Trump job approval in Real Clear Politics average falls to new second term low 42.1%

 If Trump wants to lose the US House even bigger than he's going to, he should by all means double down, add fuel to the flames, and invoke the Insurrection Act in Minneapolis.

 

Meanwhile at Real Clear Politics, Democrats are hemorrhaging voters but consistently continue to win the generic ballot lol

 

Real Clear Polling averages showed that Democrats' so-called Blue Wall had already fallen by Oct 18th, just when Gretchen Whitmer rode to the rescue with its liberal governors in tow

 Of course David Plouffe didn't see leads in the internal polling in early Oct. They were disappearing. 

RCP polling averages moved PA to Trump by Sep 30th, MI by Oct 9th, NV by Oct 12th, and WI by Oct 18th.

The Blue Wall was entirely down by Oct 18th, which would be the final outcome, despite MI and WI flipping back to Harris at the end of October.

Democrats were already dead on Oct 18th. They just didn't know it yet when they showed up at it.

 

Oct 17th

 

Oct 18th

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups Map hands Wisconsin back to Harris, Trump winning Electoral College 287-251

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups Map shifts Michigan back to Harris, Trump winning Electoral College 297-241

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups Map shifts Wisconsin to GOP, Trump winning Electoral College 312-226

 

Real Clear Politics' No Toss-Ups Map shifts Nevada to GOP, Trump winning Electoral College 302-236

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups map shifts PA back to Harris, now winning Electoral College 276-262

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups map shifts back to Trump winning, now 281-257 without Nevada in Electoral College

Pennsylvania and Georgia shift back into the Trump column.

 

Real Clear Politics' No-Toss-Ups map flips Georgia and Nevada to Harris, Pennsylvania back to Trump with Harris winning the Electoral College 273-265

 

Real Clear Politics' No Toss Ups map tips PA to Harris for the win over Trump 270-268

 

Real Clear Politics' No Toss-Ups Map moves AZ back to Trump, Trump Electoral College lead up: 287-251

Here.

Real Clear Politics' No Toss-Ups Map moves AZ to Harris, Trump Electoral College lead shrinks again: 276-262

 Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona have all shifted to DEM in the polling averages since Biden endorsed Harris on July 21st.

Here.

Drudge spent most of April showing headlines with Biden supposedly surging in polls while Real Clear Politics polling averages show Trump has climbed out of less than single digit leads to higher spreads

 The new "No Toss Up States" move above 300 in the Electoral College for Trump is particularly noteworthy.

Trump now leads again in all the Battlegrounds.

Trump hasn't yet run one radio ad in my market in Michigan

I listen to talk radio pretty much non-stop during the election season, and here in western Michigan Trump actually visited today for the first time in a month but I haven't heard one ad on the radio this week for Trump, let alone one ad on the radio in any other week in the last 30 days.

He's not going to win Michigan that way. Not without the western counties that all went for Ted Cruz. By eschewing the radio waves here Trump shows me he's not serious about winning Michigan. He keeps asking for money, but never seems to spend it on the one thing which could spread the enthusiasm present at his rallies to the older Republican base.

I think Trump will lose Michigan and simply wasted his time coming here today, mistakenly continuing to practice what's been appropriate to the primary strategy when the general election requires something more.

Clinton's Real Clear Politics polling average tonight in Michigan is +6.3.

Two weeks to Election 2016 Real Clear Politics polling averages have Clinton beating Trump 333-205 in the Electoral College

With two weeks to go to Election 2016 the Real Clear Politics polling averages have Clinton beating Trump 333-205 in the Electoral College matchup. Hillary has regained momentum in the polling in the last week, up from winning 321-217 last week.

The basic map has Clinton at 272 this morning, already winning, and Trump at 126, with 140 EC votes as toss-ups.

Based on the polling advantages this morning in the toss-ups, Clinton wins NV, AZ, NC and FL with an average lead of 2.95 points, bringing her to 333 EC votes.

Trump wins TX, IA, OH, ME-2 and GA with an average lead of 3.66 points, bringing him to 205 EC votes.

Hillary has 10 states which only lean in her direction. In 9 of these her average lead is 7.3 points (there is no average shown for CT). These are already counted in her 272 EC total this morning. Trump has 4 states only leaning in his direction. His average lead in these is 6.2 points. These are already counted in his total of 126.

Libertarian Gary Johnson continues to poll at 6.0 on average, more than off-setting Clinton's 5.4 lead over Trump (39.9) in a four-way match up including Stein (2.2). But only in CO, NM, MN and NH do Johnson's averages total in excess of Clinton's leads this week. Clinton clearly has made small gains in her own right in OR, WI, MI, PA and VA as voters come to realize this election is binary. Rasmussen and IBD show Clinton only at +1, however, in the four-way match up nationally. 

In a two-way match up IBD also shows Clinton +1, as does the LA Times. Gravis has Clinton and Trump tied in one of the few polls of registered voters, 74% of which vote on average since 1972.

Trump can still win this thing if his supporters don't lose heart and Americans can be convinced not to vote for the criminal alternative, Hillary Clinton

Consider the consensus of polling controlled by the pro-Democrat, liberal media interests as represented by the Real Clear Politics polling average today.

With just over 2 weeks to go until the election, Clinton is ahead 47.7 to Trump's 41.9 with an average margin of error of 3.46 points. Consider that this was almost exactly how things looked on August 17 when Trump handed over his campaign to Kellyanne Conway & Co. (Trump 41.2 v. Clinton 47.2). One can complain that Trump hasn't made any progress since then, but the same thing can be said about Clinton.

In view of what we know from Wikileaks demonstrating how the media aren't telling the truth and are simply part of the Clinton campaign, the truth is closer to the possibility of Clinton actually losing to Trump 45 to 44 in the popular vote despite the onslaught of character assassination going on against him, which is the only thing Democrats have going for them. That and the Republican traitors of #NeverTrump.

And that's what the daily tracking polls have been telling us, too, all along.

Rasmussen has consistently shown this to be a one or two point brawl for many months, often with Trump ahead. Same with IBD since the beginning of September. And the LA Times poll is virtually unchanged also since August 17 with Clinton +1 then and Trump +0.3 this morning.

As some headlines have suggested, Trump could win the popular vote and end up losing the election like Al Gore.

The reason is the toss-up states, but also the "leaners". Keep in mind that nationally the consensus of the liberal polling establishment has Clinton winning this by 6 points when it could actually be Trump by +1. In the states presently leaning Clinton her average lead is +7.35 but in her five toss-ups just +3.22. Trump's average lead in his leaners is +6.04 and in his toss-ups +3.25.

The race is much closer than the media which overwhelmingly support Clinton want you to believe.

With a month to go, just how close is the race for the White House according to the Real Clear Politics polling averages?

Leaning Trump: leads in TX, MO, IN, SC and ME-2 by an average of 8.3, average margin of error 3.9.

Leaning Clinton: leads in NM, CO, WI, MI, PA, VA, NH and NJ by an average of 7.9, average margin of error 4.0.

The race is a toss up in NV, AZ, MN, IA, OH, NC, GA and FL with an average lead of 2.6, average margin of error 3.9.

Trump at 165 Electoral College votes would have to capture all the toss-ups save either NV or IA to finish with 270, but winning MN seems like a stretch to me in that scenario. Winning all the toss-ups save MN puts Trump short at 266.

NH with 4 EC votes is Trump's likeliest take away focus among Clinton's "leaners" right now. Her +6 there has an average margin of error of 4.6.

Today's Real Clear Politics' "No Toss Up States" Map has the worst woman since Jezebel winning in the Electoral College by two

Trump takes his first lead over Clinton nationally in Real Clear Politics poll average: +0.2