Showing posts with label Real Clear Politics 2020. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Real Clear Politics 2020. Show all posts

Friday, October 30, 2020

Trump v Biden has tightened dramatically

 Internal polls reported by both the Meijer campaign and the Scholten campaign in Michigan district 03 from September show Biden +2 in the district represented by Justin Amash.

Rasmussen has been publishing daily national polls since Monday, with Trump and Biden effectively tied:

Monday Trump +1
Tuesday Biden +2
Wednesday Trump +1
Thursday Biden +1.

Rasmussen's first weekly national poll from July 12 had Biden +10.

Real Clear Politics just moved Michigan back into "toss-up" on the strength of a Trafalgar poll showing Trump +2 in the state.

Biden and Obama are scheduled to appear together in Michigan on Saturday, three days before the election.

It's a business trip.


Wednesday, September 23, 2020

The polls haven't budged at all for Trump since July: He's still getting crushed by Biden and winning just ~185 Electoral College votes

These maps, one from July 15 still showing Ohio tied, and one from today, were created at Real Clear Politics simply awarding the toss-ups to whomever has the polling advantage.

The result is the same. Trump is getting crushed.





Sunday, August 2, 2020

Real Clear Politics has moved Minnesota into "toss-up" status because of Trafalgar Group poll

The poll has Biden beating Trump by only five points in liberal Minnesota.

"A five-mile stretch of Minneapolis sustain[ing] extraordinary damage" recently, per the New York Times, probably had something to do with it.


Wednesday, January 22, 2020

CNN orchestrates woman-hater smear of Bernie on behalf of Pocahonky, then releases poll showing Bernie in the lead

Ass-covering, pure and simple.

In all the polling compiled by Real Clear Politics, Bernie has polled in the lead only one other time, in April 2019 in a tiny Emerson poll, where he was +5.

Previously CNN polling has shown Joe Biden consistently and decisively leading, by an average of +12.6 across eleven polls.

CNN polls have also been consistently tiny surveys of registered voters, not likely voters. A very large likely voter poll recently by Morning Consult shows Biden ahead nationally for the Democrat nomination by +5.