MA78A: The civilian employment level was 59.3% of population in Jan 2026, which was the average level first achieved way back in 1978 lol

The White House doesn't have a clue.

 

MA88A: Nonfarm payrolls in Jan 2026 were 57.6% of population, a level first hit in America in . . . Dec 1988 lol

 

Federal government employment in Jan 2026 is down 324k since Trump took over, with local government employment up 140k and state government employment down 72k

  That's a net hit to government jobs at all levels of 256k in Trump's first year.

The federal government last averaged 2.69 million employees in 1966. The Jan 2026 level is 2.686 million. 

One year after DOGE cuts, former federal workers find new roles

 

 

Manufacturing jobs in Jan 2026 remain down 83k since Trump took over

 

The unemployment rate in Jan 2026 remains higher than when Trump took over

 

The unemployment level is higher in Jan 2026 than when il Trumpo Incompetento took over lol

 

Foreign born employment recovers by 565k in Jan 2026 under incompetent anti-immigration president lol

 

Wei Tu Hai: Trump's Dumb Ass Unemployment Rate in Jan 2026 ticked down slightly to 37.8%, 103.951 million still eating but not working

 

I'm so old I remember when Jan 2026 full time employment at 48.79% of population was Great Recession level bad

 That whole China joining the WTO and globalization thingy has really worked out great for the American middle class amirite?

The winter trend since Jan 2023 has been DOWN:

Jan 2023: 49.32%

Jan 2024: 49.16%

Feb 2025: 48.88%

Jan 2026: 48.79%. 

 

 

 

The bond market has voted Nay Nay on the Fed's interest rate cuts which started in September 2024, but I repeat myself

 Worries about softening employment have been entirely misplaced. Jobless claims have been FLAT for four consecutive years.

The Fed was wrong about jobs, just like it was wrong about inflation being transitory.

 

Jobless claims typically spike in early January and look fairly typical to end the month

 

weekly

monthly

We had a lousy 4-day federal government shutdown and the Feds now need until Feb 11 to report jobs, but private payrolls came out today with a pathetic +22k

Just skipping along the surface of a lake like a stone headed under.

 

Hey Look! Labor's Share of Business Income has never been LOWER than under our lord and saviour, king and high muckety muck, Uniparty Poopulist President Donald J. Trump

 The Golden Age . . . for business, not for you.

 3Q2025, updated Jan 8, 2026:

Federal employment in Dec 2025 is about what it was in 2014 under Obama, despite 277,000 employees sent packing since January 2025

 Trump has cut the federal workforce by about 9.2%, but federal employment has actually grown a little since October. Year over year in December federal employment is down 274,000.

Year over year in December local government employment in the United States has grown by 170,000, while state government employment nationwide is down 45,000. 

The three categories yield a net cut in government employment at all levels nationwide year over year of 149,000.

 

 

Donald Trump has so far done nothing to boost manufacturing employment, which is down 208,000 since Feb 2023 through Dec 2025

Trump's peak average was 12.779 million manufacturing employees in 2019.

We're at 12.732 million on average in 2025.

The 2023 average was 12.873 million, the post-Great Recession peak.

 

The unemployment LEVEL has come down since the summer, but is still higher in Dec 2025 than it was when Trump was elected in November 2024, by 295,000

 

Foreign born employment ROSE in December 2025, by 310,000

 

More people than ever are NOT in the labor force under Donald Trump in Dec 2025, 104.094 million, worse than COVID!, and 37.57% on average in 2025 were eating but not working

The Rush Limbaugh-Donald Trump Dumb Ass Unemployment Rate Dec 2025 spiked to 37.87%

The unemployment rate in 2025 averaged 4.26% for 11 months of data even as initial claims for unemployment averaged an historically low, if not the lowest, 224k per week

The low but rising unemployment rate on a monthly basis since 2023 seems out of whack with a relatively flat initial claims average on an annual basis since 2021.

 

Just 49.02% had a full time job in December 2025

 The October data remains missing, so the average for 11 months of 2025 comes in at 49.3%, down from 49.65% in 2024.

Full time has been trending lower on a monthly basis since the recent period peak in Jun 2023 at 50.92%