Showing posts with label Spending 2025. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Spending 2025. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 30, 2025

New so-called conservative Tax Foundation analysis says Trump/GOP tax and spending bill heralded on the Fourth of July benefits the richest taxpayers over the poorest taxpayers by 4,435%


 

 The One Big Beautiful Bill Cuts Taxes Across the US, New Analysis Finds

... At the county level, the largest average tax cuts are found in mountain resort towns. For example, we estimate Teton County in Wyoming will see an average tax cut of $37,373 per taxpayer in 2026, the highest in the US. Pitkin County, CO ($21,363), and Summit County, UT ($14,537), rank number two and three for the largest average tax cuts, likely representing the residences of business owners and higher-earning taxpayers. The smallest average tax cuts are found in rural counties, such as Loup County, NE, with an average tax cut of $824 in 2026. ...

Yes, the average tax cut of the richest taxpayers is 45.35 times the size of the average tax cut for the poorest.

Yeah, run on that GOP, run.

Saturday, December 27, 2025

Three in four Americans say groceries are so expensive they’ve been forced to cut down on entertainment, travel, clothing, and food and drink away from home


 

 Reported here.

So, what do those of us cut, who long ago completely cut out entertainment, travel, food and drink away from home, and mend the clothes we cannot replace?

Drink period, for starters:

THE alcohol industry has faced financial hardship in 2025, leading to several distilleries filing for bankruptcy as Americans are drinking at the lowest levels in history. ... An August poll conducted by Gallup found that 54% of adults say they consume alcohol, which was down from 58% in 2024 and 62% in 2023. Gallup said the 54% finding is “the lowest by one percentage point in Gallup’s nearly 90-year trend.” ... Gallup found that 53% of Americans said having one or two drinks a day is bad for one’s health, while 37% say it makes no difference and 6% say it’s good for one’s health. ...

More



 

 

Thursday, December 25, 2025

Unbelievably rosy GDP report contained core pce inflation data at 2.9% countering previous rosy core cpi inflation report at 2.6% and indicating rising inflation

 

The U.S. economy grew at a much greater-than-expected pace in the third quarter, boosted by strong consumer spending, a delayed report released Tuesday showed.

U.S. gross domestic product, a sum of all goods and services produced in the sprawling U.S. economy, expanded by 4.3% in the July-September period, the Commerce Department said in its initial reading of third-quarter growth. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect a gain of 3.2%.  ...
 
The economy moved forward during the period despite persistent signs of inflation pressures.

The personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed’s primary inflation gauge, rose 2.8% during the period, and 2.9% for core which excludes food and energy. Both were above prior respective readings of 2.1% and 2.6% and remain well above the Fed’s 2% inflation gauge. Also, the chain-weighted price index, which accounts for changes in consumer behavior such as switching to less expensive products for pricier items, rose 3.8%, a full percentage point above the forecast. ...


 As for the GDP report, even if you accept the rosy number as reported, it remains that . . .

Trump's real GDP since 2017 is growing at a compound annual rate which is 5% lower than the rate for 1984-2017; and
 
Trump's GDP since 2017 is growing at a compound annual rate 21% lower than the rate for 1947-2017.
 
Meanwhile GDP since 1984 is growing at a compound annual rate which is 28% lower than for 1947-1984.
 
And GDP since the Great Recession in 2007 is growing at a compound annual rate 42% lower than for 1947-2007.
 
The results of the era inaugurated by Reagan have been devastating. Real GDP today would be much higher had the previous long term trend continued.
 
3Q1984 Reagan real GDP of 8252.46 at the pre-Reagan rate of compound annual growth since 1947 would be 36213.94 today instead of 24024.95, 50% higher.
 
The Trump era is doubling down on stupid, not breaking with it. It is guaranteed to get us nowhere, faster.

Sunday, December 21, 2025

Even Larry Kudlow recognizes that GDP hasn't been good since 1984

... The last time real GDP hit 5 percent for the entire year was Ronald Reagan’s 1984, where the number was 5.6 percent for that whole year. ...

Here.

If Larry were completely honest he'd recognize that real GDP growth has been in steady decline in the entire post-war.

The percent change peaks are plain as day, unless you're an ideologue.

We've gone from 8.69% in 1950, to 7.23% in 1984, to 6.15 in 2021 (COVID panic spending), and the dozen or so routine percent change years above 5% between 1950 and 1984 when the economy was still holding its own have disappeared.

click to expand
 

The Reagan Revolution didn't do one thing to stem the decline, the Trump Gimmickry even less. In fact, the Reagan Revolution made it worse.

The answer why is paradoxical.

The debt-based economy of the United States ran out of gas under Reagan because he cut the taxes which paid for that debt, too much and on the wrong people. It's still a debt-based economy, but we don't want to pay for it anymore.

This is the infantile cry of libertarianism. 

We all think the growth of debt has been the problem when paying for that growth has been the problem. We threw a tantrum and decided to stop paying for it, and its growth naturally contracted, and along with it GDP, in self-defense so to speak.  

Growth of TCMDO, the total universe of debt, which steadily climbed the ladder in the post-war, plunged after 1985, from percent change 15.36% to 11.11% in 2004 to 9.51% in 2020 (COVID panic spending).

 

Debt draws future prosperity into the present, but what you get if you don't pay for it sufficiently is less prosperity when you reach the future from which you borrowed.

And as you pay less, you then borrow even more less so to speak, and get even more less. Rinse and repeat. 

Welcome to the future. 

It's really that simple.

Taxes have been much too low on the rich, and for a long time, and reversing that is the sober reflection of an age which realizes it made a mistake, starting long before Reagan with JFK, the libertarian cad who bedded more women in the White House than the rest of them combined. His Revenue Act of 1964 passed under LBJ cut the top income tax bracket from 91% to 70%.

The question we have to ask ourselves now is, are we ready to give our system another try and tax everyone, but progressively, and practice fiscal and moral restraint for a change . . .

or are we going to say yes to the billionaires who were made by all this obscene excess and who want to impose an un-American system of feudalism with themselves at the top and the rest of us their humble serfs?

George Washington wouldn't kneel even in church.

I'm with that guy. 

Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Congress has authorized no such expenditure by the president and they've already left town for the Christmas holiday

 

 
... “And the checks are already in the mail,” he said. ... 

Federal employment is now down 271k since January, almost 9% vs. the 75% promised by Elon Musk

Employment by state governments is down 47k through November.

Employment by local governments is up 130k.

That means employment by government at all levels is down 188k net . . . to 23.4 million nationwide lol. 



Sunday, November 30, 2025

Saturday, November 29, 2025

Trump & Company just make stuff up after the fact about the drug boat attacks, which is their modus operandi

 Shoot first and ask questions later.

When Elon Musk went in all gangbusters cutting government willy nilly from January 20th, he was immediately challenged about his authority and the nature of his position until the Trump administration retroactively made him a special government employee on February 3rd. But Musk still controversially operated with unprecedented authority over all of government even though he never submitted to the advice and consent of the U.S. Senate, which is standard for all high-ranking federal appointees. His rogue status was never adjudicated. 

The retroactive appointment is called covering your ass.

The same thing has happened now with the drug boat controversy, twice.

After the first drug boat attack caused an uproar, Trump made up some shit to justify it weeks later, indicating he knew what they were doing was wrong:

... In the weeks following the attack, President Trump, 79, attempted to retroactively insulate those responsible from legal consequences by informing Congress that the U.S. was in a “non-international armed conflict” with “designated terrorist organizations,” and therefore those who killed suspected narcotics traffickers would be exempt from criminal prosecution. ...

Similarly, someone changed the protocol for attacks after the September 2nd incident because they knew killing survivors was wrong. They just hoped we didn't find out that's what they did that day:

The protocol for future suspected drug boat strikes was altered after the Sept. 2 attack, and the military was instructed to detain any survivors. 

This is Trump Amateur Hour 2.0. They don't know what they are doing. It would be amusing but for the bodies left in their wake.

More.

Tuesday, November 25, 2025

Straw Man Vance


 

Monday, November 24, 2025

DOGE ends with a whimper as Elon Musk's chainsaw for bureaucracy goes back on the shelf, hardly used



 

... “That doesn’t exist,” Office of Personnel Management Director Scott Kupor told Reuters earlier this month when asked about DOGE’s status.

It is no longer a “centralized entity,” Kupor added, in the first public comments from the Trump administration on the end of DOGE. ...

A government-wide hiring freeze - another hallmark of DOGE - is also over, Kupor said. ... “There is no target around reductions” anymore, Kupor said. ...

 

Monday, November 17, 2025

The period is also marked by the phony utopianism of the libertarian Americanists who exalt the individual and deny that there are any limits

 In their idealism they are little different than Zohran Mamdani. 

... The United States is undeniably the beacon of hope for the world because it’s founded on the value of the individual and the ideals articulated in the Declaration of Independence. We believe every person should have an equal opportunity to pursue their dreams and determine their destiny.

For free people, there is truly no problem too big or care too small. Free people don’t wait on a government middleman to solve their problems or redefine what’s possible. ...

More.

The choice isn't between this Americanism and Zohran Mamdani. They aren't really competing visions.  

On the contrary, both are impotent in the face of intractable problems.

New York City, with an annual budget of in excess of $100 billion, needs to spend well in excess of $50 billion to fix its water and sewer systems which limit population growth and drive up rents. The place is already $125 billion in debt. In his wildest dreams Mamdani will increase taxes "only" $10 billion, about which they are having a fit.

The so-called free people of the United States also have met problems which are truly too big for them, one in the Black Sea, one in the Red Sea, and one in the South China Sea, about which $38 trillion in national debt keeps them from doing very much.

Every person should have opportunity to determine their destiny, they prattle on, except for the people of Ukraine, of Israel, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan, who will just have to do it themselves. How long does this list have to get before it includes you, too? Or are you on it already? 

Their self-indicting answer?


Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Monday, November 10, 2025

Gang of eight Democrats in the U.S. Senate join Republicans to end the longest federal government shutdown in history


Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA)
Sen. Angus King (I-ME)
Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)
Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV)
Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL)
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)
Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH)
Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA)

... The Senate voted 60-40 to move forward on a House continuing resolution, which now carries a bipartisan compromise to fund veterans’ affairs, military construction, Congress, and agriculture through the end of the fiscal year, with the rest of the government funded through January 30. 

In return, Democrats have been promised a December floor vote on extending the expiring Affordable Care Act (ACA) premium tax credits, though it is not guaranteed to pass. ...

More

Friday, November 7, 2025

Victor Davis Hanson wouldn't know chaos if it walked up and introduced itself

 

Wednesday, October 29, 2025

Who needs to run if elections are suspended in yet another phony national emergency?



Trump is not allowed to stop spending money which was lawfully appropriated by the Congress for specific purposes, or to spend it on other things, but that's exactly what he's doing anyway.

He's illegally taxing every American with his tariffs under a phony emergency power granted him by our servile Congress. 

He's not allowed to shake down and detain citizens on the pretext that they may be illegally present, but that's exactly what he's done. He's made a mockery of citizenship.

He's not allowed to search without a warrant, but he's doing it anyway. You let him do it every time you fly, so what's the big deal if now he's invading homes and businesses without warrants in search of illegal aliens? You don't care.

He uses his bully pulpit literally to bully people, to suppress their speech. He threatens investigations of his opponents, and makes good on them with actual probes and charges. Some in Congress admit they are afraid of him.   

No one made him the judge, jury, and executioner, but that's who he thinks he is. He is in fact murdering non-combatants pure and simple every day, and Pete Hegseth and Marco Rubio are his accomplices, as is the U.S. military, to its everlasting shame.

Trump is the greatest . . . violator of civil rights and the rule of law since Lincoln.

He's made an ass of the law.

He's flooded the zone with illegality, impropriety, personal corruption, crime, and ugliness. 

And Congress just lets him. The courts just let him. The people just let him.

They all just shrug. They're the French, and he's their Napoleon. 

 

Thursday, October 23, 2025

National Debt hits $38 trillion

 Nov 21, 2024: $36.034T

July 4, 2025 ONE BIG UGLY BILL 

Aug 11, 2025: $37.004 T

Oct 21, 2025: $38.019 T