Showing posts with label Real Clear Politics 2025. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Real Clear Politics 2025. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Georgia pollster Matt Towery is in complete denial about how bad 2026 is looking for Republicans because of Trump


 

  ... I mean, I had President Trump in my Inside Advantage poll at 50% approval. I think others have him at 50%, but a lot of these other pollsters have him at 36, 38, which is just ridiculous. ... That needs to be the number one motivating message from the Republicans, their hatred for Trump ...

More. 

Trump Strongly Disapprove, currently 44%, hasn't dipped below 40% at Trump-friendly Rasmussen Reports since mid-September. 

Trump Total Approve, at 44%, has been south of 50% since mid-October.

Trump Strongly Approve, at 29%, hasn't been north of 35% since mid-October. 

Trump Approval Index, at -15, has been double digit negative since early November.

Republicans need to run in 2026 AWAY from Trump, but unfortunately for them, they spent all of 2025 worshipping Trump, and when not worshipping Trump, keeping quiet about Trump.

Chickens. Comin' home. To roost.

Sunday, December 21, 2025

Even Larry Kudlow recognizes that GDP hasn't been good since 1984

... The last time real GDP hit 5 percent for the entire year was Ronald Reagan’s 1984, where the number was 5.6 percent for that whole year. ...

Here.

If Larry were completely honest he'd recognize that real GDP growth has been in steady decline in the entire post-war.

The percent change peaks are plain as day, unless you're an ideologue.

We've gone from 8.69% in 1950, to 7.23% in 1984, to 6.15 in 2021 (COVID panic spending), and the dozen or so routine percent change years above 5% between 1950 and 1984 when the economy was still holding its own have disappeared.

click to expand
 

The Reagan Revolution didn't do one thing to stem the decline, the Trump Gimmickry even less. In fact, the Reagan Revolution made it worse.

The answer why is paradoxical.

The debt-based economy of the United States ran out of gas under Reagan because he cut the taxes which paid for that debt, too much and on the wrong people. It's still a debt-based economy, but we don't want to pay for it anymore.

This is the infantile cry of libertarianism. 

We all think the growth of debt has been the problem when paying for that growth has been the problem. We threw a tantrum and decided to stop paying for it, and its growth naturally contracted, and along with it GDP, in self-defense so to speak.  

Growth of TCMDO, the total universe of debt, which steadily climbed the ladder in the post-war, plunged after 1985, from percent change 15.36% to 11.11% in 2004 to 9.51% in 2020 (COVID panic spending).

 

Debt draws future prosperity into the present, but what you get if you don't pay for it sufficiently is less prosperity when you reach the future from which you borrowed.

And as you pay less, you then borrow even more less so to speak, and get even more less. Rinse and repeat. 

Welcome to the future. 

It's really that simple.

Taxes have been much too low on the rich, and for a long time, and reversing that is the sober reflection of an age which realizes it made a mistake, starting long before Reagan with JFK, the libertarian cad who bedded more women in the White House than the rest of them combined. His Revenue Act of 1964 passed under LBJ cut the top income tax bracket from 91% to 70%.

The question we have to ask ourselves now is, are we ready to give our system another try and tax everyone, but progressively, and practice fiscal and moral restraint for a change . . .

or are we going to say yes to the billionaires who were made by all this obscene excess and who want to impose an un-American system of feudalism with themselves at the top and the rest of us their humble serfs?

George Washington wouldn't kneel even in church.

I'm with that guy. 

Tuesday, November 25, 2025

Victor Davis Hanson is as blind to reality as Trump

 
 
 
Trump II started his term with a 5-seat advantage in the U.S. House. 
 
Trump I started his term with a 47-seat advantage.
 
Nothing lasting was achieved the first time with a huge majority, and sure as hell won't be this time because he's incompetent and the Congress hates his guts.
 
The resignation of Marjorie Taylor Greene may be just the tip of the iceberg about to sink Trump II forever. But even if it's not, a 5-seat advantage screams gridlock if Republicans will not compromise on anything.
 
Trump can issue all the Executive Orders he wants. They will be undone. He can declare all the emergencies he wants. They will be ended. 
 
There is no substitute for legislation, and he's not going to get any.
 
Meanwhile the Department of Defense is still the Department of Defense, my shrimp still come from the Gulf of Mexico, and the Great White North is still Canada, eh?
 

 

 

 
 
  

Sunday, November 23, 2025

The morons at Real Clear Politics call one of my senators a U.S. Representative

 I don't think Senator Slotkin goes far enough in her comments. She's worried only about U.S. military possibly firing their weapons at Americans in our streets on our soil when the rule of law we agree to with the nations of the world is under attack by Trump in the Caribbean when he murders noncombatants.

Somebody's giving illegal orders to kill these people, and the buck stops with Trump. 

 


 

Monday, November 17, 2025

The period is also marked by the phony utopianism of the libertarian Americanists who exalt the individual and deny that there are any limits

 In their idealism they are little different than Zohran Mamdani. 

... The United States is undeniably the beacon of hope for the world because it’s founded on the value of the individual and the ideals articulated in the Declaration of Independence. We believe every person should have an equal opportunity to pursue their dreams and determine their destiny.

For free people, there is truly no problem too big or care too small. Free people don’t wait on a government middleman to solve their problems or redefine what’s possible. ...

More.

The choice isn't between this Americanism and Zohran Mamdani. They aren't really competing visions.  

On the contrary, both are impotent in the face of intractable problems.

New York City, with an annual budget of in excess of $100 billion, needs to spend well in excess of $50 billion to fix its water and sewer systems which limit population growth and drive up rents. The place is already $125 billion in debt. In his wildest dreams Mamdani will increase taxes "only" $10 billion, about which they are having a fit.

The so-called free people of the United States also have met problems which are truly too big for them, one in the Black Sea, one in the Red Sea, and one in the South China Sea, about which $38 trillion in national debt keeps them from doing very much.

Every person should have opportunity to determine their destiny, they prattle on, except for the people of Ukraine, of Israel, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan, who will just have to do it themselves. How long does this list have to get before it includes you, too? Or are you on it already? 

Their self-indicting answer?


Saturday, November 15, 2025

Owner-occupied housing is in short supply, in part because of pandemic-related panic-buying by 5.4 million in 2020, not because of a post-pandemic illegal alien surge under Joe Biden

 ... we flooded the country with 30 million illegal immigrants who were taking houses that ought by right go to American citizens ... Under the Biden administration, the price of a new home literally doubled in four years. ...

-- The ever-ridiculous J. D. Vance, here

Hysteria is everywhere on this issue.

Owner-occupied housing is hardly higher today than it was at the 2020 peak. 

Buyers became hysterical in 2020, seeking isolation. Vance is hysterical in 2025, playing immigration politics. The Fed went hysterical in 2008 slashing interest rates, and it took fourteen years and pandemic-related inflation just to get them to snap out of it.

The Fed's ZIRP after the Great Recession drove down mortgage interest rates to sub-five percent, averaging less than three by 2021.

As everyone knows, when you lower the long term price of a mortgage, you can "buy more house".

That's the major culprit driving prices higher, making housing more expensive, that and the 2-year rule. It took more than a decade of zero interest rate policy to bring us to this pass. It has not been and will not be remedied overnight, especially by its new cheerleaders in the Trump administration.

Cutting interest rates will only make housing more expensive. 

New housing is indeed soaring, but people need to get a grip. The median sales price of all housing in the United States is up 30% since 2020, not 50% like it was in the five or six years right after 2008.

A better government tax policy on housing is called for. The biggest problem is that the mere 2-year owner-occupancy requirement for capital gains tax exclusion has turned housing into a commodity since 1997. It was a big mistake to make housing so fungible. The answer lies in applying the brakes to that, so that the emphasis is on housing as a home as opposed to as a speculative investment driving prices for all types of homes irrationally higher.

The old policy allowed the exclusion only once in a lifetime. You sold your house when you retired and enjoyed life living off the proceeds mostly tax-free, usually in a down-sized arrangement or as a renter. Otherwise during your working life, when you had to sell to move, you had to purchase at least sideways, or up in price so that your gains went into the new place, not into your pocket. That's how housing became such a tempting source of pent-up capital in the first place. There was an incentive to maintain a ladder of housing values upon which people could move more freely, mostly up but also down.

We need to go back to some form of that arrangement.

But our leaders seem to have no imagination for it. They can't see that what we did in 1997 was a revolution. A bad revolution.

Sad! 

 




Friday, November 14, 2025

Well good luck with that JD, at the rate you guys are going it will take you over 30 years to remove 30 million illegals, and that's being optimistic

 

Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Chief Democrat among them is Trump though lol

Schumer Under Fire From Dems

 


  

It's amazing how Schumer is somehow to blame for the seven Senate Democrats and one Independent who voted with Republicans for the continuing resolution, led by John Fetterman from the very beginning.

 

 

Friday, November 7, 2025

Victor Davis Hanson wouldn't know chaos if it walked up and introduced itself

 

Monday, November 3, 2025

OMG, speaking of 1984's holy trinity, lawyer Robert Barnes names the three stooges OG NeverTrumper Tucker Carlson, former client Alex Jones, and alt-right Steve Bannon the holy trinity of true MAGA lol

 Just another Manic Monday.

Real Clear Politics platforming Barnes tells you it really is 1984.

Does Israel have a stronger supporter in the world than Donald Trump? Is he a political pariah, too? 

 

Moe

 
Curly

Larry