Total cases monthly in 2022:
Jan 20.3 million
Feb 3.95m
Mar 1.07m
Apr 1.25m
May 2.89m
Jun 3.33m
Jul 3.65m.
We averaged 1.68 million cases monthly in 2020 and 2.88 million monthly in 2021.
Monthly cases in 2022 through July now average 5.20 million, down from 5.46 million last month.
Because of home tests and generally milder cases both going unreported, the case data is not very predictive.
The encouraging news is in the deaths per day data, which shows that the pandemic is clearly less severe in the United States two months in a row. Both June and July deaths were low enough to make 2022 as a whole look better than either 2020 or 2021 in each of them.
Deaths per day are still approximately 10x higher, however, through July, and 4x higher in July, than for the average annual rate for influenza.