One week after Election 2026 19 U.S. House races remain uncalled, 2 in the U.S. Senate

House:

 

AK-at large

CA-4

CA-7

CA-23

CA-40

CO-4

FL-27

LA-5

LA-6 

ME-2

MN-1

NC-3

NC-5

NC-7

NC-8

NC-10

NY-1

NY-2

TN-4

 

Senate:

 

AK

MS 

 

Six days after Election 2026 and the U.S. House is divided Democrats 252 to GOP 160 with 23 races still uncalled and Republicans leading in 12

 And 2 of the 23 will go to a runoff in Louisiana.

If Republicans win the 12 races in which they are leading today they will seat only 172 in January, 48 fewer than in the current House with 220 seats, an outcome worthy of 1948.

Republicans went from 179 seats in the U.S. House in January 2009 to 242 in January 2011, a gain of 63 seats in the 2010 election.

I think the last time Republicans had fewer than 179 seats in the House was after the election of 1948 with just 171 seats. Truman famously defeated Dewey that year 303 electoral college votes to 189, with Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond pulling away 39 in the south.

The average number of seats held by Republicans in the U.S. House in the last ten victories 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2022, and 2024 has been 231, and 198 in the last four defeats in 2006, 2008, 2018, and 2020.

 

  

Three days after the 2026 Blue Wave election, 29 U.S. House seats are still uncalled with Republicans currently leading in 17 of those

 Three days after the 2026 Blue Wave election, 29 U.S. House seats are still uncalled with Republicans currently leading in 17 of those.

If Republicans win them all, their caucus will end up at 173, down 47 seats from the 220 they had to start Trump's second term.

An additional 3 races remain exactly tied this morning.

The upcoming Lame Duck session has a party breakdown of GOP 218 v DEM 214 with 2 vacancies, one from each party, and one independent (formerly GOP).

 

 

 

  

DeSantis is overreacting

DeSantis: Close To "Extinction-Level Event" For Republicans, So Why Did Florida Hold Up?

Did Democrats go extinct when the GOP took the House in 2010 by a net +63? Obviously not.

At this hour Democrats are ahead by a net +38. 

The Senate is currently D54-R44 with two races still not called.

This is the expected Blue Wave. 

Deal with it. 

Stevens v El-Sayed still not called, polling in this race was . . . EXTREMELY MISLEADING

Was that on purpose?

Did half of Gen Z lie again?

Or are the pollsters simply incompetent like most of the people seeking to govern us?

 

 

 

CA-13 was decided for the Democrat overnight, so the final US House outcome is GOP 220, Dems 215

 CA-13 flipped Republican in this election, as did CA-27 and CA-45.

Republicans flipped no seats in California, and nationally Democrats picked up one seat on net and the GOP lost one on net.

Republicans have the same razor thin US House majority in the next Congress that they have now.

Bye Bye Red Wave.

CA-45 has been called for the Democrat, while no one is paying attention today

 The margin of victory is 613 votes.

CA-13 remains uncalled, so GOP HOUSE 220 v DEM HOUSE 214.

A GOP House of 221 might be as good as it gets with uncalled CA-45 going Democrat and uncalled CA-13 barely Republican by 204 votes

 

Steel for the GOP in CA-45 was ahead days ago, then went 50-50 with the Democrat, and is now behind

 

Duarte for the GOP was ahead by over 1-point hours ago in CA-13, but not anymore

 

AK-1 has been called for Nick Begich giving the GOP 220-213 in the US House with CA-13 and CA-45 still uncalled

 

At this hour there are just three US House races which remain uncalled, with the current election at 219 GOP v 213 Democrat

 GOP control of the US House at 218 would be secure, if it weren't for Trump poaching from this field to populate his government.

Not. Very. Bright.

It also tells you that the poached aren't very bright either: Stefanik, Waltz, Gaetz, and Rubio from the US Senate also.

Special elections are required for the House district vacancies. The governor of Florida can appoint Rubio's replacement, but that is only temporary.

Democrats said electing Trump would be a return to chaos.

They were correct about that.

 

Uncalled US House race CA-45 is suddenly all tied up when the Republican was slightly ahead 24hrs ago

 

tonight

24hrs ago

Uncalled US House race CA-13 shows the Democrat surging against the Republican in the last 24hrs

 

tonight

24hrs ago

Uncalled US House race AK-1 shows slight tightening in favor of the Democrat in the last 24hrs

 

tonight

24hrs ago

Republicans have won 219 seats in the US House so far, and these three of six remaining undecided races are their best shot for 222

Except Matt Gaetz is in that 219 and he has just resigned tonight. So 218.

Stefanik is in that 218 and she is taking the UN Ambassador job. When matters. A lot.

Waltz is in that 218 and he is going to be National Security Adviser. When matters. A lot.

The GOP really needs all three seats below just to get back to 221 now, not 222 as before, just one seat better than the current majority. And CA-45 looks more and more iffy to me as the count continues.

Trump is crazy playing chicken with the House majority in this way, and even crazier appointing Gaetz to Attorney General.

Gaetz will not be confirmed.

Trump's disrespect for the House outcome is a terrible beginning to his second term.

 

The Arizona US Senate race has been called overnight for the Democrats, giving them 47 seats in the new Congress

 Kari Lake, the losing Republican, quit her TV anchor job in 2021, which she had from 1999, to run for governor in 2022 and lost to the Democrat, and predictably has lost again in the race for US Senate in 2024.

Over time she has been a Republican, an independent, a Democrat, and a Republican again.

Undecided House races are proceeding at a glacial pace, but since yesterday three Republicans have each seen their vote shares contract

Ciscomani in AZ-6 from 49.2 to 49.1

Garcia in CA-27 from 49.6 to 49.1

Steel in CA-45 from 51.3 to 51.1

 

Republicans currently lead in 5 of the 10 undecided races. If they win all those, they'll have 222 in the House.

But of course subtract Stefanik, and you are left with 221 GOP to advance President Trump's agenda in the first 100 days when 218 are needed. 

Again, this was not a Republican "sweep", "a great realignment", a MAGA movement revolution, or any of the rubbish we're hearing from the cheering section.

This is just more of the same on the House side, where the GOP majority is 220.

Donald Trump is already hard at work making long lists of all the things he's not going to accomplish as president, which he'll foolishly fritter away his time on

 Ten points about The Swamp.

Seven points about The War on the Drug Cartels.

Trump's saying all this stuff and we don't even know yet if Republicans will win the US House, where they have 214 seats as of right now and lead narrowly in 8 undecided races. If they win them all they'll have 222 seats, with 218 needed for the majority.

If not, well that'll be the end of all ambition, now won't it?

222 at best is a very narrow margin to accomplish anything anyway, a mere continuation of the status quo where Republicans in the House must tread lightly to keep the caucus unified with a very similarly sized narrow majority (220).

What kind of sweep was this? Once again the Trump movement . . . isn't.

It would be easy to call this stuff hubris from Trump. Let's just say he still hasn't learned anything about how to accomplish anything of relatively permanent value. He has NO priorities when everything is a priority. He is, once again, unserious.

The Senate will be in Republican hands, so we'll at least get more judicial appointments who might advance traditional American principles of law and order.

The scuttlebutt is that the first agenda item in Congress will be making Trump's expiring tax reform permanent.

I can imagine him having to waste the entire first year on this. He'd be better off quickly settling for its extension for another ten years under reconciliation rules, and then move along smartly to immigration and energy reforms before the midterms are upon us in 2026, after which he'll be the lamest of lame ducks.

If there's any hope of boosting GDP and improving everyone's pocketbook they've got to make energy reform the priority. And mere immigration enforcement solves an untold number of other problems which bedevil the country, like illegal drugs, crime, and social spending.

Spending bills will come as they will, and should simply aim to starve the federal government of money to shrink it, as could have been the case last time but nothing changed. The beast grows naturally because permanent spending programs are indexed to inflation. That isn't going to be stopped. Growing the economy to pay the bills is therefore job one.

I'm expecting very little positive from this lot, but I do hope J. D. Vance will emerge at the end of it to take us to a better future.

Democrats who say they fear Trump because he's an authoritarian are absolutely comic. Watch for rogue judges to hamstring him just like last time, and Trump will bluster and fume and things will simply muddle along.

But, of course, unforeseen events like wars have a way of intruding and making mooks of us all. Let's hope Trump can finally make a deal to end and prevent them.

Republicans to retake Michigan State House from Democrats, ending 2022 absolute hegemony over state government

 The Detroit News has Republicans with 57 seats so far in the Michigan State House, Democrats with 45, 8 undecided.

Even if all the undecided go Democrat, that's a 4-seat majority for the Republicans.