Wednesday, November 27, 2024

So the Harris campaign's David Plouffe saw public polls showing they might be ahead in early October when Real Clear Politics showed that Harris' last lead ended September 29th

. . . there was these public polls that came out in late September, early October, showing us with leads that we never saw.
 
Here
 
I'm scratching my head over that, but I think everyone's focusing on a fiction of their own making. Plouffe never said they never saw Harris ahead in their internal polling at all, only during the period in question.
 
In the public polling, Harris went ahead in the averages on August 30th and duked it out with Trump throughout September, with the lead changing hands six times. Plouffe can't be talking about that.
 
It would make sense that their internal polling never showed a lead in early October, because it had already disappeared by then.
 
Nevertheless, Harris had recaptured Michigan and Wisconsin by the end of October in the polling averages, even though Trump retained his lead in the Electoral College.
 
I think Plouffe's memory of early October is just a little faulty.
 
That's all.

 

September 19th Harris ahead with 276

September 29th Trump ahead 281