Showing posts with label Donald Trump 2026. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Donald Trump 2026. Show all posts

Monday, May 25, 2026

Failure of nerve: Trump's ceasefire has only made Iran stronger with each passing day and their negotiating position its strongest in 47 years

Hostilities lasted 38 days. 

Today is the 48th day of the ceasefire, the chicken-out. 

Asia is sucking fumes.

Europe is buying from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve and will be in trouble similar to Asia in June, and the US itself will develop problems in July.

Oil market at ‘tank bottoms’ in Asia, and Europe isn’t far behind, warns market veteran Jeff Currie 

... “I would say, Asia, you’re there. Europe, give it about another month, and look for July being a problem in the U.S.,” Currie said. ... “Every day that goes by, Iran’s negotiating leverage compounds. Why? Because inventories of oil and inventories continue to drop,” he said. “The minute you think you won, that’s exactly when you know you probably lost, and their negotiating position at this point has never been stronger in the last 47 years.” 

Friday, May 22, 2026

Robert Kagan: Trump seems to hope to slip away without Americans noticing the magnitude of this defeat

Which is exactly what Trump did a year ago in the Red Sea.
Beyond the near term endgame Kagan describes, and the isolation of Israel in particular, Trump's cowardice, weakness, and incompetence will have the unintended consequence of reinvigorating the climate and green energy madness which has already weakened the West. 
From the story here
... In a phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu yesterday, Trump reportedly explained that the United States was negotiating a “letter of intent” with Iran that would “formally end the war and launch a 30-day period of negotiations” on Iran’s nuclear program and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The purpose and effect of such an agreement should be clear: The United States is walking away from the crisis.
... Trump has blinked many times in the confrontation with Iran—ever since March 18, when Israel attacked the Pars gas field and Iran retaliated with a strike against Qatar’s most important natural-gas-production facility. Trump then called for a halt on U.S. and Israeli targeting of Iran’s energy infrastructure, and the war effectively ended. 
... [Iran's] terms for a settlement are those of a victor: They demand war reparations, no limits on uranium enrichment, recognized control of the strait, and an end to sanctions. For Trump to respond to this defiance by now calling for another 30 days of cease-fire and talks is a tacit admission of defeat.
... with 30 more days to heal, rearm, and fill its coffers with tolls, Iran will be a more formidable adversary. In 30 days, moreover, the new Iranian strait regime may already be firmly in place. As the Institute for the Study of War reports, Iran has been using the cease-fire period [since April 7] to “normalize” its control over the strait by “compelling oil-importing countries” to establish transit agreements with Tehran and charging fees on vessels from nations without such deals.
... Now that Trump has made clear he has no intention of fighting to reopen the strait, the stampede to get good terms with Tehran will begin. 
... By the end of 30 days, most of the world will have a stake in the new arrangement and will oppose any resumption of hostilities, even in the unlikely event that Trump wanted to go back to war. Trump no doubt hopes that he can slip away without Americans noticing the magnitude of this defeat.
... The president may also hope that he can change the subject by launching another military operation, this time against the government in Cuba. ...

Another story deliberately buried in the holiday weekend by the Democrat jerks who bailed on Biden at the eleventh hour and blame him for Kamala's loss to Trump

  Democrats’ draft autopsy report on 2024 Kamala Harris loss blames Biden’s political operation

Republican Congress critters got the hell out of town Thursday and won't be back until June and left all this unfinished business in their wake lol

 Republicans lash out over $1.776B ‘anti-weaponization’ fund 

McConnell slams Blanche over ‘slush fund to pay people who assault cops’  

Republicans punt on reconciliation amid furious disagreement over ‘anti-weaponization’ fund  

House Republicans fume at Senate for punting immigration funding package  

House punts Iran war powers resolution vote   

Trump approval among Republicans at new low in Fox News poll   

Trump, facing GOP blowback, sends 5,000 troops to Poland  

(Trump orders withdrawal of 5,000 troops from Germany amid feud with Merz) 

Thursday, May 21, 2026

Yesterday's reported week over week US drawdown of 17.8 million barrels of crude oil was the largest on record

 The announcement was made as usual at 1030 hours.

To head off a price increase in oil Trump at 1052 hours announced that the US was in the "final stages" of the negotiations with Iran, which was a load of crap. 

 



Ha, what a crock, Trump is the decay personified

 

Trump cuts off his nose in the primaries to spite his face

  Trump’s primary push could leave him with short-term problem in Congress 

... the defeated or retiring incumbents he’s targeted remain in office until the end of their terms.  

Those lawmakers, who no longer face voters and have little political incentive to fall in line, could make things difficult for Trump and GOP leaders as they feel more emboldened to push back against key partisan legislation. In a narrowly divided Congress, even a handful of GOP defections can derail a party-line bill. ...

You betcha.

 

Bill Cassidy in the Senate is already a problem for Trump post-defeat.

So is defeated Thomas Massie in the House.

Still in the crosshairs:

Sen. John Cornyn, Rep. Lauren Boebert, Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick.

Already alienated and retiring:

Sen. Thom Tillis, Rep. Don Bacon. 

Expect little to pass easily before November under these new intra-GOP adversarial circumstances, and even less after a Blue Wave.

 




 

Everybody's asking . . .

  How low can Trump’s poll numbers go? 

... The president’s average approval rating still hasn’t reached its lowest mark ever recorded. He fell to just above 37 percent in RealClearPolitics’s average in December 2017. ... 

You wake up in the morning and yep, Trump has sunk to new record lows in the polling average overnight

 Disapproval is at a new high 58.5% in the average.

Approval is at a new low 39.4% in the average.

Real Clear Politics polling average:

 


 

 

It's amazing that the answer of Donald J. Trump and now J. D. Vance to Senator John Cornyn of Texas is a crook

 

 

... Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) said she couldn’t understand Trump’s thinking, given that Paxton was charged with felony securities fraud and faced a lengthy prison sentence that he managed to avoid by reaching a deal with prosecutors to pay nearly $300,000 in restitution and complete 100 hours of community service.

“I don’t understand. He is an ethically challenged individual,” Collins said of Trump’s support of Paxton, who was charged of defrauding investors in a Dallas-area tech startup. The charges were later dropped after he agreed to a pretrial diversion program. ...

More


Wednesday, May 20, 2026

It's hard to keep up with Trump cratering in the polls as he makes another new record low for approval and another new record high for disapproval in the average of the polls at Real Clear Politics

 39.6% approve

57.8% disapprove


 

Pure market manipulation

 U.S. crude oil falls below $100 per barrel after Trump says Iran talks in final stages

The only thing surprising about any of this is the market's 100% propensity to believe lies in order to make a buck. 

Trump approval falls again, to another new record low 39.8%

 


Hey look, a shot across his bow

 

Jonah Goldberg: Impeachment is still an available political remedy for Trump's serious abuses

 ... Contrary to thousands of hours of impeachment legal punditry going back to the Nixon administration, a president doesn’t have to commit a crime to be impeached. As Hamilton writes in Federalist 65, impeachment involves “the misconduct of public men” and “the abuse or violation of some public trust.” Impeachments are “POLITICAL” (Hamilton’s all-caps) because they injure “society itself.”

It may in fact be legal for the president to be the judge in his own cause and create a taxpayer-financed slush fund for him to reward cronies and henchmen on a whim. It is already clear that presidents can launch wars without Congress or the courts unduly getting in the way. But I struggle to think of hypothetical scenarios that would be more likely to arouse in Madison and his contemporaries the — now misplaced — reassurance that impeachment was an available remedy.

Here

Elections have consequences as Mad King Ludwig eats his own narrow majority in the U.S. Senate and further alienates it

 

 Trump's self-destructive alcoholic personality will only make him more legislatively unsuccessful this year than he has been already.

 

 Cassidy becomes fourth GOP senator to back Iran war powers measure limiting Trump 

Sen. Bill Cassidy, who lost his bid for a third term in Saturday’s Louisiana Senate Republican primary, on Tuesday became the fourth Republican senator to vote to advance a war powers resolution directing President Trump to withdraw U.S. armed forces deployed against Iran.

Cassidy joined Republican Sens. Rand Paul (Ky.), Susan Collins (Maine) and Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) in voting Tuesday for a motion to discharge the war powers resolution sponsored by Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine (Va.) out of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

The motion passed by a vote of 50 to 47, setting up a future vote to proceed to the motion on the Senate floor.

The resolution is privileged under the 1973 War Powers Act, allowing it to pass the Senate with a simple-majority vote instead of having to clear the 60-vote threshold required for most legislation.

Cassidy kept his plan to vote to advance the resolution secret until the last moment. He declined to reveal how he would vote on the measure when asked about it Monday.

Murkowski broke ranks with Senate Republican leaders last week to vote to advance the war powers resolution. ...

 Trump’s ouster of Republican senator sends shock waves through Senate GOP 

The resounding defeat of Sen. Bill Cassidy (R) in Saturday’s Louisiana primary has sent shock waves through the Senate Republican Conference, underscoring how Republicans who look to distance themselves from President Trump and his low approval ratings will have to think twice about paying a political price for perceived disloyalty.

Cassidy’s ouster came a few weeks after Trump and his allies helped defeat five state senators in Indiana who defied Trump’s desire to redraw the state’s congressional map, sending a loud message to any Republican on Capitol Hill thinking about clashing with the president. ...

[Republican Senator Thom] Tillis, an outspoken critic of some of the Trump administration’s actions this year, reacted angrily to Cassidy’s loss, sending an email to Republican colleagues on Monday threatening to block a budget reconciliation package from moving on the Senate floor later this week — even though it’s a top Trump priority.

Tillis expressed his disappointment over Cassidy’s loss on Saturday and urged Republican colleagues to delay action on the reconciliation bill so as not to force Sen. John Cornyn (Texas), another Republican colleague facing a tough primary on May 26, to stay in Washington until late this week to vote on the budget bill, according to a source familiar with the email’s details. ...

Senate GOP expresses frustration, anger, sadness as Trump snubs Cornyn in Texas 

President Trump’s decision Tuesday to snub Sen. John Cornyn and endorse state Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Republican primary was met with frustration, anger and even sadness by Senate Republicans.

The move likely sinks Cornyn’s hopes of winning another Senate term, and Republicans warned it could make it tougher to defeat Democratic candidate James Talarico in November.

Republican senators exuded pain for Cornyn, who served as Senate Republican whip during Trump’s first term and is deeply respected by his Senate GOP colleagues. ...

Some Republican senators saw Trump’s treatment of Cornyn as a snub of Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.), who had worked behind the scenes for months to persuade the president to back him.

The NRSC invested in Cornyn through a joint fundraising committee, and One Nation, a fundraising group affiliated with Thune’s political operation, has spent more than $10 million helping Cornyn. ...

Trump’s endorsement of Paxton and his attacks against Cassidy won’t make it any easier for him to muster GOP votes for his ballroom funding or for the $1.8 billion anti-weaponization fund to compensate MAGA allies who believe they were targeted by the government. ...

Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Attention all you weak dollar lunatics

 Nominal broad dollar index average values

Obama II, first year // 1Q second year // April 2014: 92.75 / 94.51 / 93.99

Trump II, first year // 1Q second year // April 2026: 122.75 / 119.01 / 119.03

Thank you for attention to this matter. 

Monday, May 18, 2026

Senate Parliamentarian won't let Republicans spend $1 billion through phony reconciliation interpretation to rebuild East Wing destroyed by the MAGA drone in the Oval Office


 

 Trump ballroom money in question after Senate parliamentarian rules. Thune says GOP will persist

... Parliamentarian Elizabeth MacDonough determined Saturday that the provision, which included $220 million for security upgrades tied to the East Wing ballroom project, fell outside the jurisdiction of the Senate Judiciary Committee. ... The White House and Senate Republicans have framed the $1 billion as Secret Service funding for security upgrades, not direct construction money for the ballroom. ... MacDonough has already ruled against several other pieces of the measure, forcing GOP leaders to revise multiple provisions as they try to keep the package on track. ...