Reported here.
Thursday, November 30, 2017
How to know the Senate tax bill SUCKS: John McCain now supports it
From the story here:
"After careful thought and consideration, I have decided to support the Senate tax reform bill," McCain said in a statement. "I believe this legislation, though far from perfect, would enhance American competitiveness, boost the economy, and provide long overdue tax relief for middle class families."
Jimmy P has it right: Tax cuts never jazzed core Trump voters the way immigration restriction and The Wall did
Here for The Week:
Remember, the U.S. is in its 101st month of a steady-if-unspectacular economic expansion. The unemployment rate is low. While there are obviously millions upon millions of Americans who continue to struggle, overall the economy simply isn't the priority for voters that it is in times of real economic crisis. What's more, a failed tax cut is unlikely to derail the expansion, since expectations of a fat tax cut aren't responsible for the growing economy and rising stock market. (You can thank a global economic upturn for that.) And tax cuts — much less corporate tax cuts — weren't the motivating factor behind the Trumpopulist surge. Tax cuts never jazzed core Trump voters the way immigration restriction and The Wall did. Trump's diehard supporters won't howl over a failure to slash corporate tax rates. ... [N]o magic tax cut will turn 2 percent GDP growth into sustained 3 percent or 4 percent growth.
Wednesday, November 29, 2017
Presidents' first nine months of current dollar GDP compared, including LBJ
Typically I present the data for JFK/LBJ as a unit because Kennedy was shot and Johnson finished his first term and then one of his own, making eight years. Same with Nixon/Ford, because Nixon resigned and Ford finished Nixon's second term, making eight years.
But when comparing first time office holders, LBJ really should be included. The key difference is that LBJ was elected in his own right in 1964, while Ford was not in 1972. So LBJ should be included, but not Ford in order to compare apples to apples.
Johnson was like Truman in three respects: For serving out a dead president's term, for being elected in his own right, and for deciding against standing for re-election.
So, the updated chart including Old Guns 'n Butter himself (note that Trump thus ranks 7th out of 12 starts in this update):
Tuesday, November 28, 2017
It takes CNBC article 13 paragraphs before admitting repeal of Obamacare mandate would result in loss of coverage for millions BY CHOICE
Here:
"Most of the losses [in insurance coverage] are due to the fact that people are not getting pushed into getting coverage," Levitt said.
It's hard to escape the conclusion that US GDP has been highly dependent on fertility
Peak Baby Boom 1952-1957 when births per 1,000 of population averaged 25.17 (graph 1) is probably the simplest explanation for outsized GDP performance during the years when this generation turned 22 from 1974-1979. More babies in the 1950s equaled more GDP come the late 1970s.
We only wish for that GDP now.
Jimmy Carter, elected in 1976, still owns the best 4-year GDP record in the post-war, despite everything you've been told (graph 2). It's nothing special he did really, it's just that in 1975, the year before his election, you had the very peak of the Baby Boom turn 18, those born in 1957 when births per 1,000 hit 25.3 for the second and final time in the post-war. They and the rest of their cohort were ready to consume in numbers never seen before. Their era spanning from Nixon/Ford from 1972 when the first of them turned 20 through Reagan in 1984 when they turned 32 represents the coming of age of America's most powerful economic demographic and the period when America's GDP performance hit its highest levels (average 46.3%).
Their failure to have enough children themselves, however, is also a big part of the explanation for the GDP trend heading south after their time. They consumed, but they did not at all produce children like their parents had. In fact, the nadir of births per 1,000 before the current period occurred from 1972 to 1977, precisely the period exactly 20 years after peak Baby Boom 1952-1957. Births per 1,000 averaged just 14.92 during this period, a rate nearly 41% lower than their parents' era. So the most prolific fruit of the Baby Boom had gone on to become themselves the least prolific, having the fewest children ever.
Not surprisingly, without enough bodies the economy inevitably began to run out of gas starting about two decades after that. Clinton era GDP performance was never as good as Reagan's, and the era was marked by various warnings, not the least of which were the bond debacles of 1994 and 1999. The great Reagan bull market ended in August 2000, a recession ensued in 2001, average S&P 500 return has been reduced to 5.2% per annum over the last 17 years, and the GDP growth rate after Clinton has averaged just half what it averaged before Carter (16% vs. 32%). No wonder the trend is down so dramatically (graph 3).
The solution?
Have LOTS more kids, and wait 20 years, if you want America to still be America, that is. Otherwise, let in even more than the 1 million immigrants we already let in annually, and prepare to kiss your country goodbye.
But don't hold your breath. Births per 1,000 have fallen to an average of just 12.5 for the five year period 2011-2015.
They don't call it the suicide of the West for nothing.
graph 1 |
graph 2 |
graph 3 |
Labels:
August 2000,
Baby Boom,
births,
CDC,
fertility,
GDP 2017,
Jimmy Carter,
secular return
Monday, November 27, 2017
As long as you are a good Democrat, like Al Franken, you can get away with molesting women and stay in the US Senate
Methodically executed 77 in Norway, gets only 21 years! |
Franken committed unwanted kissing and touching, but he gets to go back to work in the US Senate today.
Just like Norway, it seems Minnesota will go easy on just about everything.
All you have to do is apologize!
Story here.
Hillary and Obama's legacy in Libya: Blacks being sold as slaves in open air markets
From the story here:
Black Africans are being sold in open-air slave markets right now, and it’s Hillary Clinton’s fault. ... Footage from Libya, released last week by CNN, showed young men from sub-Saharan Africa being auctioned off as farm workers in slave markets.
And how did we get to this point? As the BBC reported back in May, “Libya has been beset by chaos since NATO-backed forces overthrew long-serving ruler Col. Moammar Gadhafi in Oct. 2011.” And who was behind that overthrow? None other than then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
Labels:
BBC,
Glenn Reynolds,
Hillary 2017,
Jobs 2017,
Jobs Agricultural,
Libya,
slaves,
USA TODAY
Sunday, November 26, 2017
Friday, November 24, 2017
Reid junked judicial filibuster, Grassley junks "blue slip" tradition, Trump to pack the courts
Jake Novak provides the good news, here.
Labels:
Chuck Grassley,
CNBC,
Donald Trump 2017,
filibuster,
good news,
Harry Reid
Orange County Register op-ed calls for Al Gore to be put on the Weinstein list
Seems Al Gore's "irresistible animal magnetism" came up a cropper in three separate incidents in 2006, 2007, and 2008.
John Phillips, here.
Thursday, November 23, 2017
Wednesday, November 22, 2017
Dramatic video shows what a parasite-ridden North Korean soldier did to achieve his freedom in the West
Thank God South Korea remains a bastion of freedom, thanks to the freedom-loving people of these United States.
Another True Born Son of Liberty is born.
Video here.
From the story:
While treating the [gunshot] wounds, surgeons removed dozens of parasites from the soldier’s ruptured small intestine, including presumed roundworms that were as long as 27 centimetres, which may reflect poor nutrition and health in North Korea’s military. The soldier is 5 feet, 7 inches tall but weighs just 9.4 stone.
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