And 2 of the 23 will go to a runoff in Louisiana.
If Republicans win the 12 races in which they are leading today they will seat only 172 in January, 48 fewer than in the current House with 220 seats, an outcome worthy of 1948.
Republicans went from 179 seats in the U.S. House in January 2009 to 242 in January 2011, a gain of 63 seats in the 2010 election.
I think the last time Republicans had fewer than 179 seats in the House was after the election of 1948 with just 171 seats. Truman famously defeated Dewey that year 303 electoral college votes to 189, with Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond pulling away 39 in the south.
The average number of seats held by Republicans in the U.S. House in the last ten victories 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2022, and 2024 has been 231, and 198 in the last four defeats in 2006, 2008, 2018, and 2020.


