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Showing posts with label Super Tuesday. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Super Tuesday. Show all posts
Wednesday, March 4, 2020
Monday, March 7, 2016
Does Mark Steyn actually oppose Donald Trump?
It seems so.
He just said in the opener today that Trump needs 58% of the remaining delegates to clinch the nomination, which to Steyn appears to be too difficult to accomplish.
This just isn't so.
Trump needs 53.6% of the remaining, the least of all the candidates and close to his level of support through Super Tuesday.
That's 853 delegates, after Rubio won Puerto Rico yesterday, out of 1592 remaining.
Cruz needs 937, which is 58.9% of the remaining.
Steyn appears to have Cruz mixed up with Trump.
Was that on purpose?
Sunday, March 6, 2016
Momentum for all GOP candidates has slowed since Super Tuesday, but Trump's Mo is still tops
Momentum for all GOP candidates was slowed by Super Saturday yesterday, but Trump retains the easiest path to 1,237 despite a bitter attack from Mitt Romney and the establishment on Thursday morning and an ugly debate in Detroit on Thursday evening.
After Super Tuesday, Trump needed 51.45% of remaining delegates* to clinch the nomination with 1,237. Now he needs 52.57% of the remaining after Saturday's contests. His Mo has slowed by 2.2% but overall remains better than Cruz', who did well yesterday with indignant Christian Kansans and oddball libertarian Mainers.
Cruz has seen his Mo slow the least of all the candidates yesterday, needing 56.67% of remaining delegates after Super Tuesday to needing 57.64% now, or slowing by just 1.7%.
Rubio and Kasich, however, have both had flat tires on their journey to 1,237 yesterday.
After Super Tuesday, Rubio needed an untenable 63.17% of remaining delegates, but now he needs 68.17%. His Mo is down 7.9%.
And Kasich not only had a flat yesterday, his ball joint broke, too. Needing 67.93% of remaining delegates after Super Tuesday, he needs 73.62% now. His Mo is down 8.4%. He clearly sees himself as a monkey wrench, attempting to yet queer both upcoming Michigan and Ohio just enough to set the conditions for a contested convention in his home state of Ohio this summer.
Not very sportsmanlike. But hey, that's the establishment for you.
*Don't forget Ben Carson who dropped out on Friday when calculating delegate allocations. He has eight in his pocket.
Saturday, March 5, 2016
Trump 2016 v McCain 2008 through the Super Tuesday primaries: Trump wins by 45%
Trump beats McCain in every state except for liberal Vermont, 3.358 million to 2.317 million:
IA: Trump .045m v McCain .016m
NH: .100m v .089m
SC: .239m v .148m
NV: .034m v .006m
GA: .501m v .305m
TN: .332m v .175m
VA: .355m v .244m
MA: .311m v .204m
VT: .019m v .028m
MN: .024m v .014m
AL: .371m v .211m
OK: .130m v .123m
AK: .007m v .002m
TX: .757m v .708m
AR: .133m v .044m.
Trump in 2016 also beats Romney in 2012 by 33%, 3.358 million votes to 2.519 million, losing to Romney only in Texas (prefers homeboy Ted Cruz) and Vermont (prefers liberals).
Incidentally, despite Romney outperforming McCain overall in this comparison which ought to be a natural outgrowth of increasing population, he underperformed McCain in Georgia, Tennessee, Virginia, Vermont, Minnesota, Alabama and Oklahoma in 2012, an ominous sign for Romney. There was little enthusiasm for the man in too many places, which his recent demonstrations of disloyalty only underscore.
But Trump is crushing them both.
Friday, March 4, 2016
Wednesday, March 2, 2016
Saturday, February 27, 2016
Gov. Chris Christie's endorsement of Donald Trump pisses off fake conservative Jennifer Rubin, impresses Newt Gingrich
From the story here:
The decision drew a sharply worded critique from Washington Post conservative columnist Jennifer Rubin, who quickly penned a rebuke of “Christie’s despicable endorsement.”
Other GOP figures described the endorsement as a big move coming ahead of Super Tuesday next week, when Trump seems poised to increase his delegate lead.
“This is a huge step for Trump and will impact Super Tuesday [big] time,” 2012 presidential candidate Newt Gingrich said on Twitter.
“This Chris Christie endorsement of Trump is real signal to GOP establishment that they had better begin thinking about Trump as the future.”
Tuesday, March 6, 2012
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