Sunday, January 1, 2023
Friday, December 30, 2022
US COVID-19 vaccination fell off a cliff in 2022, down 90% from 2021, while confirmed deaths fell by 44% overall
Just 24.3 million received at least one dose in 2022 through Dec 27.
244.06 million had received at least one dose through 12/31/21.
Per Our World In Data, here.
About 19 million in 2022 received what amounts to the two-dose protocol.
Confirmed deaths in 2022 fell to about 264k from 475k in 2021 at the same time that vaccination fell off the cliff (724 deaths per day vs. 1301 deaths per day).
And in the second half of 2022 about only 70k have died (roughly 385 per day vs. 1066 per day in the first half of 2022). That's still 3.85 times worse than for an average influenza year, but that's a win in my book at this stage of the game.
Thursday, December 29, 2022
There was nothing wrong with the coal or natural gas plants of the Tennessee Valley Authority: It was one-off wind damage and too many far-flung customers dependent on its electricity for heat
Cold weather pushed up electricity use in TVA's seven-state region where more than 60% of homes are heated by electricity. ...
TVA Chief Operating Officer Don Moul is heading an investigation of the problems that led to the power outages last week. Moul said in a telephone interview that high winds damaged several of TVA's protective structures at the Cumberland plant and several gas-fired combustion turbines used for such peak power periods. TVA's directive to local power companies to cut some of their energy use was the most efficient means to respond to the inadequate energy supply, Moul said.
More.
The left, of course, is blaming the fossil fuels themselves instead of wind damage to existing energy infrastructure, whose maintenance has been neglected in the rage for so-called green energy and against coal:
"[T]he mandatory blackouts were due to coal and gas failures," [Amy] Kelly [the Tennessee representative for the Sierra Club's Beyond Coal Campaign] said.
The hysteria of this prejudiced response is matched, however, by the feckless customers of the federally-run utility, whose only care is that their power was cut when it was 5 degrees F outside, and on Christmas Eve:
"Why would anyone in their right mind decide it is a GOOD idea to have rolling blackouts today? First of all, it is a whopping 5 degrees outside and second, it is Christmas Eve ... This is ridiculous."
Tuesday, December 27, 2022
Cumulative season to date 100 inches of snow in Buffalo, NY is record-setting, ahead of Nov-Dec 2000 at 95.9 inches
36.9 total inches in November 2022 (3.1 feet). November record is 45.6 inches (3.8 feet).
63.1 inches in December 2022 through the 26th (5.25 feet). December record is 82.7 inches (6.9 feet).
January record is 68.3 inches.
February record is 54.2 inches.
March record is 38.5 inches.
April record is 15 inches.
May record is 7.9 inches.
The mean average season is 85.4 inches, 55 of which come after Dec. 31st.
Sunday, December 25, 2022
Tennessee has had plenty of much colder temperatures than this Christmas and never had to turn off the power before, but that was before they went insane
What we know: TVA ordered rolling blackouts for the first time in 90 years amid freezing temps
Tennessee Valley Authority retired 3,370 MW of coal electric power capacity in 2012, 2017, and 2018.
The reason for that isn't because the plants were old, built in the 1950s. TVA still operates a bunch of much older hydroelectric plants dating back as far as 1911.
It's pure anti-fossil fuel ideology driving that, and foolishly allocating new capacity to solar and wind, which can't cut it.
And that's why they had to shut off the power in Tennessee for the first time.
The damn fools got 0.7 inches of snow and said it was one inch deep, too.
Saturday, December 24, 2022
CNN thinks November core inflation at 4.7% yoy is good news
There's never any discussion about how core inflation vaulted to the current levels well before the war in Ukraine even began.
The reason for the inflation surge is Biden's war for green energy, the one input which makes everything cost more because green energy costs much more than conventional energy from coal, oil, and natural gas.
Add trillion$ in COVID stimulus chasing too few goods and it's a recipe for the disaster which is ongoing, not moderating.
Some people get it. Most don't.
Friday, December 23, 2022
Joe Biden's America two days before Christmas is a third world patchwork of power outages all over the place
About 1.04 million without power this morning.
It's going to be a rough Christmas Eve without power with forecast real lows in the single digits.
Wednesday, December 21, 2022
The good news is COVID-19 deaths per million were 4-5x worse a year ago than they are now in the US
Deaths per million stabilized 8 months ago at the current level and haven't really budged since then.
Those who predicted an endemic situation developing appear to have been right.
1.2 deaths per million presently represents about 398 deaths per day at current population, or about 11.9k dying per month since mid-April.
Actual cumulative deaths over the period have averaged about 12.25k per month, or 98k.
If that rate persists like this for a full year we'll get something like 147k deaths, which would then still be 4x worse than the average influenza deaths year.
92% of COVID-19 deaths in California continue to be among those 50 and older, and 72% are among those 65 and older.
That's the bad news.
Seems like an unacceptable new normal to me.
Concentrating efforts on vaccinating people younger than 50 seems pointless and highly inappropriate for the situation.
Half of the top 10 snowiest Decembers in Grand Rapids have occurred since 2007
The result, no doubt, of the generally wetter conditions in the Great Lakes over the long haul as predicted by slightly cooler Pacific Ocean waters indicated by the Oceanic Nino Index.
We've had 14+ inches so far in Dec 2022 with 2 feet expected in the latest storm, so this December might break into the top 5.
Winter. It's what's for Christmas.
Tuesday, December 20, 2022
Saturday, December 17, 2022
Friday, December 16, 2022
Foreign ownership level of US Treasury securities fell 6.2% year over year in October
The level contracted to a point approximately last seen in May 2021.
As reported levels in the table are subject to revision in future monthly tables. My graph shows as reported levels in May each year.
The drop probably does not reflect actual selling, but falling market value of UST because of the bond rout.
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