Showing posts with label Emerson College Polling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Emerson College Polling. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 26, 2024

Kamala Harris is the 2028 Democrat frontrunner lol

 



























Just a reminder that way back in February Emerson College Polling showed Democrats had no options other than Joe Biden or Kamala Harris, with Trump beating Joe by one point and Harris by three

 


 

 The Nancy Pelosi/Barack Obama/Jane Fonda-Rob Reiner cabal which ousted Joe Biden deserves all the scorn it has received, and more.

In February 2024, when 2023 articles from this cabal about dumping Kamala Harris were in the rearview mirror, Harris was under-performing Biden v Trump by just one point, and Harris v Trump was doing 7 points better than Gavin Newsom v Trump and 10 points better than Gretchen Whitmer v Trump. There was no alternative to Joe but Kamala.

Emerson here.

 


 

And Joe always knew that, which is why he immediately endorsed Harris on the Sunday of the July coup. He knew she was weak, but he knew her Democrat competition was weaker.

In the end Trump's win over Harris was by only 1.61 points, half what Emerson had predicted, and almost the one point by which Emerson had predicted Trump would beat Biden, the stronger candidate.

Democrats should never have dumped Joe Biden.

They panicked, and the panic lost them The White House. Had they rallied around their president, he might have survived. Instead they lost their nerve and abandoned him to the predator.

Democrats have too many herd followers, not enough leaders. And had Harris truly been a leader, she would have rallied the troops to her president, and she did not. And the pressure from the herd is also what made Joe Biden drop out, signaling his weakness.

Donald Trump, on the other hand, got bloodied by a gunman but defiantly got up and continued to fight, just as he's done all along, rallying his followers by himself to himself, the simple elemental difference between winning and losing.

 


 

Wednesday, October 30, 2024

The Wall Street Journal: Trump is leading Harris among whites by 22 points, among seniors by 8 points

The late swing among older and white voters jumps out in the Emerson College poll. On Aug. 15, less than a month after she became the Democratic nominee, Ms. Harris trailed Mr. Trump by 12 points among white voters and was tied with him among all voters 60 or older. Since then, these voters have fled from Ms. Harris. By Oct. 26, Mr. Trump led by 22 points among whites and 8 points among seniors. ... 
 
Prejudice can’t explain older whites’ recent flight from Ms. Harris, since she was already a black woman in August, when many more of them supported her. ...
 
Losing older whites is politically painful, since they tend to turn out at a high rate. They’re also overrepresented in key states like Wisconsin and Michigan.

Thursday, June 20, 2024

Drudge Newsweek lol as liberal Minnesota joins the battleground states


 

TRUMP'S ABYSMAL POLLING WEEK

So abysmal he's still in the lead lol.

June 2024 State Polls: Trump Maintains Edge over Biden :

New Emerson College Polling/The Hill state polls find former President Donald Trump with a slight edge on President Joe Biden in Arizona (47% to 43%), Georgia (45% to 41%), Wisconsin (47% to 44%) Nevada (46% to 43%),  Pennsylvania (47% to 45%), and Michigan (46% to 45%), while Biden splits with Trump in Minnesota (45% to 45%).

Sunday, June 2, 2024

Emerson College Polling: Trump ahead of Biden in New York among independents by 10 points

 Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted that independents in New York are backing Trump by a significant margin. 

“Independent voters in New York who traditionally vote for Democrats, according to exit polling, have flipped to lean toward Trump by a margin of 10 points, 43% to 33%,” Kimball said in a statement. ...

Last week, the presumptive GOP nominee held his first campaign rally in New York — his birth state — since 2016. 

The South Bronx event, permitted for 3,500 attendees, drew a crowd of between 8,000 and 10,000 people, law enforcement sources told The Post. ...

The  Emerson College poll surveyed 1,000 New York voters between May 28 and 29. It had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

More.

Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Emerson polling shows third party candidates helping Trump, hurting Biden, or making no difference in the perhaps two most libertarian states Michigan and Arizona

In Michigan and Arizona at least, libertarianism is . . . polarizing!

 








Meanwhile, Trump has NO coattails in these states. Democrats are favored to win US Senate races in most of them.

 



Sunday, February 18, 2024

Emerson College national poll for February shows lefties Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer are clearly not options for Democrat voters

 In other hypothetical matchups, Trump leads with 46% against Vice President Kamala Harris’s 43% and California Governor Gavin Newsom’s 36%. Against Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Trump maintains a lead with 45% compared to Whitmer’s 33%, with 22% undecided.

More.

Saturday, September 23, 2023

Green Party candidate Cornel West gives Trump the edge over Biden in latest Emerson National Poll

 


Cornel West has been shaping up all summer long to be the real Operation Chaos candidate for Election 2024 in Emerson’s polling. Biden doesn’t need to worry about RFK Jr unless he, too, goes third party.

From the Emerson College Polling September National Poll here :

In a general election rematch between Trump and Biden, 45% support the former president and the current president respectively. Ten percent are undecided. When Green Party candidate Cornel West is added to the ballot, Trump holds 43% of voter support, Biden 42%, while 4% support West and 11% are undecided.

Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Emerson shows Trump beating Biden by 11-points in Iowa, by 13-points with Cornel West on the ballot

 The poll is here.

34% of Iowa Democrats want someone other than Biden,  16% either Marianne Williamson or RFK Jr.

Monday, August 28, 2023

Emerson College Poll post-Republican debate shows Trump ahead of Biden by 5-points with the Green Party's Cornel West on the ballot

In a hypothetical matchup between Trump and Biden, 46% would vote for Trump and 44% Biden. Ten percent are undecided. With Green Party candidate Cornel West added to the ballot test, 44% support Trump, 39% Biden, 4% West, and 13% are undecided. 

More.

Saturday, August 19, 2023

Emerson August national poll shows Trump beating Biden by 1-point when Green Party candidate Cornel West is also on the ballot


Here:

In a potential 2024 Presidential Election matchup between Biden and Trump, candidates are tied with 44% support each. Twelve percent are undecided. Trump has gained about a point in the head to head matchup from the June Emerson poll.

When Green Party candidate Cornel West is added to the ballot, support for Trump and Biden declines slightly to 42% and 41% respectively, while 5% support West and 13% are undecided.

Tuesday, August 15, 2023

Biden beats Trump in New Hampshire by 7, with Green Party Cornel West on the ballot by 5

In a hypothetical 2024 Presidential matchup between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, Biden leads Trump 48% to 41%, while 7% would vote for someone else, and 4% are undecided. Biden’s seven-point lead in New Hampshire is an increase since March, when he held a four-point lead over Trump. When Green Party candidate Cornel West is included on the ballot, support for Biden decreases to 44%, Trump to 39%, while West receives 5% of voters’ support. Six percent (6%) would vote for someone else, and 7% are undecided.
 

Tuesday, August 8, 2023

Trump beats Biden in Arizona either way, but Cornel West actually cuts into Trump's lead more than Biden's in Emerson poll


 Emerson College Poll here:

In a 2024 presidential general election ballot test between Trump and Biden, 45% support Trump and 43% support Biden. Nine percent support someone else and 4% are undecided. With third party candidate Cornel West listed on the ballot test, 42% support Trump, 41% Biden, 4% West, 6% someone else, and the share of undecided voters increases to 7%.

Monday, August 7, 2023

Forget RFK Jr, the real Operation Chaos candidate for Election 2024 would be making sure the Green Party's Cornel West is on the ballot in swing states


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Emerson College poll in Michigan is showing Cornel West with 4% in a race involving Biden v Trump, putting Trump on top by two points.

In 2020 Trump was short in

Nevada by 2.39% (33,596 votes; black population 282,722)
Arizona by 0.31% (10,457 votes; black population 325,105)
Wisconsin by 0.63% (20,682 votes; black population 367,889)
Michigan by 2.78% (154,181 votes; black population 1.36 million)
Pennsylvania by 1.18% (82,166 votes; black population 1.42 million)
Georgia by 0.23% (11,779 votes; black population 3.32 million).
 
Trump's margin was ahead in
 
North Carolina by 1.34% (74,483 votes; black population 2.218 million)
Florida by 3.35% (371,686 votes; black population 3.381 million).


Emerson poll shows commie Cornel West would bleed enough votes from Biden to give Michigan to Trump


 When Green Party candidate Cornel West is added to the ballot, Trump receives 43%, Biden 41%, West 4%, and 4% support someone else. Seven percent are undecided upon West’s addition to the ballot test.

More.

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

CNN orchestrates woman-hater smear of Bernie on behalf of Pocahonky, then releases poll showing Bernie in the lead

Ass-covering, pure and simple.

In all the polling compiled by Real Clear Politics, Bernie has polled in the lead only one other time, in April 2019 in a tiny Emerson poll, where he was +5.

Previously CNN polling has shown Joe Biden consistently and decisively leading, by an average of +12.6 across eleven polls.

CNN polls have also been consistently tiny surveys of registered voters, not likely voters. A very large likely voter poll recently by Morning Consult shows Biden ahead nationally for the Democrat nomination by +5.



Friday, November 22, 2019

Democrats' impeachment show has increased opposition to it among independents

Emerson national overall: 45% against 43% for right now vs. 44% against 48% for in October.
Emerson Independents: 49% against 34% for right now vs. 39% against 48% for in October.

Marquette Wisconsin: 53% against 40% for right now vs. 51% against 44% for in October. 
Marquette Independents: only 36% for impeachment.

Reported here.