Thursday, June 4, 2026

"We got this, we got this" USDA says about Plan B after Plan A began too late, with too little urgency, and will be short of the needed 500 million sterile screwworm flies until 2028 at the earliest

We are so screwed, so to speak. 

Hamburgers will never be cheap as long as Donald Trump is president.

 

 Flesh-eating screwworm is confirmed in the U.S., officials say

... "The United States has defeated this pest before, and we will do it again," the USDA said.

... Dudley Hoskins, undersecretary for marketing and regulatory programs at the USDA ... “USDA invested heavily in the tools needed to eliminate NWS ever since cases started increasing in Central America and Mexico,” Hoskins said. “The United States has defeated this pest before, and we will do it again.” ... 

 Confirmed screwworm case in Texas sends two biotech stocks higher

... regional director of the Federal Crop Agency ... “We just had a conditional use drug approved; U.S. producers can handle it.” 

August 15, 2025: 

In Texas cattle country, ranchers brace for flesh-eating screwworms: The devastating pests have crossed Central America. Despite stepped-up efforts, there are not enough sterile flies to stop them.

... Washington has halted cattle imports from Mexico and invested millions in setting up a new sterile fly production plant in Metapa, Mexico. But it will take roughly a year to come online. 

 ... The U.S. eliminated screwworms in the 20th century by flying planes over hotspots to drop red-striped boxes packed with sterile flies, sometimes called “cupcakes” by ranchers. The USDA constructed a fly production plant in Mission, Texas, in 1962, that pumped out 96 trillion flies until it was decommissioned in 1981. Now the USDA is planning to resurrect the plant to disperse sterile flies, while Texas officials have scattered 100 screwworm traps along the border.

USDA inspectors known as Tick Riders who patrol the border on horseback to guard against another pest, the cattle fever tick, have also been tasked with conducting screwworm preventive treatment for all cattle and horses they find in the border area.

At the heart of the problem is an unworkable math equation. The USDA estimated 500 million flies need to be released weekly to push the fly back to the Darien Gap. At its maximum, the Panama plant produces just 100 million. 

“It’s an overwhelming situation at this point,” Dr. Lansford said. “Screwworm is obviously doing well in Mexico, and they’re up against the same challenges we are.” ...

October 21, 2025: 

Mexico’s major initiative to eradicate the screwworm will be ready in July 2026: The government is overhauling a fly production complex in Chiapas to make it the ‘world’s most modern’ facility of its kind, capable of manufacturing millions of sterile specimens as a chemical-free form of pest control

... Moscamed, as the factory is called, will begin manufacturing 100 million sterile flies by July 2026. ...

Until now, the sterile flies that are spread throughout the country to combat the screwworm plague (100 million each week) are brought from a plant managed by the Panama-United States Commission for the Eradication and Prevention of the Cattle Screwworm (Copeg), in Panama, where they have been working at maximum capacity to control the pest since January 2025. ...

With the other leg of the project, the construction of a manufacturing plant for these flies in Texas, international efforts project a production of up to 500 million flies per week, which will be released throughout the region. If international cooperation continues, myiasis could be eradicated in less time than the first time. Some representatives of Senasica have even talked about achieving this goal in five years. ...

USDA didn't break ground on the Texas facility until two months ago.

April 17, 2026: 

USDA and U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Break Ground on New Texas Sterile Fly Production Facility

 ... Initial operational capability targeted for November 2027, reaching production of 100 million sterile flies per week. 

Construction continues immediately beyond initial operations to scale full production capacity to 300 million sterile flies per week. ...

This new state-of-the-art facility will complement USDA’s ongoing production of 100 million sterile flies per week at the Panama-based COPEG facility. USDA has also invested $21 million to support modernization of Mexico’s Metapa, MX facility, expected to be operational in summer 2026. ... 

CNBC says long-term unemployment is surging but it is not, at least not yet

Long-term unemployment is surging in the U.S. There are hidden costs for workers and the economy

Long term unemployment is . . . falling.

The four-week moving average of initial claims has been falling for a year.

The four-week moving average of continued claims has been falling for ten months, not very fast at first, but falling decisively nevertheless.

The actual number unemployed 27 weeks or longer is down since December 2025. Yes, it is slightly higher than in January. 

The percentage of population unemployed 27 weeks or longer is not surging either. At 0.666% in April, the percentage has been holding fairly steady near this level also for ten months.

In this latter metric, a surge would look more like a steady climb toward 1.00% of population unemployed 27 weeks or longer, which is common after recessions begin. The climb to the current level has been very choppy, reflecting the chaos of positive and negative developments under Trump II.

And incidentally, a contraction in this metric falling below 0.5% would indicate good times are here indeed, so this right now is not that either, as Trumpty Dumpty keeps saying. 

Of course all of this could be about to change for the worse because of oil.

Oil makes our world go round. 

  


 

 

Trump always prefers a diplomatic solution after oil prices spike 62% after he doesn't


 

 Oil prices fall 3% on report Trump reluctant to restart Iran war

... The White House declined to comment on the report when asked by CNBC. A White House official said while Trump “always prefers a diplomatic solution, he has been clear about the consequences if Iran refuses to make a deal.” ... 

When will the president plead guilty?

 Former Trump advisor John Bolton agrees to plead guilty to retaining classified information, MS NOW reports

One law for me, another for thee.