Showing posts with label Real Clear Politics 2024. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Real Clear Politics 2024. Show all posts

Sunday, December 29, 2024

Trump's two-faced positioning on the H-1B Visa Program in 2024 is mirrored by his two-faced positioning on DACA from 2015


 

 Trump was NEVER all-in about his immigration positions, which went back and forth from the beginning. 

People forget that he and Ann Coulter had a knock-down drag-out fight in the Oval Office about immigration sometime in late 2017, early 2018. The newly elected president had done NOTHING about the border wall, deportations, and the Dreamers. He had used her book about immigration to distinguish himself from the numerous other GOP candidates and get himself elected, and promptly tossed her aside like all the other women he has cheated on.

Trump is nothing if he's not a user.

People also forget the blow up in August 2016 before he was even president, when Trump toyed publicly with the idea of a DACA amnesty. NeverTrump noticed:

Donald Trump ... is suddenly embracing the idea of working out a way to give legal status to undocumented immigrants who have been here a long time and have kept out of trouble. ... Trump's latest comments that it makes no sense to deport millions of people who have lived in the U.S. for a decade or more -- which constitutes two-thirds of the undocumented immigrants here now -- are a far cry from what he had been saying for the previous 14 months.

MAGA ignored this. Conservatives like Coulter were demoralized, months before they were actually betrayed. Trump only narrowly defeated Hillary. 

And few remember how he blew himself up in the 2018 elections, losing the House, in part because he used DACA as a bargaining chip in early 2018 in a failed attempt to get his wall funded, shutting down the government in the process. His lone achievements in his first two years were a modest and temporary tax cut package, and a massive defense spending bill to restore what Obama had gutted.

The legions of disaffected young men hoping Trump-Vance would bring a new era of opportunity for native born Americans over cheaper foreign workers are sadly experiencing buyer's remorse because of Trump's capitulation to the Tech Bros, discovering anew that Trump is the snake in the parable he always used to talk about on the campaign trail.

Welcome to hell part deux.



 

Thursday, November 28, 2024

The lying media have taken a phrase from David Plouffe and blown it up into something he did not say, so that Republicans and Democrats both can pretend that everything was Kamala Harris' fault

 David Plouffe said the campaign did not ever have Harris in the lead specifically in late September and early October in their internal polling, and that this was only his recollection about a period one month before the election.

The guy must have had literally hundreds of polls in his head from throughout the campaign.

When we got in, my recollection is some of that [Biden deficit] snapped back, but you know, we were behind. I mean, I think it surprised people because there was these public polls that came out in late September, early October, showing us with leads that we never saw. You know, I mean, it was just basically a race that in the battlegrounds was 46-47, 47-48. So that’s not where we started. We started behind. She was able to climb out.

Here.

Yes, they were behind, big time, in July and August.

But they climbed out indeed, to the point Harris led for the first time by Aug 29 in the public polling averages, and she retook the lead three times in September after losing it in her duel with Trump. 

And Harris kept her Sep 18 lead all the way to Sep 29 when Trump overtook her one last time. 

After that she never got the lead back again.

Should we be surprised Plouffe's internal polling from late September and early October never showed Harris leading?

Of course not. His internal polling showed him exactly what Real Clear's averages were showing us.

Dishonest media are trying to make Harris look as bad as possible by taking Plouffe's comments to mean she was never ahead at any time in the campaign's internal polling.

That's not what Plouffe said.

 

 

Harris for the win Aug 29

 

Harris for the win Sep 4

Harris for the win Sep 13

Harris for the win Sep 18

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

So the Harris campaign's David Plouffe saw public polls showing they might be ahead in early October when Real Clear Politics showed that Harris' last lead ended September 29th

. . . there was these public polls that came out in late September, early October, showing us with leads that we never saw.
 
Here. 
 
I'm scratching my head over that, but I think everyone's focusing on a fiction of their own making. Plouffe never said they never saw Harris ahead in their internal polling at all, only during the period in question.
 
In the public polling, Harris went ahead in the averages on August 30th and duked it out with Trump throughout September, with the lead changing hands six times. Plouffe can't be talking about that.
 
It would make sense that their internal polling never showed a lead in early October, because it had already disappeared by then.
 
Nevertheless, Harris had recaptured Michigan and Wisconsin by the end of October in the polling averages, even though Trump retained his lead in the Electoral College.
 
I think Plouffe's memory of early October is just a little faulty.
 
That's all.

 

September 19th Harris ahead with 276

September 29th Trump ahead 281


Sunday, November 17, 2024

Not only was John Thune more popular in North Dakota than Donald Trump in 2016, newly elected governor Kelly Armstrong is more popular than Trump in 2024

But, yeah, ridiculous once upon a time NeverTrump gasbags like Charlie Kirk think they are going to remove John Thune.

Donald Trump once laughably thought the same thing about Kelly Armstrong.

 



Friday, November 15, 2024

One nutball era ends, another begins

 Trump attorney general pick Matt Gaetz under scrutiny as House Ethics report on sex and drug claims takes focus :

On Thursday, an attorney for the woman who alleges she had a sexual relationship with Gaetz when she was a minor said the Ethics panel should release the report.

“Mr. Gaetz’s likely nomination as Attorney General is a perverse development in a truly dark series of events. We would support the House Ethics Committee immediately releasing their report,” John Clune, a partner at Hutchinson Black and Cook, wrote on X.

“She was a high school student and there were witnesses,” the lawyer added.     

 

Trump picks vaccine skeptic RFK Jr. for Health and Human Services secretary

Kennedy, in a post on X, thanked Trump and wrote, “I’m committed to advancing your vision to Make America Healthy Again.” ...

Andrea Ducas, vice president of health policy for the advocacy group Center for American Progress, in a statement called Trump’s choice of Kennedy “nothing short of disastrous for the country.”

“His track record and open skepticism of longstanding medical science could jeopardize the incredible public health gains we’ve accomplished as a nation – including the gains we’ve made in combatting infectious disease through childhood vaccination programs and in making our food supply safer through pasteurization,” Ducas said.

 

End of the Nutball Era

Sure, sure it is.

 


 

 

 

Thursday, October 24, 2024

Kamala Harris isn't the first Democrat to demonize a Republican as Hitler: It's a family tradition with a long history that works


 CHICAGO, Oct. 25 -- A Republican victory on election day will bring a Fascistic threat to American freedom that is even more dangerous than the perils from communism and extreme right "crackpots," President Truman asserted here tonight. ...

Truman prevailed by 4.48 points, winning 303 Electoral College votes.


 

Monday, October 21, 2024

Feelings decide presidential elections, and Trump just made people who eat at McDonalds feel good

  . . . feelings decide presidential elections, and the almost gleeful anti-American thrust of Biden’s presidency has given more than 60% of potential voters a feeling that we are on the wrong track as a nation.

More. 

 



Saturday, October 19, 2024

Meanwhile Salena Zito tells us how it's going, and Zack Beauchamp is probably going to have himself committed

 

 

The fact that [18-year incumbent Democrat Senator Bob] Casey is running an ad highlighting how much he agrees with former President Donald Trump tells you everything you need to know about how Pennsylvania is going. ...

The latest Real Clear Politics averages have Trump with a slim lead over Harris, which is likely dicey not just for Harris but also for Casey.





Thursday, October 3, 2024

Harris-Biden disaster response in Western North Carolina is a disaster: 40 civilian choppers rescuing people stuck in the mountains, many at their own expense, but only 2 US government

What got me fired up about this was yesterday, me and my team did the rescue of that 11-day-old baby and all these government officials and social media, they're showing that video, pictures and video of that rescue and claiming that they have some government help with that. Even USA Today wrote an article about it saying it was a Florida National Guard that went and got it with a helicopter. No, it was me, my buddy Charlie, and a civilian named Zeb with his own personal helicopter out of Wilmington, North Carolina. 

Without that civilian, that baby would be dead. And the old lady we went and rescued after that, she'd be dead too because she had one day left of oxygen. No one was going to go get them. 

I will tell you when we go up in the air, I probably see 40 civilian helicopters. I might see two Blackhawks, National Guard, military, whatever they are. That's it.

More.

Wednesday, October 2, 2024

J. D. Vance v Tim Walz and CBS debate moderators: Harris-Biden facilitate illegal immigration through CBP One application

 CBS News Cuts Mic When JD Vance Tries To Explain Mobile App For Asylum Seekers :

SEN. JD VANCE: The rules were you weren't going to fact check, and since you are going to fact-check me, it's important to say what's actually going on. There is an application called the "CBP One" app where you can go as an illegal migrant, apply for asylum or apply for parole, and be granted legal status at the wave of a Kamala Harris open border wand. That is not a person coming in and applying for a green card and waiting for ten years, that is the facilitation of illegal immigration by our own leadership. ... The CBP One app has not been on the books since 1990. It is something that Kamala Harris created.

Nothing illustrates better the threat to free speech from Democrats and the media than what CBS did to help Walz by breaking the rules in his favor and cutting the mic:

 BRENNAN: Gentlemen, the audience can't hear you because the mics are cut. We have so much we want to get to.