Gold and silver do not believe today's happy talk about oil

 

Silver ended the day down 8.63% on a year-to-date basis.

Gold ended the day down 1.33% on a year-to-date basis. 

Both silver and gold have lost their 2025 mojo year to date because oil, up 68% so far in 2026, is where it's at, Jack

 

Gold and silver are still up 5+% year to date

 SPX +10.52% ytd

WTI +53.11% ytd

 

Meanwhile in April: 

Hamburger +18.9% yoy

Coffee +29.0% yoy

Unleaded regular gasoline +28.0% yoy

Electricity +7.2% yoy

Natural gas +3.1% yoy

[Trump 9/21/2024: "We will cut your energy prices in half. Mark it down . . . within 12 months . . ."] 

Milk +1.5% yoy

Whole Chicken -1.6% yoy 

Eggs -56.1% yoy

Tomatoes +50.0% yoy

 

And: 

30-year mortgage average monthly, above 6% since August 2022

Full time jobs above 50% of population just 6 of the last 25 quarters, all under Joe Biden

 

Silver is still up 6.14% year to date, gold 5.09% even as energy prices march higher

 But SPX is up 8.02% ytd.

WTI is up 84.01% ytd.

VGENX is up 20.88% ytd.

 

Investment grade corporate securities:  

VWESX is down 1.54% ytd.

VFICX is down 0.65% ytd.

VFSTX is up 0.27% ytd.

 

US Treasury securities:

VUSUX is down 2.52% ytd. 

VFIUX is down 1.05% ytd.

VFIRX is up 0.16% ytd. 

 

Inflation:

CPI (CPIAUCSL) is up 3.77% year over year in April.

PCE (PCEPI) is up 3.49% yoy in March. 

 

Nominal Broad Dollar Index:

April: 119.03

1Q2026: 119.01

2025: 122.75

5Y: 119.94 

 

GDP, Compound Annual Growth Rate

5Y: 7.031% nominal, 2.775% real 

 

 

Silver is up 12.24% ytd, gold is up 9.15% ytd

 SPX: +7.88% ytd

WTI:  +66.2% ytd

Gold is up 6.82% year to date, silver is up 5.29%

 SPX is up 5.42% ytd

WTI is up about 78% ytd 

Year to date gold and silver are beating the S&P 500

 

Gold is up 11.82% ytd, silver 12.85%

 

Gold is up 9.9323% YTD, silver 5.9767%

Silver and gold had a good week: 

Silver: $76.60 USD +$4.04 USD +5.57% 1W

Gold: $4,764.80 USD +$112.50 USD +2.42% 1W.

Silver was $72.28 on Jan 1, gold was $4,334.30.

Prices are per APMEX, where the 3M and YTD results just happen to be nearly identical as of April 12th, indicating more stability actually Mar 31 to Apr 12.

The war in Iran has been net negative for both gold and silver in the last 30 days, however, as oil prices rose in a volatile manner, which is where all the betting action went. Gold was down over 7% and silver over 10% in the last 30 days.

The blockade of Iran is likely to cause oil prices to spike much more this week, and precious metals to fade, but you never know from day to day with you know who in charge.

Stackers of precious metals will view future price drops as buying opportunities.

Judas' silver is up 2% year to date, gold is up 8%

 Silver:  $73.77 USD +$1.49 USD +2.06% YTD

Gold:  $4,693.90 USD +$359.60 USD +8.3% YTD  

Silver is down 2.43% ytd per apmex, gold is up 4.04%

Silver:  $70.52 USD - ($1.76) USD -2.43% YTD

Gold:  $4,509.40 USD $175.10 USD 4.04% YTD
 

Year to date silver is down 5% and gold is up almost 4%

 

Gold ends the week up 16.20% year to date, silver 12.53%

 

Gold is up 19.73% ytd, silver up 17.94%

 

Gold finished the week up 22.15% year to date, silver 30.77%

 

Gold ended the week last week up 18.19% year to date, silver up 18.07%

 

Gold up 16.75% ytd, silver up 8.11%

 

Silver and gold remain up year-to-date