Saturday, July 29, 2023

It's been a terrible year so far for investors in US Treasury securities because of the rising rate environment, but great for stocks

UST yields rose a net 1.31% in the aggregate week over week on 7/28.

DFF rises to 5.33% after the latest FOMC rate hike.


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year to date Treasury, Total Bond, Cash, and Total Stock performance using popular Vanguard funds:

VFISX +0.75% VFITX 0.90% VUSTX 1.58% VBTLX 2.05% VMFXX 2.75% lol VTSAX 19.99%!

Stocks have been the place to be, and cash has beaten even the total bond market.

Meanwhile stocks are obscenely overvalued at 169 using the latest report of GDP out Thursday:


 

Good morning to everyone except Nancy Mace

 


Friday, July 28, 2023

Average temperature year to date is still below normal in Phoenix, as is average max temp year to date, and yet they persist

 

 Phoenix brings in refrigerated morgues to prep for heat-related deaths...

 "as backup"

"we typically see a surge in intakes to the Office of the Medical Examiner (OME) in July"

 Average temperature year to date is still below normal also in Yuma and Tucson.





Headline pce inflation of 3% year over year is driven lower by the collapse in energy prices, mostly natural gas not gasoline

Natural gas is twice as important as gasoline for America's energy needs.

eia.gov says the United States used 369 million gallons of gasoline per day in 2022. That's the equivalent of 13 billion kWhr/day last year.

America also consumed 88.52 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day in 2022. That's the equivalent of 26.88 billion kWhr/day last year, 2.06 times as much.

Gasoline is down 14.6% in 1H2023, natural gas 60.5%.



 



Pawn Vanity thinks Nancy Mace is pretty funny

 

Like I said . . ..

Core and services inflation remain well above pre-pandemic levels

 



Thursday, July 27, 2023

Like I said, the culture is lost, especially among Republicans

 US Representative Nancy Mace (SC-1) is an unmarried used car. Twice married, two kids, 45 going for broke.




Those witnesses testifying about UFOs on Capitol Hill are missing something

 


Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Tuesday, July 25, 2023

Well, well, well, close Biden family associate Alexander Mackler worked in the Delaware US Attorney's office 2016-2019

 

Assistant U.S. Attorney Lesley Wolf featured prominently in the testimony of two IRS agents who spent years working on the Hunter Biden investigation. Both Gary Shapley and Ziegler, the IRS whistleblowers, said Wolf intervened to stop multiple investigative steps from moving forward, including by preventing FBI agents from asking witnesses any questions about Joe Biden’s involvement in foreign business affairs and by tipping off Hunter Biden’s attorneys about a planned search of his storage unit.

Wolf worked alongside Mackler in the U.S. attorney’s office before Mackler’s departure. She and Mackler prosecuted a major case together, for example.

More.

That's because the culture is lost, especially among Republicans

 Culture-war battles fail to deliver for Ron...

No job too low for Snakes "R" Us

 Woman hires deadly snake to kill boyfriend...

Hunter Biden most hurt

 Yet another load of drugs found floating off Florida Keys...

"Yeah, I got a new Xitter, what's new with you?"

 


Sunday, July 23, 2023

NASA Psyche Mission headed to iron and nickel-rich asteroid possibly worth quadrillions

 The current value of ~208,874 tonnes of all the gold ever mined is only $14.47 trillion, so the discovery and mining of huge new supplies of precious metals could cause a deflationary depression . . . some day.

Launch date is October, arriving in 2029. 

Stories here and here.

Meanwhile we can exchange worthless pieces of paper for all kinds of stuff made in China.

Seems fair. 

Saturday, July 22, 2023

Win or lose, Ron DeSantis is saying out loud the things which must be said by a Republican with actual skin in the game

 

DeSantis' average in the polling has dropped to 19.3% in July from 21.5% in June, 39.9% don't want Trump in July vs. 40.9% in June

 The GOP seems more determined to go down with their captain than they did a month ago, however so slightly.

Meanwhile many-mucho-mega-multi-millionaire Vivek Ramaswamy, age 37, born in Cincinnati in 1985, surges to third place.




LOL US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm: Our planet is on fire, but OPEC needs to produce more crude oil

 

“There is a lot of emotion in these markets and so we have deep concern about trajectories of where things are headed,” the energy secretary added.   

No kidding.

Story. 

Friday, July 21, 2023

To be fair the whole team is gay

 NFL coach comes out as gay in first for American pro sports...

Oh, sorry, I was thinking of a different team.

 



 

 

 

 

Democrats Debbie Washerwoman Schultz and Stacey Plaskett try to stop RFK Jr testimony at House censorship hearing

 

Scott Walker, who ought to know, urges DeSantis to spend less while remembering what made Trump's campaign unique


He's from Milwaukee. For president in 2016 he spent like he was blitzed on Blatz.

 Here:

From the moment he opened his mouth at the first presidential primary debate in Cleveland, he took command of the discussion. Every voter knew he was going to build the wall, drain the swamp, and prevent radical Islamic terrorists from coming to America.

Yeah, build the wall. 

Too bad about that.

 

Wednesday, July 19, 2023

C'mon man, the National Weather Service can't decide RIGHT NOW what the weather is, let alone tomorrow, next week, next year, or in ten years

 One man's partly sunny is not another man's mostly cloudy.



Trump has learned nothing, still admires the strong man of China

 

“Think of President Xi. Central casting, brilliant guy. You know, when I say he’s brilliant, everyone says, ‘Oh that’s terrible,'” said Trump during the event. “Well, he runs 1.4 billion people with an iron fist. Smart, brilliant, everything perfect. There’s nobody in Hollywood like this guy. I got them to pay us $28 billion because they screwed our farmers for years.”


Not even Asian Americans like China, including Chinese Asian Americans.
 

 



LOL WaPo: "Global warming has brought a steady increase in average temperatures"

Except it hasn't. Average temperature in Phoenix is still running 1 deg. F below normal year-to-date.

Mean average annual temperature in Phoenix is 72.2 deg. F since 1895. Year-to-date it's 72.9. In 1974, the year of its big June heat wave, it was 73.1. The hottest year ever by average temperature was six years ago, when Phoenix averaged 77.3. 
 


 
WaPo didn't check apparently, or simply omitted the inconvenient data.
 
Same with Reno, NV and Las Vegas, NV, both of which are mentioned in the story. 
 
Reno is running 2.8 deg. F below normal year-to-date. Las Vegas is running 2.4 deg. F below normal.
 
El Paso is indeed setting records, but year-to-date its average temperature is still only 1.5 deg. F above normal. Annualized it would make the top ten warmest years ever, but the year is far from over.
 
Either way, WaPo is simply full of it, as usual.
 
It's also worth mentioning the special pleading going on. 
 
WaPo cites the June 1974 Phoenix climatological records as proof that it's hotter now than during that heat wave:
 
Temperatures have averaged above 101 degrees in Phoenix over the past 17 days. That is significantly hotter than another record-setting heat wave, when the city surpassed 110 degrees on 18 consecutive days in 1974. During that stretch, temperatures averaged 96.5 degrees.
 
The June 1974 data is the same data The Weather Gods have now declared unreliable, but WaPo wants to have it both ways when the micro-average-comparisons are convenient, you know, like Hillary or Hunter, one law for me, another for thee:
 
Reliable observation times are not available prior to 1982.
 
  







Sunday, July 16, 2023

What complete rot: Drudge's heat index map for 6PM EST shows 92 for Lake Michigan when it's 78 in Grand Rapids

LIVE: MAP...


 


A random list of U.S. cities with above average temperature year to date coincidentally averages +1.7 degrees F

Checked yesterday:

 

Seattle, WA +0.2 degrees F

Baton Rouge, LA +4.3

Minneapolis, MN +1.1

DFW, TX +2.3

Grand Rapids, MI +1.7

Miami, FL +2.8

Pensacola, FL +3.3

Milwaukee, WI +2.2

Juneau, AK +0.8

Albany, NY +2.7

Tulsa, OK +0.2

Helena, MT +0.5

Omaha, NE +0.10

Concord, NH +2.2

Burlington, VT +2.7

Ft. Wayne, IN +2.1

Marquette, MI +1.5

Duluth, MN +0.2

Memphis, TN +1.5 

 

The anomaly for Grand Rapids, where I live, year-to-date is 3.5% above 48.2 degrees F, the mean average annual temperature going back to the 1890s.

The peak full year anomaly for Grand Rapids was in 2012: 9.5% above normal. 

So if 2023 is a climate emergency, what was 2012?

Factor in the 10 cities with below normal temperatures from the previous post and the 2023 anomaly year to date drops to +0.55 degrees F for 29 randomly chosen locations (my yellow legal pad has 28 blue lines).

Enjoy the beach.

 



A random list of U.S. cities with below average temperature year to date

 Checked yesterday:

 

Denver, CO -2.9 degrees F

Redding, CA -1.3

Phoenix, AZ -1.2

Fairbanks, AK -0.7

Nome, AK -3.6

Death Valley, CA -1.7

Bismarck, ND -1.9

Cheyenne, WY -1.8

Albuquerque, NM -0.7

Portland, OR -0.4

Friday, July 14, 2023

The national debt is up $1.06 trillion since May 31, 2023

 To $32.518 trillion on July 12th.

It was $23.171 trillion on January 2, 2020, $9.347 trillion ago.

InflAtIOn Is sO OvEr.

The new reactionaries: LGB OK, TQ+ a bridge too far

"It's the TQ+ that I'm not going to support," she said, referring to transgender and queer or questioning people.

 

Ron DeSantis is up against an American public grown and growing overwhelmingly libertine on sex, which is one reason why Trump remains as popular as he is