William Maley, August 15, 2021:
The 2020 US-Taliban deal created deep and widespread apprehension about
what the future might hold. Then, it only took a few localised failures
to sap the confidence of all sorts of actors, both military and
civilian, in the survival of the government. Side-switching became a
rational strategy, then spun out of control.
The US troop withdrawal also seems to have reflected a failure on the part of Biden – although not the US military — to appreciate how destructive the February 2020 agreement had been to the effectiveness of the Afghan military.
In requiring the withdrawal not just of US troops but US maintenance contractors, it compromised the ongoing capabilities of key assets in the inventory of the Afghan National Army, as well as depriving the army of critical air cover.
As an insightful analysis put it,
in the wake of President Biden’s withdrawal decision, the US pulled its air support, intelligence and contractors servicing Afghanistan’s planes and helicopters. That meant the Afghan military simply couldn’t operate anymore.
William Maley, March 3, 2020
The text provides for a reduction of US troop numbers within 135 days to
8,600, to be followed by “withdrawal of all remaining forces from
Afghanistan within the remaining nine and a half (9.5) months.” It also
purports to bind not just the US but also its allies, including
Australia, even though they were not parties to the agreement; and it
includes “all non-diplomatic civilian personnel, private security
contractors, trainers, advisors, and supporting services personnel.” ... the agreement is better seen as a “withdrawal agreement” than a “peace
agreement.” It is no wonder that the Taliban are painting it as a
victory.
We were all consumed with COVID-19 in February 2020, and completely ignored this.
People who say now that the rapid fall of Afghanistan would not have happened under a second Trump term don't know what they are talking about.
Trump designed this outcome, and Biden was only too happy to implement it.
Biden gets to say he ended the war, pleases the progressives on his left, and blames Trump for it, all at the same time.
And the GOP alone gets to be The Stupid Party yet once more, unless of course the thousands of Americans trapped in Kabul this morning because Biden failed to get them out ahead of time are not permitted to leave, or are taken hostage.
Their fate, and Biden's reputation, are in the Taliban's hands, and that, when all is said and done, is the Democrats' disgrace.
