Showing posts with label VIPSX. Show all posts
Showing posts with label VIPSX. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 23, 2024

As stock indexes make new all time highs, it's still a 7% world, not a 16% world

The current $SPX world, from Aug 2000 (market peak) to Dec 2023, dividends reinvested, average per annum return: 7.019% nominal.

The previous world of similar length, Apr 1977 to Aug 2000: 16.246% nominal.

Remember that no one even dates the bull market conditions of the past starting from 1977. The Reagan bull began in the summer of 1982. But even from 1977, it was a completely different, better world for investors.

The rate of nominal return per annum was 2.31 times better in that world.

Investing $100 per month in the previous world produced over $258k. Investing $100 per month in the current world has produced only $103k.

The following Vanguard mutual funds have inception dates in the year 2000. They reflect the same reality.

I show nominal average annual return since inception for each fund in 2000 through 12/31/23, per Vanguard.

Performance in red beats average SPX nominal 7.019% since 2000, but none by much. Remember that through 12/31/23 stocks generally were only recently buoyed by exceptional returns, after a down year last year. $VTSAX, the total stock market index, was up a whopping 26.01% in 2023.

VIGAX 8.21 Growth Index
VFIAX 7.62  500 Index
VTSAX 7.90  Total Stock Market Index
VEXAX 8.22  Extended Market Index
VSGIX 8.93  Small Cap Growth Index Inst.
VESIX 4.47  European Stock Index Inst.
VSMAX 9.01 Small Cap Index
VBAIX 6.70  Balanced Index Inst.
VBIAX 6.57 Balanced Index
VPKIX 3.40  Pacific Stock Index Inst.
VVIAX 7.18 Value Index
VEMIX 6.37 Emerging Markets Stock Index Inst.
VIPSX 4.49  Inflation Protected Securities
 
These are but a shadow of the former things which obtained in the previous world.

Sunday, September 17, 2023

Let's check in on inflation protected securities

 VIPSX, nominal return

Inception 6/29/2000 to August 31, 2023: 4.43% per annum

 

SPX, average nominal return, dividends fully reinvested

June 2000 through August 2023: 6.90% per annum (4.93% without dividend reinvestment)

 

Saturday, January 4, 2014

Vanguard's Worst Performing Bond Funds In 2013

Long Term Treasury Fund, VUSTX:                          -13.03%
Long Term Government Index Fund, VLGSX:     -12.74%
Long Term Bond Index Fund, VBLTX:                       -  9.13%
Inflation Protected Securities Fund, VIPSX:          -  8.92%
Long Term Corporate Bond Index Fund, VLTCX: -  6.86%
Long Term Investment Grade Fund, VWESX:       -  5.87%

And as badly as they have performed, I don't see a net asset value for any fund which represents a bargain: they all still look too expensive to me. 

Thursday, June 30, 2011

Inflation Analyst Says TIPS Are Overpriced

Seen here:

In terms of owning inflation protected securities (TIPS), we find that at current price levels they offer absolutely NO protection against further increases in the US inflation rate. Rather, we believe that you should (at this point) own real assets such as commodities for protection or small cap stocks, which have proven to be a decent hedge against inflation historically.

Even after yesterday's pullback to $13.44, VIPSX is trading near ten year highs.