Wednesday, May 21, 2025

HHS Poverty Guidelines for 2025

 The current average Social Security check is $1,999.97, minus $185 for the Medicare premium, equals $1,814.97 monthly, times 12 equals $21,779.64 annually.

 


Democrat US House math suffers another blow: Gerald E. Connolly (VA-11) succumbs to cancer at age 75

 CNBC reported here.

House Democrats will now have three vacancies and a caucus of 212 vs. 220 for the GOP. 

Representatives Turner (TX-18) and Grijalva (AZ-7) died in March.

Sunday, May 18, 2025

Tulsi Gabbard has fired intelligence officials who concluded Venezuela wasn't directing gang activities in the United States

 Another disappointing performance by Tulsi Gabbard.

Tulsi, former leftist, keeps proving she can turn with the wind with the best of them.

And I had such high hopes for her. 🤷 

 



Evidently 43 US House GOP are not down for the shtruggle against Iran

 


The chutzpah: Democrats literally pushed Biden out of office three months before the election and they want him to take the blame for losing to Trump

 After covering for the guy from the beginning for his 2020 campaign conducted from a basement.

They have no one to blame but themselves.

 Democrats want Biden to take responsibility for loss to Trump 

... “He needs to stop talking about what could have happened and what should have happened and how the party betrayed him and start talking about how he ultimately betrayed the party,” said one Democratic strategist. “The reason we find ourselves in this position is because he was too stubborn to step aside.” ...


Eleven foods which made new all-time high average prices in April 2025

 Round roast $7.616/lb
All roasts 7.995
Round steak 8.627
All steaks 11.12
Sirloin steak 12.326
Ground chuck 5.996
100% ground beef 5.801
All ground beef 6.142 

Coffee 7.536
Sugar 1.021
 
Beer 1.827/pint

Friday, May 16, 2025

The Golden Age isn't AAA

 



USA loses last AAA rating, from Moody's, perfectly timed for after GOP can't move a budget out of committee lol

Moody’s downgrades U.S. credit rating, citing rise in government debt

... Moody’s had been a holdout in keeping U.S. sovereign debt at the highest credit rating possible, and brings the 116-year-old agency into line with its rivals. Standard & Poor’s downgraded the U.S. to AA+ from AAA in August 2011, and Fitch Ratings also cut the U.S. rating to AA+ from AAA, in August 2023.

“Successive U.S. administrations and Congress have failed to agree on measures to reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs,” Moody’s analysts said in a statement. “We do not believe that material multi-year reductions in mandatory spending and deficits will result from current fiscal proposals under consideration.” ...

“... we expect federal deficits to widen, reaching nearly 9% of GDP by 2035, up from 6.4% in 2024, driven mainly by increased interest payments on debt, rising entitlement spending and relatively low revenue generation,” Moody’s said. ″We anticipate that the federal debt burden will rise to about 134% of GDP by 2035, compared to 98% in 2024.″⁣ ...

Moody’s officially rated U.S. bonds in 1993 for the first time, but had assigned a “country ceiling rating” of Aaa on the U.S. since 1949.


It's driving the Reuters writer of this story at CNBC crazy that US Treasury securities aren't selling off lol

 ... Holdings of U.S. Treasuries surged to $9.05 trillion in March, an all-time peak and up more than $233 billion from $8.81 trillion in February. Compared with a year earlier, Treasuries owned by foreigners rose nearly 12%.

Some analysts said that trend could change in April as the Trump administration introduced a massive trade shock on April 2nd that saw effective tariff rates surge, particularly on Chinese goods.

That fueled a U.S. Treasuries sell-off that, at one point, pushed benchmark 10-year yields more than 70 basis points (bps) higher to nearly 4.6% over the April 3-11 period. The selloff may have included selling from foreign investors, analysts said.

Trump has since paused the imposition of tariffs for 90 days, and the Treasuries market has stabilized somewhat, although foreign investors are likely to have remained leery of U.S. assets. ...

Yeah, I don't think so.

10Y yield averaged 4.28 in April lol, unchanged from March lololol.

The GOP runs the House but fails to get Trump's bill out of the budget committee, vote fails 16-21

 

GOP fiscal hawks sink key vote on Trump ‘big, beautiful bill’  

Budget Package Remains Bottled Up in House Committee, for Now


In December 2015 FBI Director James Comey assumed a firearm purchased over the internet would be shipped directly to your address instead of to an FFL holder, so yeah he might not know the worst meaning of 86

 My dictionary doesn't have the worst meaning either.

Trump is overreacting.



On his last day in Abu Dhabi president Trump is thinking about hot women

 


The slavish respect for the consensus estimates for inflation and everything else vs. the actual levels viewed historically is as nutty as anything promoted in partisan politics

Consumer sentiment slides to second-lowest on record as inflation expectations jump after tariffs

... Recent inflation data has not shown a tariff bump, as both the consumer price index and producer price index for April came in below consensus estimates. ...

Who gives a damn about whether the consensus estimates got it right or not? What matters is what the damn rates are! 

And the rates are much higher when compared with the immediate pre-pandemic rates.

Would those have come down in recent months without the spectre of a Trump tariff regime looming in the wings?

Well we'll never know, now will we?

It's all so infuriatingly stupid.

Meanwhile consumer sentiment and surveys of same don't hold much water with me.

I conclude only one thing from them: that our tolerance for inflation has weakened dramatically. We were a much hardier people in the past, and now we are soft and melt like snowflakes at the slightest hint of bad news.

In November 1974 cpi inflation peaked at 12.2% year over year. The then Michigan survey of consumer sentiment plunged to 57.6 by February 1975.

But in April 2025 cpi inflation is only 2.3% year over year, and the Michigan survey has dropped to 50.8 from 52.2 in April.

It's comic.

Howard Gleckman of Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center likes House GOP $4,000 senior citizen deduction better than Trump's elimination of taxes on Social Security benefits

 How House GOP bill’s $4,000 senior ‘bonus’ compares to eliminating tax on Social Security benefits

... A median income retiree who brings in up to about $50,000 annually may see their taxes cut by a little less than $500 per year with this change, noted Howard Gleckman, senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center.

“It’s not nothing, but it’s also not life changing,” Gleckman said.

The $4,000 senior “bonus” deduction would help lower-income people and would not help higher-income individuals who are above the phase outs, Gleckman said.

In contrast, the proposal to eliminate taxes on Social Security benefits would have been a “big windfall” for high-income taxpayers, he said.

“If you feel like you need to provide an extra benefit to retirees, this is clearly a better way to do it than the original Social Security proposal that Trump had,” Gleckman said. ...

 

Now running for governor, obstructionist House Freedom Caucus Republican Andy Biggs (AZ-5) complains the Republican House has passed only five bills in four months despite GOP control of the government

The chutzpah!