is only 14% jabbed . . . after all this time.
The U.S. is COVAX’s biggest donor, but not its most generous. Both Germany and Japan have donated a greater share of their gross domestic product. And another big injection of American money looks unlikely as Republicans pull tight the purse strings.
That means fewer vaccines for poorer countries as the pandemic grinds toward its fourth year and vaccination rates in the poorest countries remain stubbornly low—14 percent in Nigeria, for example, compared to the global rate of 63 percent. Starving COVAX “will only enhance global inequities,” Gostin said. ... A few trillion in U.S. government spending, spread out over years, arguably isn’t a lot of money . . ..
More.