US COVID deaths in the Johns Hopkins data blew right through the 320k mark today

 The total was 319k+ this morning and this afternoon is already 321k+

Current hospitalizations for the disease hit a new all-time high for a single day yesterday of 115,351

US COVID daily new deaths made a new high of 3,668 on 12/16/20 in the Johns Hopkins data

 

December 2020 is going to set a record for US COVID-19 deaths

 US COVID deaths have averaged 2,488 per day in the first twenty days of December 2020. Projected through the 31st that will result in over 77,000 deaths.

April 2020 had been the worst month for deaths to date with 58,836.

That's pretty shocking: US adds 10k COVID deaths in 3 days in Johns Hopkins data set, total has now crossed 310k

 

US COVID deaths hit 300k in the Johns Hopkins data this evening

 A couple of days earlier than I had expected.

Drudge headline saying Alabama is running low on hospital beds is total BS, linked story doesn't say that, data shows only 15% of hospital beds in Alabama are occupied by COVID patients

 

The basic premise of the Election 2020 fraud proponents is completely mistaken

 The basic premise is that Trump was winning on election day, only to lose overnight as a flood of fraudulent ballots washed away his lead.

This is completely mistaken.

It is now clear that just 54% of voters voted "in person", either early or on election day. 46% voted by mail/absentee.

66% of Trump's vote was "in person", but only 42% of Biden's. That's why it appeared that Trump won on election day.

Most of Biden's vote, 58%, was counted after the polls had closed into the next day(s) because it was absentee/by mail. He had a larger reservoir of his voters to draw on than did Trump, whose post-election day reservoir was only 34% of his vote.

There were doubtless more fraudulent votes cast this election because so many of the ballots were absentee/by mail, and so many more people voted and voted this way. The problem has been proving it, and proving it was large enough to flip places like Georgia, Wisconsin, and Arizona.

Absentee/by mail ballots typically post high rejection rates for voter noncompliance reasons: failure to sign the envelope, failure to return it on time, failure to mark the ballot correctly, failure of the signature to match the record, failure to show a return address matching the file, and much more. These rates typically exceed 1%, often by quite a lot. The problem is rejection rates in this election are coming in much lower than 1%, which, contrary to the Democrats, is a huge red flag.

Investigation of these problems should have been Team Trump's number one objective in challenging this election. Unfortunately and characteristically it got side-tracked by craziness and laziness, the hallmarks of the Trump era. Pieces of paper are evidence. Fanciful theories using computer "data" are not. Courts are not interested in jeopardizing their claim to impartiality by facilitating fishing expeditions for one political party against another. Either you've got the goods, or you don't.

It's sad Trump is such an incompetent and wasn't ready for this, but it is what it is. All the "shouldas wouldas and couldas" in the world ain't gonna fix it.

Buh-bye.

US Coronavirus update through 12/12/20

 Deaths per day from COVID by state since Jan 22 through Saturday 12/12/20:

NY  122

TX  80

FL  69

CA  65

NJ  62

IL  47

PA  44

MI  40

MA  36

GA  34

OH  27

LA, IN  24

AZ  23

NC  20

CT, TN  19

MD  18

SC, MO  17

VA, MN 16

MS, AL  15

CO, WI  14

AR, IA  11

WA, NV, KY  9.

Deaths per day from COVID monthly have leapt from 763 in October to 1,250 in November to 2,496 in the first twelve days of December. If the current December rate per day is sustained it will top April's 1,961 and May's 1,330.

Current hospitalizations for COVID were approximately 30k at the beginning of October, 47k at the end of October, 92k at the end of November, and at a new high of 108,487 on 12/12.

Mask-wearing and social distancing, where practised, have been insufficient by themselves to stop transmission since the lockdowns, where implemented, have been lifted. The entire US strategy hasn't been worthy of the name under Trump, and it won't be under Biden, either.

What was required was: temporary lockdowns to slow the spread, and then a permanent regime after opening of 1) mask-wearing, 2) social distancing, 3) universal testing, 4) isolation of the infected, and 5) tracing the contacts of the infected, followed by testing, isolation and tracing for an indefinite period until transmission became minimal and a vaccine became available.

This was the program enunciated by Dr Michael J Ryan of the World Health Organization on March 13. It has hardly been followed but for a few countries. And it's a scandal that the American CDC and NIH haven't insisted on this.

COVID-19 remains the 3rd leading cause of death in the US behind heart disease and cancer.

The compound daily growth rate for COVID deaths measured weekly is threatening to return to spring levels:

 

Peak US daily deaths from COVID in the Johns Hopkins data to date occurred on 12/11/20 with 3,309 which was 25.6% of the total global deaths from COVID on that date of 12,921

 

Climate Updates for KGRR: October and November 2020

 October 2020 Climate Update for KGRR

Max T 79, Mean 79

Min T 25, Mean 28

Av T 48, Mean 51.3

Rain 2.67, Mean 3.03

Snow Tr, Mean 0.4

Heating Degree Days 527, Mean 424

Cooling Degree Days 0, Mean 9

Cooling Degree Days to date 829, Mean 700

 November 2020 Climate Update for KGRR

Max T 77, Mean 66

Min T 22, Mean 17

Av T 44.3, Mean 39.1

Rain 2.27, Mean 2.84

Snow 0.4, Mean 6.3

Heating Degree Days 614, Mean 772

Cooling Degree Days 3, Mean 0

Cooling Degree Days to date 832, Mean 700

Average Temperature Year to date 51.7, Mean to date 50: 2020 average temperature is running 3.4% above the mean.

Peak average annual temperature since 1898 occurred in 2012 at 52.8 degrees F, 9.5% above the mean average annual temperature of 48.2.

So it's been warmer than normal in 2020 to date, but nothing record-setting.

Grand Rapids, MI is forecast to receive its first sub 20 degree F temperatures of the season this week.

US COVID deaths blew right through the 290k mark this morning in the Johns Hopkins data

 Deaths were approximately 289.5k early this morning, but blew right through that in short order to get almost to 292k tonight.

107,258 are currently hospitalized.

The difference between 47.6% of population with full time jobs in Nov 2020 and 52% is 11.5 million

 Think of each of those 11.5 million full-time units forming a household, buying a house, buying a car, buying a washing machine, raising some kids, paying taxes for good schools to which to send them, etc.

That's what's missing.

Sad! 

Just a reminder that the harrowing nature of full time employment in the United States hasn't changed much as of Nov 2020

 As a percentage of population, full time in Nov 2020 remains in the basement digging holes at 47.6%, reminiscent of the historic lows pre-Reagan and the double Reagan recessions of the early 1980s.

Full-time never recovered after the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, if you mean a return to pre-GFC1 levels. Under Obama and continuing under Trump full time after eight long years finally clawed its way up to 50.4% in 2019 on an average annual basis, only to be felled again by a lousing, stinking virus.

But don't make the mistake of blaming the virus. Conditions were long too weak to support pre-GFC1 levels of full time employment. Contrast this with the vigor of the Reagan/Bush surge in which full time went from 47.3% to 52.2% in just six years.

That missing vigor is the irreducible fact of the present economic malaise now in its twelfth year which very few acknowledge let alone understand.

  

It's remarkable that this video from 2018 documenting Biden's self-confessed 2016 malfeasance in office to this day has fewer than 1 million views

 Congress allocated the spending Biden threatened, unlawfully, to withhold, but Trump became the bad guy and Biden was elected instead of Trump.

Simply amazing.

If Mark Levin ever figures out that Abraham Lincoln was a progressive, there might be hope for America

US COVID deaths crossed the 280k mark today in the Johns Hopkins data

 Current hospitalizations through yesterday were 101,276 at covidtracking.com

Looks like Brad Parscale, formerly of the Trump Campaign, and Anita Dunn of the Biden Campaign were on the exact same page in Election 2020

As was Chris Irons of QTR Research on Feb 26, here.

This isn't rocket science. This isn't "mastermind" level stuff. It didn't take a genius to predict that Trump would lose to a virus. All it took was paying attention and being honest. 

From an important story with an hyperbolic title by Edward-Isaac Dovere for The Atlantic, "The Mastermind Behind Biden’s No-Drama Approach to Trump", here:

' [M]any Democrats stressed over the campaign’s decision to ignore most of Trump’s daily diversions in favor of focusing on the coronavirus pandemic. Dunn’s plan, and Biden’s, ended with a win. ... “Those of us who had worked in the White House, and Joe Biden, who had been vice president of the United States, had a much better understanding of why the Trump strategy that everyone was panicked about, the daily press conferences, would not work unless they actually did something” about the pandemic, Dunn said. “All those people who were saying, ‘Oh my gosh, he’s doing daily press briefings. He’s all over. He’s dominating,’ were missing the bigger point, which is unless he actually does something to deal with what is a genuine catastrophe, then it doesn’t matter how many press briefings he does.” '

 

Attorney General Barr appoints John Durham special counsel to continue criminal inquiry into FBI post-Trump

Democrats are already fuming. 

Reported here:

"An order making Durham special counsel, which was revealed on Tuesday, provides the federal prosecutor further protection against the prospect of President-elect Joe Biden trying to shut down the criminal inquiry into the origins and conduct of the FBI's investigation."

Former Trump Campaign manager Brad Parscale says Trump lost in the suburbs because he went with opening the economy instead of public empathy over COVID fears

 I agree.

His basic perception about the public was right. They were, and are, afraid.

Whether they should have been or should be now is irrelevant. They were, and Trump failed to play to that fear, which is exactly what Biden did.

About 16 minutes in.

US COVID deaths hit 270k in the Johns Hopkins data to begin the month of December

 

Current hospitalizations on Dec 1 soared to 98,691.

Total hospitalized in Nov soared to ~95k from ~67k in Oct.

These hospitalization levels are way above the 59k high water marks established in April and July. 

About 1,250 people died of COVID everyday in Nov compared with 763 per day in Oct, clocking in at third worst month yet for deaths. The Oct level was the lowest level so far since the peak in April at 1,961. The May level was second highest at 1,330 deaths per day on average.