So says Real Clear Politics tonight.
But the hold is not by much, and the Republican challenger, who is down by just under 3000 votes, has yet to concede.
Jerry McNerney, the incumbent Democrat, looks to have benefitted by a third party challenge to the Republican David Harmer's right. A Constitution Party candidate siphoned-off about 5% of the vote from the Republican, over 9000 votes, more than enough to have made all the difference.
With one race not yet called, NY-1, the Republicans have a net gain of 63 in the US House.