Trump is down to 50.1% in the popular vote

 People say it doesn't matter.

It doesn't, except psychologically, especially to Democrats who want to eliminate the Electoral College.

Having an Electoral College landslide without winning a clear majority in the popular vote would only fuel their long-standing rhetoric that it is unfair.

Election results for the popular vote almost always trend narrower as now, and they indicate in this election the same thing the very narrow GOP House win indicates:

This was not a red wave.

The country remains very much divided. And Democrats are wrong to be so dispirited and divided. 

Harris/Walz 48.1% (226) Trump/Vance 50.1% (312)

There were some pretty sharp cookies out there who actually nailed the Electoral College outcome

 Here are just two I found:

 

I predicted Trump 316-222, it turned out Trump 312-226

My gut told me Minnesota for Trump was wrong, but I went with it based on what turned out to be a poll reporting error. And I couldn't believe the polling in Nevada which favored Trump, but that turned out to be right.

In the end I missed it by that much.

Hear me now and believe me later

Here's my forecast. Harris by 1 in NV, by 3 in NH. Trump by 2 in AZ and NC, by 1 in MN WI MI PA and GA.

 

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups Map hands Wisconsin back to Harris, Trump winning Electoral College 287-251

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups Map shifts Michigan back to Harris, Trump winning Electoral College 297-241

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups Map shifts Wisconsin to GOP, Trump winning Electoral College 312-226

 

Real Clear Politics' No Toss-Ups Map shifts Nevada to GOP, Trump winning Electoral College 302-236

 

Real Clear Politics shifts Michigan to Trump, now winning Electoral College 296-242

 

Looks like Tim Walz has gotten a little out ahead of Kamala Harris lol

 

Real Clear shifts Pennsylvania back to Trump, winning Electoral College 281-257

 

I'm going to have to get a neck brace to prevent the whiplash: PA shifts back to Dem, Harris winning Electoral College 276-262

 

Pennsylvania shifts back to GOP, Trump-Vance again winning Electoral College 281-257

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups map shifts PA back to Harris, now winning Electoral College 276-262

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups map shifts back to Trump winning, now 281-257 without Nevada in Electoral College

Pennsylvania and Georgia shift back into the Trump column.

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups map flips Georgia and Nevada to Harris, Pennsylvania back to Trump with Harris winning the Electoral College 273-265

 

Real Clear Politics' No Toss Ups map tips PA to Harris for the win over Trump 270-268

 

Real Clear Politics' No Toss-Ups Map moves AZ back to Trump, Trump Electoral College lead up: 287-251

Here.

Real Clear Politics' No Toss-Ups Map moves AZ to Harris, Trump Electoral College lead shrinks again: 276-262

 Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona have all shifted to DEM in the polling averages since Biden endorsed Harris on July 21st.

Here.

Since Biden dropped out July 21 and endorsed Harris, Virginia, Michigan, and Wisconsin have flipped to Harris in the Real Clear Politics No-Toss-Ups map

 The Trump Electoral College lead is down to 287 v. Harris 251.

Here.