Monday, October 31, 2016
I listen to talk radio pretty much non-stop during the election season, and here in western Michigan Trump actually visited today for the first time in a month but I haven't heard one ad on the radio this week for Trump, let alone one ad on the radio in any other week in the last 30 days.
He's not going to win Michigan that way. Not without the western counties that all went for Ted Cruz. By eschewing the radio waves here Trump shows me he's not serious about winning Michigan. He keeps asking for money, but never seems to spend it on the one thing which could spread the enthusiasm present at his rallies to the older Republican base.
I think Trump will lose Michigan and simply wasted his time coming here today, mistakenly continuing to practice what's been appropriate to the primary strategy when the general election requires something more.
Clinton's Real Clear Politics polling average tonight in Michigan is +6.3.
Posted by jm at 9:49 PM
Wikileaks show CNN's Donna Brazile disclosed debate questions to Hillary, force her to resign effective October 14th
The best thing would be for Democrats to ask her to step down now. It would be the most responsible thing to do, if the nation were more important to them than power. And the American news media — fairly or not firmly identified in the public mind as Mrs. Clinton's political action committee — should begin demanding it.
Oh look, a deer: NY Times' Nicholas Kristof tries to change the subject from Hillary's scandals to poverty
3 TVs and No Food: Growing Up Poor in America-The presidential candidates should be talking about poverty. Here’s why.
OK, let's talk about it.
Poverty under Democrats Obama, Biden, Pelosi, Reid, Hillary and Boltneck is up 23%.
Now back to the nefarious reasons not to vote for Hillary.
Sunday, October 30, 2016
Weiner laptop contains 650,000 e-mails to examine, thousands of which come from or go to Hillary's private server
Hm, if the Weiner's got 'em, then a lot of people got 'em.
Metadata on the laptop suggests there may be thousands of emails sent to or from the private server Clinton used while she was secretary of state.
Posted by jm at 5:13 PM
Saturday, October 29, 2016
Friday, October 28, 2016
Tens of thousands of e-mails belonging to Hillary's top aide Huma Abedin found on her estranged husband's computer
Oops! That'll take a while to sort out. Expect nothing before the second Tuesday in November.
Meanwhile Hillary's more upset the discovery is interfering with her election chances than she is that it happened in the first place. With Hillary Clinton, national security is always secondary to what really matters.
The situation is not unlike 2008 when a black man just came out of nowhere and stole the nomination from her. Somebody call the cops!
A senior law enforcement official said that tens of thousands of emails belonging to Ms. Abedin were backed up on Mr. Weiner’s computer, which the F.B.I. had obtained as part of its investigation into Mr. Weiner. Mr. Comey said in his letter to Congress that he did not know how long it would take to review the emails. Law enforcement officials said they did not know if and how many were duplicates of emails discovered in the earlier investigation.
Flashback to 2006: Senator Hillary Clinton was upset the US didn't rig the Palestine election so that Fatah had won instead of Hamas
From the newly unearthed audio here:
Speaking to the Jewish Press about the January 25, 2006, election for the second Palestinian Legislative Council (the legislature of the Palestinian National Authority), Clinton weighed in about the result, which was a resounding victory for Hamas (74 seats) over the U.S.-preferred Fatah (45 seats).
“I do not think we should have pushed for an election in the Palestinian territories. I think that was a big mistake,” said Sen. Clinton. “And if we were going to push for an election, then we should have made sure that we did something to determine who was going to win.”
Obama's Attorney General Loretta Lynch refuses to answer Congress' written questions about cash payments to Iran
Rod Dreher, popularizer of ideas, accuses Claes Ryn, a bona fide intellectual, of misunderstanding him, and declines to elaborate
Good move, Rod. Run, retreat. Benedict Option!
"I started to undertake a point by point refutation of Ryn’s specious claims, but then realized that it would be pointless."
The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve in June reduced their forecast of 2016 GDP from 2.1-2.3% in March to 1.9-2.0%.
Today's estimate means the average report of GDP in 2016 is now 1.7%.
It'll take a lot more than today's 2.9% to get us up to 2.0% for the year.
Posted by jm at 8:28 AM
Thursday, October 27, 2016
Boston Globe says Trump travels twice the distance Clinton travels, takes fewer days off, but Hillary criticizes Trump for taking time off to dedicate his new hotel
He’s racked up more than 276,000 miles since he officially announced he was running for president on June 16, 2015. She’s tallied 256,000-plus miles since April 12, 2015, when she formally announced her candidacy.
In recent weeks, Trump has traveled considerably more miles — about double the distance Clinton has logged.
Trump has also taken fewer days off from traveling, according to the National Journal data. He’s traveled on just over half the days since he announced he was running. She’s traveled on about 39 percent of days since throwing her hat in the ring.
Posted by jm at 10:33 AM
Wednesday, October 26, 2016
He comes as close as a Catholic can to recommending that conservatives stand and fight.
Meanwhile a certain Presbyterian has been hard at it already since June 2015.
His name is Donald John Trump.
Catholics are late to the party, again.
Tuesday, October 25, 2016
E-mail from Hillary's Chief of Staff Cheryl Mills to John Podesta shows conspiracy to cover up evidence of Obama's knowledge of Hillary's private server
. . . apart from showing that Obama brazenly lied to the public when he said he knew nothing about Hillary's private server arrangement.
Here: "Obama has emails from Hillary which do not say state.gov".
Two weeks to Election 2016 Real Clear Politics polling averages have Clinton beating Trump 333-205 in the Electoral College
With two weeks to go to Election 2016 the Real Clear Politics polling averages have Clinton beating Trump 333-205 in the Electoral College matchup. Hillary has regained momentum in the polling in the last week, up from winning 321-217 last week.
The basic map has Clinton at 272 this morning, already winning, and Trump at 126, with 140 EC votes as toss-ups.
Based on the polling advantages this morning in the toss-ups, Clinton wins NV, AZ, NC and FL with an average lead of 2.95 points, bringing her to 333 EC votes.
Trump wins TX, IA, OH, ME-2 and GA with an average lead of 3.66 points, bringing him to 205 EC votes.
Hillary has 10 states which only lean in her direction. In 9 of these her average lead is 7.3 points (there is no average shown for CT). These are already counted in her 272 EC total this morning. Trump has 4 states only leaning in his direction. His average lead in these is 6.2 points. These are already counted in his total of 126.
Libertarian Gary Johnson continues to poll at 6.0 on average, more than off-setting Clinton's 5.4 lead over Trump (39.9) in a four-way match up including Stein (2.2). But only in CO, NM, MN and NH do Johnson's averages total in excess of Clinton's leads this week. Clinton clearly has made small gains in her own right in OR, WI, MI, PA and VA as voters come to realize this election is binary. Rasmussen and IBD show Clinton only at +1, however, in the four-way match up nationally.
In a two-way match up IBD also shows Clinton +1, as does the LA Times. Gravis has Clinton and Trump tied in one of the few polls of registered voters, 74% of which vote on average since 1972.
Monday, October 24, 2016
Reminds me of Rush Limbaugh blaming the so-called four million Republicans who stayed home in 2012 for Romney's loss.
Yeah, like it's all of a sudden a government of the people, by the people and for the people when we lose, but the rubes never get the credit when we win.
Meanwhile the guys with the microphones and the high profile blogs get off scot-free.
"[T]he bitterness and spite among Republican regulars is going to blind them to their own role in creating this mess."
Well, I have been to 26 states now. I will probably make it to 30 before the election is over. And it means that there is no coming together.
And I think it’s going to be very challenging for the GOP, because you have got some Trump voters who are unwilling to vote for a Republican for Senate or Congress as a way to send a message to the establishment, and you have got some independents who want to vote Republican for the Senate and the House, but won’t because they’re too connected to Donald Trump.
With only 17 days to go, I have not seen an election like this, where there is so much intraparty battles going on . . ..
Posted by jm at 5:52 AM
Sunday, October 23, 2016
Posted by jm at 6:43 PM
From the story here:
“China is moving towards a totalitarian society, where the government controls and affects individuals’ private lives,” said Beijing-based novelist and social commentator Murong Xuecun. “This is like Big Brother, who has all your information and can harm you in any way he wants.” ...
Lester Ross, partner-in-charge of the Beijing office of law firm WilmerHale, says the rules are designed to stop anyone “stepping out of line” and could intimidate lawyers seeking to put forward an aggressive defense of their clients. He sees echoes of the Cultural Revolution, in which Mao Zedong identified “five black categories” of people considered enemies of the revolution, including landlords, rich farmers and rightists, who were singled out for struggle sessions, persecution and re-education.
|New Black Five: Rights lawyers, underground religion, dissidents, internet leaders, the disadvantaged|
Trump can still win this thing if his supporters don't lose heart and Americans can be convinced not to vote for the criminal alternative, Hillary Clinton
Consider the consensus of polling controlled by the pro-Democrat, liberal media interests as represented by the Real Clear Politics polling average today.
With just over 2 weeks to go until the election, Clinton is ahead 47.7 to Trump's 41.9 with an average margin of error of 3.46 points. Consider that this was almost exactly how things looked on August 17 when Trump handed over his campaign to Kellyanne Conway & Co. (Trump 41.2 v. Clinton 47.2). One can complain that Trump hasn't made any progress since then, but the same thing can be said about Clinton.
In view of what we know from Wikileaks demonstrating how the media aren't telling the truth and are simply part of the Clinton campaign, the truth is closer to the possibility of Clinton actually losing to Trump 45 to 44 in the popular vote despite the onslaught of character assassination going on against him, which is the only thing Democrats have going for them. That and the Republican traitors of #NeverTrump.
And that's what the daily tracking polls have been telling us, too, all along.
Rasmussen has consistently shown this to be a one or two point brawl for many months, often with Trump ahead. Same with IBD since the beginning of September. And the LA Times poll is virtually unchanged also since August 17 with Clinton +1 then and Trump +0.3 this morning.
As some headlines have suggested, Trump could win the popular vote and end up losing the election like Al Gore.
The reason is the toss-up states, but also the "leaners". Keep in mind that nationally the consensus of the liberal polling establishment has Clinton winning this by 6 points when it could actually be Trump by +1. In the states presently leaning Clinton her average lead is +7.35 but in her five toss-ups just +3.22. Trump's average lead in his leaners is +6.04 and in his toss-ups +3.25.
The race is much closer than the media which overwhelmingly support Clinton want you to believe.
Saturday, October 22, 2016
What he meant was ensure it.
John McCain lost Ohio by 262,000 votes in 2008, out of 5.722 million cast.
Friday, October 21, 2016
Keep in mind that McCain lost in 2008 by 1.4 million votes and that Romney lost by fewer than 0.5 million votes in 2012 when reading the following.
Here was Pew in 2012:
- 24 million or 1 in 8 registrations are significantly inaccurate or no longer valid
- Approximately 12.7 million records nationwide appear to be out of date and no longer reflect the voter’s current information
- 12 million records contain an incorrect address
- Approximately 2.75 million people have registrations in more than one state
- More than 1.8 million deceased individuals are listed as voters
Debate Three: Hillary's idea of government transparency is giving away America's military secrets to make herself look better
From the transcript here at The Washington Compost:
CLINTON: I -- I find it ironic that he's raising nuclear weapons. This is a person who has been very cavalier, even casual about the use of nuclear weapons. He's...
CLINTON: ... advocated more countries getting them, Japan, Korea, even Saudi Arabia. He said, well, if we have them, why don't we use them, which I think is terrifying.
But here's the deal. The bottom line on nuclear weapons is that when the president gives the order, it must be followed. There's about four minutes between the order being given and the people responsible for launching nuclear weapons to do so. And that's why 10 people who have had that awesome responsibility have come out and, in an unprecedented way, said they would not trust Donald Trump with the nuclear codes or to have his finger on the nuclear button.
TRUMP: I have 200 generals...
Trump uses Al Smith dinner to get out his message against the establishment and their candidate, Hillary Clinton
See him here, and boy did they not like it.
What that was was Trump turning Alinsky against the Alinskyites.
By using the Al Smith venue he went outside the experience of the enemy. He was supposed to be funnier. Instead he was vicious. He used the unexpected event of the period to be unexpectedly less funny than he could have been. Such humor as there was was very good, and proves he's capable of it. He just didn't use it. Instead he chose confrontation.
And what really pissed the opposition off was that they were forced to listen to it, and broadcast it.
Posted by jm at 7:56 AM
Thursday, October 20, 2016
Sex roulette: 20 million NEW cases of STDs diagnosed annually in US, but in reality almost one out of three people has an STD and probably multiple STDs
1.5 million cases of chlamydia, 0.4 million cases of gonorrhea, and 0.024 million cases of syphilis. So what are the other 18.076 million cases, hm?
The YAHOO! story here never tells you.
THE TRUTH IS, AT LEAST 80 MILLION AMERICANS ARE WALKING AROUND RIGHT NOW WITH AT LEAST ONE SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASE.
In addition to the 1.924 million NEW cases mentioned, the additional 18.076 million NEW cases must come from among the 3.71 million current cases of Trichomoniasis (hey, she smells fishy down there), and from the 24.1 million current cases of HSV-2 (genital herpes), and from the 79.1 million current cases of HPV (causing most genital and anal cancers). That's not to mention the 0.908 million current cases of HIV and the 0.422 million current cases of Hepatitis B.
This means that there are in excess of 110 million infections with STDs right now in the United States in at least 79.1 million individuals, which is 25% of the total population and 31% of everyone 16 years of age and older.
This means that there are in excess of 110 million infections with STDs right now in the United States in at least 79.1 million individuals, which is 25% of the total population and 31% of everyone 16 years of age and older.
As Secretary of State to Obama, John F. Kerry, who served in Vietnam, sold out America to Iran: Think what he might have done as president if elected in 2004
Well yeah, but that's been the story since Iowa when Trump sided with the ethanol industry against Cruz.
The guy isn't a conservative policy wonk.
If conservative talk radio had any brains they'd have accepted this from the beginning, supported him, and supplied what was lacking.
Instead it's nag, nag, nag all the way to the destination.
Posted by jm at 12:33 PM
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Democrat Robert Creamer, exposed by O'Keefe for inciting violence at Trump rallies, met with Obama 47 times since 2009 in White House
Hm. There's that number again, 47.
Robert Creamer, who acted as a middle man between the Clinton campaign, the Democratic National Committee and “protesters” who tried — and succeeded — to provoke violence at Trump rallies met with President Obama during 47 of those 342 visits, according to White House records. Creamer’s last visit was in June 2016.
Trump declares war on incumbents, calls for term limits of 6 years on US House, 12 years on US Senate, 5-year ban on lobbying
That's basically telling Justin Amash, Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell they are fired, along with Dick Turban Durban, Nancy Pelosi, Chucky Shumer and that commie Jan Schakowsky, not to mention all the rest of them we love to hate.
Here's the lede:
COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. – Donald Trump served up a proposal to offer a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress in the first of two campaign stops planned in Colorado Tuesday.
Democrat National Committee employee and convicted felon Robert Creamer resigns after O'Keefe video shows him planning to pay people to incite violence at Trump rallies
|Thinks you don't deserve to keep all your money|
The Democrats have had no problem with the guy up to now even though he's a convicted felon. And guess who else has no problem with him? His wife,
Democrat commie Representative Jan Schakowsky (IL-9):
See how fast Wikipedia updates itself:
Robert Creamer (born 1947) is an American political consultant, community organizer, and author. He is the husband of Jan Schakowsky, the Congressional Representative for Illinois's 9th congressional district. His firm, Democracy Partners, works with issue campaigns. He also leads the nonprofit group Americans United for Change.
In 2005, Creamer pleaded guilty to tax violations and $2.3 million in bank fraud in relation to his operation of public interest groups in the 1990s. He was convicted and sentenced to five months in prison at Terre Haute and eleven months house arrest. ...
In October 2016, James O'Keefe released a hidden-camera video appearing to show Creamer and other campaign staffers for Hillary Clinton hiring people to incite violence at rallies for her opponent, Donald Trump. Creamer also works for Democracy Partners. As a result of the video, Creamer announced his resignation from the Democratic National Committee.
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Like Occupy Wall Street Democrat National Committee tour bus illegally craps in the street while in Georgia
Story here. Toilet paper everywhere, they say.
The rules don't apply to Democrats, unless they get caught.
From the story here:
We have here a clear pattern of corruption that makes Watergate look like child’s play. Hillary’s aide, Patrick Kennedy, tried to bribe the FBI to change the classification of a Benghazi document so as to enable Hillary’s false claim that she didn’t send or receive classified information on her illegal home server. The FBI, to its credit, refused. (James Comey wasn’t involved at that stage.)
Hillary’s aide then asked whether the FBI would be saying anything publicly about the classification issue. Once assured that the FBI would be silent, Hillary took the stage and alleged publicly, and falsely, that she never used her illegal home server to send or receive classified information. One wonders, too, how many critically important documents have been “archive[d] … in the basement of DoS [the State Department] never to be seen again,” based on bogus FOIA exemptions.
Donald Trump has his faults, but Hillary Clinton is far too corrupt to serve as President of the United States.
O'Keefe exposes violence at Trump rallies as deep Democrat operation, Real Clear Politics totally ignores the story
Using hidden cameras, undercover journalists reveal key players coordinating clandestine operations in support of Hillary Clinton’s campaign. The video, supported by emails recently released by WikiLeaks, shows that the dirty tricks, lines of communications and the money trail lead all the way to the top. The video discloses numerous examples of behind-the-scenes shady practices with consequences most Americans have seen on national television at Donald Trump campaign rallies across the country. What the media hasn’t reported is that the Clinton campaign and Democratic National Committee has been directing these activities . . ..
With 21 days to go to election day, Clinton is still winning in the Electoral College but by 6% fewer EC votes than last week
Last week the Real Clear Politics Electoral College map and the polling in the Toss-ups indicated a Clinton win 339-199.
Now with three weeks to go to election day Hillary's advantage has shrunk by 6%, now winning 321-217, and Trump is up by 9%.
Clinton today has 256 EC votes including 9 states which only lean her way.
Trump has 170 EC votes including 5 states which only lean his way.
ME-2 (+5.4) with 1 EC vote is in Trump's column, ME-1 (+19) with 1 EC vote is in Hillary's column.
Polling in the Toss-ups as of this hour has NV in the Clinton column by +2.5, MN by +4.3, NH by +3.6, NC by +2.7, and FL by +3.6. Her average lead is +3.3.
Libertarian Gary Johnson polls an average of 5.9 in these Clinton Toss-up states, in every case out-polling Clinton's actual leading margins, arguably helping Clinton win them. Green Party candidate Jill Stein polls 2.0 in MN, 2.0 in NH, and 1.4 in FL.
And in the Trump column are Toss-ups AZ by +1, IA by +3.7, IN by +4.5, and OH by +0.7. His average lead is +2.5.
Green Party candidate Jill Stein polls 1.5 in AZ, 1.7 in IA, and 2.3 in OH. Arguably Trump is winning in AZ and OH with Stein's help. Johnson polls 8.5 in AZ, 8.3 in IA, 10.0 in IN, and 6.5 in OH.
Overall Gary Johnson is polling an average of 7.0 in the nine Toss-up states and Stein an average of 1.8 in six of them compared with a combined average lead for Clinton or Trump of only 3.0.
Does the Libertarian Party or the Green Party have representation in Congress? If they're not a phenomenon of the people, maybe those parties shouldn't be allowed to spoil presidential elections by running candidates in the first place.
Wikileaks' "ORCA100" has been trying to wake-up John Podesta and Hillary Clinton to the horrors of Muslim immigration: They won't be able to say they weren't warned
What's the difference between a German and a shopping cart? A shopping cart has got a mind of its own
While most centrist & leftwing politicians lie liberally about (esp. Continental) Europe's Immigration Disaster, Angela Merkel & Wouter Bos once blurted out the terrible truth, thereby sounding just like Pim Fortuyn
ORCA100 also has some other interesting e-mail contacts in addition to John Podesta's:
Moochelle campaigning against Hillary in 2008: If you can't run your own house you certainly can't run the White House
She says her husband's opponent is not what good role modeling looks like.
Monday, October 17, 2016
Wikileaks still works even if Assange's internet connection doesn't: John Podesta called Cecil the Lion hunter an asshole killer
Ouch, that would hurt.
Sunday, October 16, 2016
Hillary present at the debacles: Housing bubble, Great Recession, Iraq War, Surrender to Iran, Doubling of the Debt, puny GDP . . .
Conrad Black, here:
Hillary Clinton, though she would probably be an improvement on the recent past, represents continuity of what has been the most catastrophic 20 years of misgovernment in American history. She was there, as first lady, senator, secretary of state, or candidate, for the housing bubble and Great Recession, the terrible drain of Middle East war that delivered most of Iraq to Iran and produced a colossal humanitarian tragedy, the doubling of the national debt in seven years to produce one per cent annual economic growth while 15 million people dropped out of the work force, and the terrible fiascoes of the abandoned red line in Syria and the cave-in to Iranian nuclear military ambitions with a fig leaf of (unverifiable) deferral. But she is an able person, still carrying the torch of feminism, and she isn’t Trump.
Dreher's arguments against Trump in blog post after blog post aren't convincing some commenters, many of whom keep making persuasive defenses of the GOP's candidate for president.
The name calling, characteristic of liberals who can't defend their positions, you know, like Hillary for the last two weeks, tells you it's starting to get to Dreher a little bit.
Saturday, October 15, 2016
Madame Mao Hillary Clinton v Landlord Donald Trump: It takes a village . . . to pick it, polarize it, personalize it and freeze it
A struggle session (simplified Chinese: 批斗会; traditional Chinese: 批鬥會; pinyin: Pī Dòu Huì) was a form of public humiliation and torture used by the Communist Party of China in the Mao Zedong era, particularly during the Cultural Revolution, to shape public opinion and to humiliate, persecute, or execute political rivals and class enemies. ... an estimated 2 million landlords were swiftly executed after being subjected to a struggle session.
Friday, October 14, 2016
Network news on the radio keeps saying Trump is declining in polls, but Real Clear Politics just today moved NH to toss-up from leaning Hillary and GA to leaning Trump from toss-up
Repeating lies often doesn't make them so.
Posted by jm at 10:05 AM
Thursday, October 13, 2016
Here, where Trump's latest accusers are out of the box "credible".
Commenter Bryan says:
I’m sorry Rod, but I feel compelled to say something that saddens me: I have lost respect for you over the way you’re covering this election.
The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, Clinton still held a four-point 43% to 39% lead over Trump, but that was down from five points on Tuesday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday.
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
With a month to go, just how close is the race for the White House according to the Real Clear Politics polling averages?
Leaning Trump: leads in TX, MO, IN, SC and ME-2 by an average of 8.3, average margin of error 3.9.
Leaning Clinton: leads in NM, CO, WI, MI, PA, VA, NH and NJ by an average of 7.9, average margin of error 4.0.
The race is a toss up in NV, AZ, MN, IA, OH, NC, GA and FL with an average lead of 2.6, average margin of error 3.9.
Trump at 165 Electoral College votes would have to capture all the toss-ups save either NV or IA to finish with 270, but winning MN seems like a stretch to me in that scenario. Winning all the toss-ups save MN puts Trump short at 266.
NH with 4 EC votes is Trump's likeliest take away focus among Clinton's "leaners" right now. Her +6 there has an average margin of error of 4.6.
Posted by jm at 12:04 PM
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
|Joey Ramone grabs some pussy|
My prick congressman, Justin Amash, another Republican member of the establishment who won't be voting for Donald Trump. Never met him before. He's what Doctor Demento would call a pencil-necked geek. If he had had some hair and dressed in a leather biker jacket he could have passed for Joey Ramone in those jeans and T-shirt I saw him wearing tonight, but no such luck.
I guess the servants had the night off and Justin had to shop for himself.
Yeah, I was in a hurry to shop for dinner and get home and make it, so we had no time to exchange unpleasantries.
Needless to say I won't be voting for that asshole, just to return the favor.
And Joey is dead. Long live Joey.
What we're learning here is that it's Hillary who could shoot someone in the middle of 5th Avenue and still win
I know, I'm getting ahead of myself.
Posted by jm at 4:55 PM
With 28 days to election day, Hillary has expanded her Electoral College lead over Trump and is now projected to win 339-199
With 28 days to go to the election, Hillary has reset the Electoral College map from Real Clear Politics in the last week by adding four states to her blue column: PA, MI, WI, CO. This boosts her Electoral College total by 55 in the last week from 205 to 260. Trump has again added nothing to his column and still stands at 165.
That leaves 113 Electoral College votes in Toss-Up vs. 168 last week.
Of these, the polling as of this morning indicates Trump retains AZ by +1, IA by +3.7, GA by +5, and ME-2 by +8.7. OH has peeled off to Hillary, however, at 0.5, and Trump has lost ground in AZ and IA.
Hillary is winning NV by +1.4, MN by +4.3, NC by +2.6, FL by +2.4, and ME-1 by +3.8. She has lost ground in ME-1 and FL.
To Hillary's 260 therefore add 79 for a total of 339.
To Trump's 165 therefore add 34 for a total of 199.
As of this morning, Clinton's leads over Trump in NM, CO, WI, MI, NH and VA can be explained statistically by the vote peeled off from Trump by libertarian Gary Johnson. But this is not the case in CT, NJ and PA. Johnson also polls higher than the spread in all nine Toss-up states.
Once again Job One for libertarians is to spoil elections for Republicans.
Monday, October 10, 2016
The share paying for their own health insurance has soared 22% since 2013, by about 9 million, while the number covered by employers has actually fallen by 220,000
So says the table from Gallup, here. The 3.9 pt. difference in the share fully paying for their own coverage since 2013 represents a 22% increase.
How many was that in millions of people, you may ask.
In 2013 there were approximately 190 million Americans 18 to 64 years of age. 17.6% fully paying for their own coverage was approximately 33 million people at the time. Fast forward to 2016 and the number is now approaching 42 million. Meanwhile even though the sample population is up 3 million over the period, the number receiving coverage from an employer has actually fallen 220,000 to 83.76 million in 2016.
And as everyone knows who buys their own coverage, costs have soared. My costs since 2010 are up only 67%, but that's only because I chose higher deductibles as time went by. My deductible is now up 300%. Same plan, but it would now cost me $10,000 out of pocket instead of $2,500 in any emergency. Apart from that, everytime I need routine healthcare, like seeing a doctor to update a prescription, or the prescription itself, or glasses, or my teeth cleaned and checked, it's all on me.
So it's no surprise that apart from coverage costs soaring, healthcare services spending in unchained dollars of GDP is up 19% since 2012, from $1.836 trillion then to almost $2.185 trillion annualized as of the second quarter now. That's an extra almost $350 billion being spent on actual healthcare services consumption in the last four years, all coming out of consumers' pockets.
Obamacare has been a disaster to the budgets of millions of ordinary Americans.
The Rod Dreher snowflakes at The American Conservative are horrified by Trump's threat to appoint a special prosecutor
Baron Harkonnen says:
October 9, 2016 at 11:57 pm
By the way – am I the only one freaked out at the fact that one candidate threatened to jail the other if he wins? What are we in Zimbabwe? Yet another thing nobody cares about. It’s all normal now. It’s unthinkable. Trump is openly threatening to weaponize federal government agencies against political opponents. Disqualifying reason #812. B-b-b-b-b-ut Clin-ton!!!
As if the federal government hasn't been weaponized against Republicans and conservatives throughout the Obama administration to a degree never before seen or imagined.
In correcting the fallible bureaucrats Kyle Smith also gets the homeownership rate wrong: It's as low as in 1965
And 80 percent of [bureaucrats] guessed that the rate of home ownership is lower than it is: 67 percent. With all of this underestimating going on, it’s not surprising that Washington is constantly pushing urgent, potentially disastrous fixes (such as re-inflating the housing bubble by encouraging more and more Americans with sketchy credit ratings to buy homes) for imaginary ills. Renting your home is a perfectly acceptable way to live, and Fannie Mae shouldn’t be in the business of enticing renters of modest income to commit to large amounts of debt by obtaining mortgages.
Happily, immigration figured prominently. Shockingly, in the first debate the moderator never mentioned the topic. Tonight, it was discussed extensively. That is a big plus for Trump. The exchanges on foreign policy were inconclusive, of course, but in general I think Trump did better. And there was even talk about Obamacare, which is great for Trump and Republicans.
If I win, I'm going to instruct the attorney general to get a special prosecutor to look into your situation because there's never been so many lies, so much deception.
Never been anything like it and we're going to have a special prosecutor. When I speak, I go out and speak, the people of this country are furious. In my opinion, the people that have been long-term workers at the FBI are furious. There has never been anything like this, where e-mails and you get a subpoena and after getting the subpoena, you delete 33,000 e-mails and then acid wash them or bleach them. A very expensive process, so we're going to get a special prosecutor because people have been, their lives have been destroyed for doing one fifth of what you've done. And it's a disgrace and honestly, you ought to be ashamed.
Sunday, October 9, 2016
The establishment isn't just going to lie down and die. Expect more dirt.
Once again illegal immigration got short shrift because it's Trump's signature issue. The establishment isn't going to ask him questions about it, except insofar as it thinks it makes him look like a racist. Trump has to make it about illegal immigration and keep it about illegal immigration, and tonight he did so here and there but not enough.
Obamacare, however, did make an appearance. And Trump scores big on this with ordinary middle class Americans who have to pay more for less for themselves in order for poor people to get Medicaid.
But when is Donald Trump going to tell Medicaid recipients' families that it isn't free? The state will come after whatever was spent on their care from their estates. That means no inheritance from your dead mom or dad until the government is reimbursed for what it spent.
Posted by jm at 11:22 PM
The Republicans' condom senator, Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire, joins the Alinskyites, can no longer support Donald Trump
Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire was the first Republican senator facing a competitive re-election to say she would no longer back Mr. Trump, announcing in a statement that she would write in Mr. Pence for president instead. “I’m a mom and an American first, and I cannot and will not support a candidate for president who brags about degrading and assaulting women,” she wrote on Twitter. ... Mr. Trump, after monitoring television coverage, realized he was becoming isolated by his party.
Posted by jm at 10:08 AM
New UK Prime Minister Theresa May excoriates elites like Obama: "If you believe you are a citizen of the world, you are a citizen of nowhere"
From the text of her speech to the Tories, reproduced here, in which you will hear echoes of American politics:
... [I]n June people voted for change. And a change is going to come.
Change has got to come because as we leave the European Union and take control of our own destiny, the task of tackling some of Britain’s long-standing challenges - like how to train enough people to do the jobs of the future - becomes ever more urgent. But change has got to come too because of the quiet revolution that took place in our country just three months ago – a revolution in which millions of our fellow citizens stood up and said they were not prepared to be ignored anymore. Because this is a turning point for our country. A once-in-a-generation chance to change the direction of our nation for good. To step back and ask ourselves what kind of country we want to be.
... [T]he referendum was not just a vote to withdraw from the EU. It was about something broader – something that the European Union had come to represent. It was about a sense – deep, profound and let’s face it often justified – that many people have today that the world works well for a privileged few, but not for them. It was a vote not just to change Britain’s relationship with the European Union, but to call for a change in the way our country works – and the people for whom it works – forever. Knock on almost any door in almost any part of the country, and you will find the roots of the revolution laid bare. Our society should work for everyone, but if you can’t afford to get onto the property ladder, or your child is stuck in a bad school, it doesn’t feel like it’s working for you. Our economy should work for everyone, but if your pay has stagnated for several years in a row and fixed items of spending keep going up, it doesn’t feel like it’s working for you. Our democracy should work for everyone, but if you’ve been trying to say things need to change for years and your complaints fall on deaf ears, it doesn’t feel like it’s working for you. And the roots of the revolution run deep. Because it wasn’t the wealthy who made the biggest sacrifices after the financial crash, but ordinary, working class families.
And if you’re one of those people who lost their job, who stayed in work but on reduced hours, took a pay cut as household bills rocketed, or - and I know a lot of people don’t like to admit this - someone who finds themselves out of work or on lower wages because of low-skilled immigration, life simply doesn’t seem fair. It feels like your dreams have been sacrificed in the service of others. So change has got to come. Because if we don’t respond – if we don’t take this opportunity to deliver the change people want – resentments will grow. Divisions will become entrenched. And that would be a disaster for Britain. Because the lesson of Britain is that we are a country built on the bonds of family, community, citizenship. Of strong institutions and a strong society. The country of my parents who instilled in me a sense of public service and of public servants everywhere who want to give something back. The parent who works hard all week but takes time out to coach the kids football team at the weekend. The local family business in my constituency that’s been serving the community for more than 50 years. The servicemen and women I met last week who wear their uniform proudly at home and serve our nation with honour abroad. A country of decency, fairness and quiet resolve. And a successful country - small in size but large in stature - that with less than 1% of the world’s population boasts more Nobel Laureates than any country outside the United States… with three more added again just yesterday – two of whom worked here in this great city. A country that boasts three of the top ten universities in the world. The world’s leading financial capital. And institutions like the NHS and BBC whose reputations echo in some of the farthest corners of the globe. All possible because we are one United Kingdom – England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland – and I will always fight to preserve our proud, historic Union and will never let divisive nationalists drive us apart. Yet within our society today, we see division and unfairness all around. Between a more prosperous older generation and a struggling younger generation. Between the wealth of London and the rest of the country. But perhaps most of all, between the rich, the successful and the powerful - and their fellow citizens.
Now don’t get me wrong. We applaud success. We want people to get on. But we also value something else: the spirit of citizenship.
That spirit that means you respect the bonds and obligations that make our society work. That means a commitment to the men and women who live around you, who work for you, who buy the goods and services you sell. That spirit that means recognising the social contract that says you train up local young people before you take on cheap labour from overseas. That spirit that means you do as others do, and pay your fair share of tax.
But today, too many people in positions of power behave as though they have more in common with international elites than with the people down the road, the people they employ, the people they pass in the street. But if you believe you’re a citizen of the world, you’re a citizen of nowhere. You don’t understand what the very word ‘citizenship’ means. So if you’re a boss who earns a fortune but doesn’t look after your staff… An international company that treats tax laws as an optional extra… A household name that refuses to work with the authorities even to fight terrorism… A director who takes out massive dividends while knowing that the company pension is about to go bust… I’m putting you on warning. This can’t go on anymore. A change has got to come. And this party – the Conservative Party – is going to make that change.
Rule 4: The Democrats are trying to make the Republican enemy live up to its own book of rules, which state that Trump's sexual immorality will not play well in Peoria.
Rule 6: It's a good tactic because Democrats especially enjoy embarrassing Republicans as hypocrites to their religion, which is Democrats' real enemy.
Rule 10: If enough Republicans can be turned to denounce Trump the target will have been effectively personalized, frozen and polarized, ensuring a Democrat victory.
Posted by jm at 9:08 AM
Adriana Cohen stops just short of going there in The Boston Herald, here:
Donald Trump is not a Boy Scout. If that’s what Americans were looking for they could have elected Mitt Romney in 2012. But they didn’t, proving these latest attacks are nothing more than slimy political theater.
Posted by jm at 8:51 AM
Saturday, October 8, 2016
It's shocking how many people still think, wrongly, that "not in the labor force" includes huge numbers of people who could be or should be working but aren't.
Today on his show Joe Pags said the number not in the labor force, currently over 94 million, does not include retired people, when, for example in 2014 the retired constituted 44% of those "not in the labor force". The truth is the retired always constitute the single largest proportion of those "not in the labor force".
The sick and disabled in 2014 accounted for almost 19%, and people going to school made up another 18% of the total "not in the labor force". Tell me there are some claiming disability who don't have one who should be working, but don't tell me the damn kids should be working. 15.5% were homemakers while 3.5% had other reasons. There's probably many people in these categories who might want a job but can't find one, or ought to be working but aren't, but nothing even remotely close to the almost 39 million retired at the time.
Joe Pags joins a long list of idiots who are quite outspoken in their ignorance about this, including Zero Hedge, Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Donald Trump, et alia. Thinking there might be vast numbers of hidden unemployed in "not in the labor force" is just plain lazy stupid.
None of these apparently have had the slightest interest in checking this out on Al Gore's amazing internet using the google machine, which takes you to this page at the Bureau of Labor Statistics with one of the better explanations out there.
I can only conclude the ignorance in the case of Joe Pags is willful because Joe Pags is smarter than that. But then again, he thinks Ted Cruz is a natural born citizen.
Well now, the Trump audio, as embarrassing as it is, actually helps make the choice in this election easier than before
Posted by jm at 11:28 AM
Clinton to Brazilian bank in 2013: "My dream is a hemispheric common market with open trade and open borders"
Hacked comment revealed here (private position), which is consistent with her pro-TPP stance while Secretary of State, but inconsistent with her opposition to it now that she is the Democrat nominee for president (public position):
The speech transcripts, a major subject of contention during the Democratic primary, include quotes from Clinton about her distance from middle-class life (“I’m kind of far removed”); her vision of strategic governing (“you need both a public and a private position”); and her views on trade, health care, and Wall Street (“even if it may not be 100 percent true, if the perception is that somehow the game is rigged.”) ... "My dream is a hemispheric common market, with open trade and open borders,” Clinton is quoted as telling a Brazilian bank in 2013. “We have to resist, protectionism, other kinds of barriers to market access and to trade.”