New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh says the Fed has no tolerance for high inflation, except for 82% of the time since 1965 when it's been above 2%

The Fed has met its goal of keeping inflation below 2% in only eleven of the last sixty years, which I'm sure was just an accident.

 

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, whose wealth is his wife's, peddles the myth that the Fed is in control

This country eats, drinks, and sleeps inflation in the post-war . . . at 3.4% since 1948.

It's the cover for the haves to rob the have-nots. The Fed's job is to keep it going, just at a lower level than the 4.4% of the last six years, while telling you that they work for you when they actually work for the banks and the corporations.

From 1871 to 1948 the inflation rate was 0.8%, for most of which time we had sound money . . . until they confiscated it in 1934.

The only true words below are "We don't know". 

 

 Warsh promises inflation will be a ‘thing of the past,’ cites benefits of AI investment boom

... "if we get policy right — and we will — the inflation surge of the last five years will be a thing of the past."

... "While monthly price fluctuations are inevitable — especially in an unsettled world — underlying inflation over longer time horizons is determined largely by monetary policy," he said. 

... "We don’t know the extent to which the economy will benefit from the AI buildout," he added. "Yet it seems inevitable that what is now called ‘AI investment’ will soon be called just ‘investment.’"

Warsh previously has said he expects an AI productivity boom will prove disinflationary — a premise challenged by some economists as well as his fellow Fed policymakers. ...                          

 

Gee, I hope it's not this disinflationary:

 

 

Markets to Warsh: Welcome to the party, pal

Do you think the markets care much about the Fed lol?

Ten articles on the front page right now at CNBC:

 

Warsh experiences worst ‘Fed day’ S&P 500 performance for a new chair since 1994 

Chairman Warsh abstains from giving rate forecast as several members signal a hike in 2026

2-year Treasury yield rockets higher as many Fed officials signal possible hike this year

Chairman Warsh drastically alters Fed rate statement. Here’s what’s changed

Fed holds interest rates steady: Here’s what that means for your borrowing and savings rates

Fed holds rates steady, pares down statement to remove cutting bias

Fed meeting recap: Warsh announces task forces to overhaul major Federal Reserve operations

Jeffrey Gundlach says Fed’s Warsh is not going to be the ‘easy money’ chairman many hoped for 

The market didn’t like what it heard from the Fed and its new leader Kevin Warsh

Five big takeaways from Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed chairman

 

 

Kevin Warsh wasn't sworn in as Fed chair on Friday and Powell is still in charge because Warsh has so many assets to unload to meet ethics requirements he couldn't get 'em all done on time lol

 So the bond vigilantes threw a party and sold off, spiking yields across the board 1.44% on the day, throwing down the gauntlet at Warsh, daring him to cut in the face of all the chaos Trump is causing.

The 20-year soared to 5.14%.

Yields are up 2.8% in the aggregate since the beginning of the month.

6% inflation is knocking on the door.

Inflation rate projected to hit 6% in the second quarter, top economic forecasters say

 

 

 

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed chair 54-45 by the US Senate, takes over from Powell on Friday

 Kevin Warsh wins Senate confirmation as the next Federal Reserve chair

... In the most divisive vote ever for a Fed chair, Warsh, 56, won confirmation to take over for Jerome Powell, who has served in the top leadership position since 2018 and whose term will expire Friday.

The Senate voted 54-45 to confirm Warsh, ending a months long saga that began in the summer of 2025 and included an extensive search for Powell’s successor. The vote was almost completely along party lines, with only Pennsylvania Democrat Sen. John Fetterman crossing over to vote for Warsh, who becomes the 11th Fed chair of the modern banking era.

Powell will stay on at the Fed as he has two years left in his term as governor. ... 

The Jerome Powell Fed Chair era draws to a close effective May 15, but Powell could remain a Fed governor until his term ends in January 2028

Fed holds rates steady but with highest level of dissent since 1992

... In what may have been Chair Jerome Powell’s final meeting at the helm, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee voted to hold the benchmark funds rate in a range between 3.5%-3.75%. Markets had been pricing in a 100% chance of no change. ...

It wasn't much of a dissent when the vote to hold rates steady was 11-1. Three of the eleven simply disagreed that right now the Fed should say as it does in the official statement that it remains open to new information which might suggest additional rate cuts in the future, when in their opinion that sends the wrong signal when inflation remains as elevated as it is at present.

Jerome Powell says he will continue to serve as a Fed governor, calls Trump criticism ‘unprecedented’  

... “My decisions on these matters will continue to be guided entirely by what I believe is in the best interest of the institution and the people we serve after my term as chair ends on May 15, and will continue to serve as a governor for a period of time to be determined,” he added. ...

Stock investors fared very well under Powell. Bond investors, not so much 

...  the S&P 500 rallied 14.7% annually under Powell, the third best performance for Fed chairs going back to 1970, Bespoke Investment Group found. ...

“He believed in easy money. He voted for all the QEs. He voted for zero interest rates,” Boockvar said. “It’s only when inflation mugged him ... that he became more hawkish ... .”

But the problem with accommodative monetary policy is, “Easy money gets investors drunk on things, and puts beer goggles on them,” Boockvar said. ’Sometimes it ends up OK, but other times it ends up in rampant inflation.”

 ... The Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index that aims to track all U.S. investment-grade debt returned just under 2% annually during Powell’s tenure, far below the average of 6.5% since the 1970s, according to Bespoke. ... 

Analysis: The Warsh revolution is coming. Powell won’t stand in the way. 

... the only major challenge for Warsh, as far as Powell is concerned, will be driving consensus within the Fed for where to set interest rates. Wednesday’s dissents suggest that won’t be easy. But Powell, whom Warsh has described as a failed chair who chose inflation, went out of his way to say Warsh is up to the task.

The chair’s job is to “create consensus” among the Fed’s voters and to “be inside their thinking,” Powell said.

Warsh “has the capabilities, skills to be very good at that,” Powell said.

 

If Warsh cuts interest rates in this environment, he'll be choosing inflation, too.

Inflation is very painful for the people, but for a government which absolutely refuses to get its fiscal house in order Powell's choice of inflation was the only medicine available to him, faced as he was with a national debt snowballing toward $40 trillion and the moon after that, and desperately in need of devaluation. 

When the going gets tough, cave lol

 DOJ drops criminal probe of Fed Chair Powell, removes hurdle for Warsh confirmation

Mad King Ludwig can't get Kevin Warsh confirmed on time, throws another tantrum at Powell

 Powell staying on as acting chair until Trump can get his shit together would be customary procedure, not an anomaly.

 Trump threatens to fire Powell if Fed chair doesn’t leave office on his own

 Fed nominee Warsh filings detail vast wealth, far exceeding past chairs

 ... Warsh’s filings detail roughly 1,800 individual assets. Many individual items are identified as being subject to “pre-existing confidentiality obligations” that prevent him from specifying the underlying assets.

Warsh in the filings pledges to divest these assets if confirmed. ...

Larry Kudlow has really devolved, falsely calling Fed Chair Powell the Fed’s first forever board member

Larry knows that's a lie.

He knows it's Senator Thom Tillis who is stopping Kevin Warsh from getting a Fed chair confirmation hearing, not Jerome Powell.

But he never mentions that.

Truly disgraceful.

I guess Larry wants no one in charge at the Fed when Powell's term expires on May 15. 

Meanwhile Alan Greenspan remained as Fed chair in 1996 pending confirmation for his next term, which took almost four months, and Marriner Eccles stayed on as Fed chair for over two months after his term expired, and on the board of governors after that from 1948-1951. G. William Miller stayed on as Fed chair for over a month in 1978 after his term expired, and Chair Powell himself had to wait over three months in 2022 for confirmation to his second term.

But Larry doesn't mention any of that either, because he's a liar.  

Powell is doing his duty while Mad King Ludwig tries to wreck everything he touches, and Larry Kudlow has become nothing but Trump's partisan hack.

The New York Sun and Real Clear Politics should be ashamed of themselves for circulating this trash.  

Powell's Bizarre Plan To Stay On at the Fed

Larry Kudlow, New York Sun

The real reason Trump appointed Warsh to Fed Chair

 Trump needs cheaper gold for The Ballroom.

 

Gold and silver plunge after Trump picks more pragmatic Kevin Warsh to head the Fed over dove Kevin Hassett

 Gold and Silver tumble as Trump’s Fed Chair pick Warsh seen as preserving central bank independence

... Claudio Wewel, FX strategist at J. Safra Sarasin Sustainable Asset Management, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Friday that a “perfect storm” of geopolitical tensions had helped precious metals move higher this year, pointing to the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and Washington’s threats to use military force in Greenland and Iran.

More recently, he said, speculation over who would be nominated as the next Fed chair had been influencing metal markets.

“The market has clearly been pricing the risk of a much more dovish contender, that’s been largely helping the gold price along with other precious metal prices. Over the last 24 hours, the news flow has changed a little bit,” Wewel said, prior to Trump’s announcement. ...