Saturday, March 14, 2026

SPX/GDP, then vs. now

SPX(average annual)/GDP(trillions of dollars), then vs. now

1938: 131

1942: 52

1964/1965: 118 

1982: 35

2000: 139 

2009: 65

2019: 135 

2025: 202

Median 1938-2019: 81

This ratio has been above 139 for six consecutive years 2020-2025, which is unprecedented for the era shown. Even so, return places third because dividends are puny in the age of obscenely overpaid dirty rotten CEOs and management.

Return: nominal/real, average per annum, dividends fully reinvested

12/1942-12/1965: 15.43%/12.30%

12/1982-12/2000: 16.66/12.97

12/2009-12/2025: 14.09/11.23