Gold surged 64% in 2025, silver 147%, dwarfing more traditional investments

... [Gold] Bullion surged 64% in 2025, its biggest annual gain since 1979, driven by Fed rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, strong central bank buying, and rising ETF holdings. ...

Spot silver advanced 4.6% to $74.52 per ounce, after hitting an all-time high of $83.62 on Monday, while platinum jumped 4.7% at $2,150.46 per ounce, after rising to an all-time high of $2,478.50 on Monday.

Both metals recorded their best year ever, with silver leading by posting 147% annual gains, driven by its designation as a critical U.S. mineral, supply shortages and low inventories amid rising industrial and investment demand. ...

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Meanwhile in more traditional investments in 2025:

VMMSX +35.66% emerging markets fund

VTIAX +32.18% total international stock index fund

VGENX +20.62 energy fund 

VFIAX +17.83 Vanguard 500 index fund

VGHCX +17.31 healthcare fund

VTSAX +17.12% total stock market index fund

VFICX +9.53% intermediate term investment grade bond fund

VWESX +7.18% long term investment grade bond fund

VBTLX +7.15% total bond index fund admiral

VBMFX +7.03% total bond index fund investor

VFSTX +6.73% short term investment grade bond fund

VMRXX +4.23% money market fund

VGSLX +3.19 real estate fund.

As stock indexes make new all time highs, it's still a 7% world, not a 16% world

The current $SPX world, from Aug 2000 (market peak) to Dec 2023, dividends reinvested, average per annum return: 7.019% nominal.

The previous world of similar length, Apr 1977 to Aug 2000: 16.246% nominal.

Remember that no one even dates the bull market conditions of the past starting from 1977. The Reagan bull began in the summer of 1982. But even from 1977, it was a completely different, better world for investors.

The rate of nominal return per annum was 2.31 times better in that world.

Investing $100 per month in the previous world produced over $258k. Investing $100 per month in the current world has produced only $103k.

The following Vanguard mutual funds have inception dates in the year 2000. They reflect the same reality.

I show nominal average annual return since inception for each fund in 2000 through 12/31/23, per Vanguard.

Performance in red beats average SPX nominal 7.019% since 2000, but none by much. Remember that through 12/31/23 stocks generally were only recently buoyed by exceptional returns, after a down year last year. $VTSAX, the total stock market index, was up a whopping 26.01% in 2023.

VIGAX 8.21 Growth Index

VFIAX 7.62  500 Index

VTSAX 7.90  Total Stock Market Index

VEXAX 8.22  Extended Market Index

VSGIX 8.93  Small Cap Growth Index Inst.

VESIX 4.47  European Stock Index Inst.

VSMAX 9.01 Small Cap Index

VBAIX 6.70  Balanced Index Inst.

VBIAX 6.57 Balanced Index

VPKIX 3.40  Pacific Stock Index Inst.

VVIAX 7.18 Value Index

VEMIX 6.37 Emerging Markets Stock Index Inst.

VIPSX 4.49  Inflation Protected Securities

 

These are but a shadow of the former things which obtained in the previous world.

So that's why we can't afford it

 Wealthiest 10% own 93% of stock market...

The market capitalization of the S&P 500 on Dec 29, 2023 was about $42 trillion, each point of the index worth about $8.80535 billion.

8.80535 billion x 4,769.83 SPX 12/29/23  = 42,000 billion. 

One share of VFIAX on 12/29 cost $439.99. 

Price on 3/9/2009 was $62.66.