Showing posts with label Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. Show all posts

Sunday, May 3, 2026

JMIC Update 40 for tanker traffic in the Middle East April 26-May 2, 2026

Middle East Tanker Traffic April 26-May 2, 2026

Strait of Hormuz E: 1.85/day
Strait of Hormuz W: 1.28/day
Total: 3.13/day
Normal (2022): 70/day
Down 95.5%
 
Bab-el-Mandeb Strait SE: 7.0/day
Bab-el-Mandeb Strait NW: 7.42/day
Total: 14.42/day
Normal (2022): 30/day
Down 51.9%

 

 


Thursday, April 30, 2026

JMIC Update 39 for tanker traffic in the Middle East April 23-29, 2026

Middle East Tanker Traffic April 23-29, 2026

Strait of Hormuz E: 2.14/day
Strait of Hormuz W: 0.28/day
Total: 2.42/day
Normal (2022): 70/day
Down 96.5%
 
Bab-el-Mandeb Strait SE: 6.57/day
Bab-el-Mandeb Strait NW: 7.71/day
Total: 14.28/day
Normal (2022): 30/day
Down 52.4%

 


 

Tuesday, April 28, 2026

JMIC Update 38 for tanker traffic in the Middle East April 21-27, 2026

Middle East Tanker Traffic April 21-27, 2026

Strait of Hormuz E: 1.71/day
Strait of Hormuz W: 0.57/day
Total: 2.28/day
Normal (2022): 70/day
Down 96.7%
 
Bab-el-Mandeb Strait SE: 6.42/day
Bab-el-Mandeb Strait NW: 6.85/day
Total: 13.27/day
Normal (2022): 30/day
Down 55.8% 


 

Sunday, April 26, 2026

JMIC Update 37 for tanker traffic in the Straits of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb 19-25 April 2026

 SoH E: 2.4/day
SoH W: 1.0/day (ZERO 23-25 Apr)
Normal 2022: 70
Down 95% 
 
BAM SE: 7.1/day
BAM NW: 8.4/day
Normal 2022: 30 
Down 48% 


Thursday, April 23, 2026

Strait of Hormuz/Bab-el-Mandeb Strait JMIC Update 036 for 16-22 April 2026 tanker traffic

SoH E tankers: 2.57 per day April 16-22

SoH W tankers: 2.00 per day

Normal (2022): ~70.00 total per day

Down 93% 

BAM tankers SE: 6.57 per day April 16-22

BAM tankers NW: 6.28 per day 

Normal (2022): ~30.00 total per day

Down 57% 

 



Tuesday, April 21, 2026

JMIC Update 035 for the Middle East maritime region is confusing

 The data boxes cover April 14-20 but are entitled April 12-18.

And what is "2BAM Total" lol? Only The Sweet know for sure.

Anyway tankers exiting the Strait of Hormuz E now average 3/day April 19-20 vs. 2/day in the previous five day period. Big whoop.

Tanker traffic in and out of the Red Sea through the Bab-el-Mandeb averages 20/day April 19-20 vs. 8.2/day in the previous five day period.

Is that reflecting a mad dash before the ceasefire ends tomorrow? 


Sunday, April 19, 2026

JMIC update 034 for the Middle East maritime region shows Strait of Hormuz combined cargo and tanker transits averaging 7.5 vessels per day April 12-18 vs. 138 normally

 But tankers exiting the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz average just 2 per day April 12-18.

After the 13th, just 10 tankers have exited over 5 days, also 2 per day. 

Tankers transiting the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait to and from the Red Sea, whether northwest (3.5/day) and possibly through the Suez or southeast (4/day) and headed to East Asia, average 7.5 per day.

Suezmax tankers carrying up to 1 million barrels of oil are the largest which can pass fully laden through the Suez.

Before the war, a dozen or so VLCCs, which have a capacity of 2 million barrels, transited the Strait of Hormuz daily out of 65-70 tankers which did so.

Total SoH tanker exits daily used to average 25-30.

Yanbu on the Red Sea can fill 2-5 tankers daily depending on the size (maybe 4 Suezmax), plus 2 per day out of the Persian Gulf, so we are at the max operating at 23% of normal tanker exits in the last week (7/30).

And again, that's just tankers, not a statement of actual oil volume.

And which of these were stopped by the U.S. Navy after transit only the Navy knows, as do people whose full time job it is to know, which isn't me. 

If Monday pays attention to reality, oil prices will rise. 

 


Sunday, April 12, 2026

Tanker transits in both the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea crawled to a virtual halt on April 10-11

Just two out of the Strait of Hormuz April 10-11, just nine through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait in either direction after Iran attacked the Saudi pipeline to Yanbu on April 8-9.

 


Tuesday, March 31, 2026

In other words, this would mean Trump is going to cut and run from the Persian Gulf just like he cut and ran from the Red Sea on May 6, 2025

 Trump Tells Aides He’s Willing to End War Without Reopening Hormuz: Administration officials assess that forcing the waterway back open would mean extending the military mission

WASHINGTON—President Trump told aides he’s willing to end the U.S. military campaign against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, administration officials said, likely extending Tehran’s firm grip on the waterway and leaving a complex operation to reopen it for a later date.

In recent days, Trump and his aides assessed that a mission to pry open the chokepoint would push the conflict beyond his timeline of four to six weeks. He decided that the U.S. should achieve its main goals of hobbling Iran’s navy and its missile stocks and wind down current hostilities while pressuring Tehran diplomatically to resume the free flow of trade. If that fails, Washington would press allies in Europe and the Gulf to take the lead on reopening the strait, the officials said. ...


 

Sunday, March 29, 2026

The latest UKMTO JMIC Advisory on 3/29 indicates 12 tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz in the last 7 days vs. 2 previously, 78 through the Bab al-Mandab Strait vs. 130 previously

 Persian Gulf Activity: 1.7/day last week vs. 0.3/day prior week

Red Sea Activity: 11.1/day last week vs. 18.6/day prior week 

JMIC Advisory Mar 29

JMIC Advisory Mar 22