Tuesday, April 14, 2026

The CDC has truncated its COVID-19 wastewater chart to begin in spring 2024 instead of allowing you to compare the current era with the pandemic era

 

screenshot mar 2, 2026


Barking dogs bark, market cheerleaders cheer

 S&P 500 marches higher one day after benchmark wipes out Iran war losses

CNBC wholesale prices headline spin zone: "rose much less than expected"; Ragin' inflation reality: "the biggest 12-month gain since February 2023"

And core wholesale inflation in 1Q2026 also rounds to 3.8% yoy, and is right back where we started with Trump in 1Q2025, if you give me 0.04 for 3.77% year over year.

 

Wholesale prices rose 0.5% in March, much less than expected despite war impact

The producer price index, a gauge of pipeline costs for final demand goods and services, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.5% for the month, well below the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 1.1%.

Excluding food and energy, core PPI was up just 0.1% against the forecast for 0.5%.

On an annual basis, the all-items PPI accelerated 4%, the biggest 12-month gain since February 2023. The core PPI posted a 3.8% annual gain. ...

All items

Core

Monday, April 13, 2026

I filed my taxes today

 


So it will be a wash in the US House when Democrat Eric Swalwell resigns since Republican Tony Gonzales will also, both under threat of expulsion for sexual misconduct

Rep. Eric Swalwell resigns from U.S. House after sexual misconduct allegations

 The current party breakdown is 217R / 214D.

Breaking: Autocratic ruler of Hungary defeated in free and fair election concedes defeat, calls winner to congratulate

 ðŸ¤£

 


 

Ann Coulter, born in 1961, is looking pretty good for a 64 year old boomer, but she is a little testy about it lol

 I can see the jowls of 74 forming already. 🤣

My favorite part of this is her concern for the little girls of Iran.

After 911 she didn't care about their little girls at all, when she wanted all these countries invaded, their leaders killed, and everyone converted to Christianity. She didn't want us to be too careful about it either, because we carpet bombed Germany in WWII and killed civilians because it was a war then, and 911 was also a war, even though it wasn't. It too was undeclared just like this one now against Iran, but Ann pretends otherwise.

If Trump had a decent PR machine, he'd be talking about how awful the crackdown in Iran was after the Christmas 2025 university demonstrations. Thousands of Iranians desiring freedom were brutally massacred by the regime. Trump wasn't ready for that, but he did begin the airbridge to Europe and the Middle East in mid-February, beginning the process of shuttling military assets in theatre to confront the Ayatollah. I know because I monitored it myself day after day. This was not a surprise. 

Those military assets weren't as strong or ready as they needed to be in the last week of February when Trump got the call from Bibi about the decapitation opportunity, but he pulled the trigger anyway. That's Trump, always reactive, not proactive. He's not the commander in chief many of us would choose, but you fight with the commander you have. 

If we had taken Ann's advice in 2001, the Persian Gulf would be a Christian paradise today, and we wouldn't be having this stupid conversation about the terror regime in Iran yet one more time a quarter century later and how to solve that problem.

They have missiles to destroy their neighbors and reach Europe, and they have demonstrated their willingness to do so. It doesn't matter now how it started. They must be stopped. 

 



Sunday, April 12, 2026

Buckle up

 



Tanker transits in both the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea crawled to a virtual halt on April 10-11

Just two out of the Strait of Hormuz April 10-11, just nine through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait in either direction after Iran attacked the Saudi pipeline to Yanbu on April 8-9.

 


The Democrats abandoning Eric Swalwell are the same Democrats who abandoned Joe Biden

 Allies yank support for Swalwell’s California governor run after sexual assault allegations


 

Orban concedes defeat

 Hungary’s Orban concedes landmark defeat to center-right opposition

Oh yeah? Who is going to stop him?

 Tucker Carlson: Trump Is Not Free To Do What He Thinks Is Best For America on Iran and Israel

The master is the real slave because he has wants which he is utterly unable to satisfy

 


Gold is up 9.9323% YTD, silver 5.9767%

Silver and gold had a good week: 

Silver: $76.60 USD +$4.04 USD +5.57% 1W

Gold: $4,764.80 USD +$112.50 USD +2.42% 1W.

Silver was $72.28 on Jan 1, gold was $4,334.30.

Prices are per APMEX, where the 3M and YTD results just happen to be nearly identical as of April 12th, indicating more stability actually Mar 31 to Apr 12.

The war in Iran has been net negative for both gold and silver in the last 30 days, however, as oil prices rose in a volatile manner, which is where all the betting action went. Gold was down over 7% and silver over 10% in the last 30 days.

The blockade of Iran is likely to cause oil prices to spike much more this week, and precious metals to fade, but you never know from day to day with you know who in charge.

Stackers of precious metals will view future price drops as buying opportunities.

Trump cuts off the flow of Iranian oil with blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, about 1.5 million barrels per day, China most hurt

 Trump says U.S. will blockade Strait of Hormuz after Iran peace talks fail

 Iran sends millions of oil barrels to China through Strait of Hormuz even as war chokes the waterway

 

Friday, April 10, 2026

Trump promised to cut energy prices in half within 12 months, but electricity and utility gas in the first quarter of 2026 have never cost more

Relentless inflation is so boring: Core cpi inflation in Mar 2026 clocked in at 2.6% yoy, 1Q2026 at 2.5% was last this high in 2008 outside the COVID-19 eruption

 



Post-Reagan GDP underperformed the immediate post-war by over 26%, Trump-era GDP underperforms it by almost 32%

Ronald Reagan didn't make America great again, and neither has Trump.

The watershed tax changes throwing away the threat of high ordinary income taxation under Reagan in 1986 and Trump in 2018 have got to go.

The country needs genuinely domestic, long-term investment to bring back economic growth. Reward that with low tax incentives and penalize everything else.

Rich people OBVIOUSLY haven't demonstrated that they know best what to do with their own money, otherwise they would have done it already.

We watched helplessly year after year, especially after 2000, as one business after another moved its production abroad seeking lower labor and regulatory costs to make themselves rich, not us.

We have to make them reverse it, because they aren't going to do it otherwise. Tax the shit out of them until they do the right thing, and keep the threat of taxes hanging over their heads to keep them doing the right thing. 

Real GDP Compound Annual Growth Rates

GDPCA 9 April 2026

1947-1984: 3.638%

1984-2017: 2.679%

2017-2025: 2.476%



 

Thursday, April 9, 2026

Real GDP for 4Q2025 was revised lower to 0.5% from 0.7% last month in today's final estimate, and CNBC buried the story of a stalling economy

 The 0.5% estimate is the annual rate of real GDP growth in 4Q, and the figure doesn't sound like much of a revision until you remember that the estimated annual rate in 3Q was 4.4%.

That's one hell of a drop, whether it's to 0.7% or to 0.5%.

In other words, the economy nearly stalled in 4Q. 

Meanwhile real GDP for full year 2025 increased at a measly 2.1% rate. 

CNBC buried the bad news in a different story, seven paragraphs down:

Inflation held sticky at 3% as U.S. headed into war with Iran, key Fed gauge shows

... Separately, the Commerce Department reported that economic growth was even slower than previously reported for the fourth quarter of 2025. 

Gross domestic product, a measure of all goods and services produced, rose just 0.5% on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, down from the prior reading of 0.7% and the initial estimate of 1.4%. The full-year growth rate held at 2.1%.

The department said the downward revision came primarily to lower investment than previously indicated. ...

Gee, I thought Trump said $18 trillion in investment was flowing into the economy?

Golden Age, my foot. 

Meanwhile the initial estimate was cut in half by the second estimate, and the final estimate cut that by nearly 29% more. They were off by only 64% in the end. 

Remember, this is all pre-Iran-War-induced oil crisis, too.

It's going to be ugly. 

 


 

Kevin Asshat says even one tanker is big

Hormuz strait oil traffic way down after ceasefire; Hassett says even one tanker is big

"... being mindful of the fact that if you get one of those big tankers through, that’s 2 million barrels. So that’s a huge chunk of what’s missing," he said.

Before the war, about 20 million barrels of oil were transiting the strait per day. ...

Estimates of supply lost which I have seen today say 9 million barrels per day of supply have been lost, worse than the COVID shutdown.


  

Some 230 tankers are loaded with oil and waiting to sail out of the Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz, but they can't

 The Strait of Hormuz is not open as Iran controls access after ceasefire, UAE oil CEO says

... “This moment requires clarity,” said Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber in a social media post. “So let’s be clear: the Strait of Hormuz is not open. Access is being restricted, conditioned and controlled.”

Iran has made clear that ships must obtain its permission to pass through the strait, Al Jaber said. “That is not freedom of navigation. That is coercion,” the ADNOC chief said. ...

 

Trump ceasefire failure: Strait of Hormuz eastbound tanker traffic averages 3.57 tankers per day 2 Apr-8 Apr 2026 lol

Just one tanker out yesterday.

Vessels and deadweight tonnage out are both in the toilet. 

Have fun out there, world, filling your tanks, courtesy of the Red, White, and Blue.

 




After Democrats run +6 in the generic ballot six days in a row Real Clear Politics runs whistling past the graveyard headlines assuring us GOP is winning

 

America is no longer a world superpower because it doesn't have a Navy capable of maintaining freedom of navigation in the Red Sea and the Persian Gulf, let alone in the West Philippine Sea or the Taiwan Strait

But we can still put people in a tin can and send them around the moon like we did already in 1968.

We also don't have a military capable of stopping Russian aggression in Europe, because we're too tired after Iraq and Afghanistan.

Put up or shut up, Ben. 

Core pce inflation at 3% year over year in Feb 2026 is double the average rate over the thirteen years 2008-2020

 


In all four corners of the world, Trump's name is a household name for . . .

... childish, dumb, embarrassing, ignorant, idiot, immature, incompetent, joke, moron, ridiculous, silly, stupid, uneducated, unfit, unpredictable, and unqualified ... bigot, corrupt, crazy, delusional, disastrous, disgrace, evil, greed, hate, horrible, insane, prejudice, racist, sociopath, trash, unstable, and vile ... “ass” or “asshole”, bad, bully, crass, disgusting, disrespectful, jerk, liar, mean, obnoxious, pig, rude, and stubborn ... arrogant, cocky, confident, egomaniac, loud, megalomaniac, narcissist, and selfish. 

And that was in May 2020.

Take your pick. 

Trump on the Strait of Hormuz toll booth: We’re thinking of doing it as a joint venture. It’s a way of securing it - also securing it from lots of other people. It’s a beautiful thing.

This guy needs to be slowly keelhauled on a VLCC.

 


Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Life is like a box of chocolates

 


Where is this complete, immediate, and safe reopening of the Strait of Hormuz?

Is it in the room with us right now?

 


DEEP RED GA-14 which elected Marjorie Taylor Greene by 29 points in 2024 has elected another Republican endorsed by Trump to fill her seat by . . . 14 points

 Not as deep red as it used to be when your margin of victory is more than cut in half.

GOP's Clay Fuller Wins Special Election To Replace Taylor Greene 

And for what, Iran's hegemony over the Persian Gulf?

 Gen. Caine: More Than 50,000 U.S. Troops Flew 10,000 Missions Over Iran In 39 Days, Drank 950,000 Gallons Of Coffee

Trump's UN ambassador put this up about an hour before Trump decided to let Iran, out of all the countries in the world, charge a toll to get through an international waterway

20 millions barrels a day passing through is $20 million a day or $7.3 billion a year, going straight into the hands of Iran to build more missiles, drones, and nuclear weapons for to wipe Israel off the map and rule the Middle East.

Brilliant.

I'm sure all our new friends in the Persian Gulf who let us build bases to protect them are just thrilled. 

Trump belongs in a padded cell, not the Oval Office.

The world is spitting at us in contempt this morning. 

 


Today's drinking word is CINO

 Ceasefire in name only.

 








 

Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Two weeks Trump strikes again lol

 Trump suspends Iran attack for two weeks, subject to Hormuz Strait opening


 

Keir Starmer won't let America use UK bases to conduct actual war against Iran because actual war is a war crime now and he's a girlie man

 


Looks like losing 20% of the world's oil indefinitely is more likely than not

 


With seven of twelve periods complete in the current weak La Nina year and an average anomaly of -0.7985714 to date, the experts on X are predicting a Super El Nino based on a model

 ðŸ¤£

Taki, who thinks it's 431 BC, takes time out from his debaucheries to scold The Donald that Iranians are going to experience terrible suffering, and Americans eventual defeat

Arrogance led to the Athenian demise, no doubt about it.  

But like the good Spartan that he is, he doesn't consider that it might be 490 BC instead, seeing how he and his European friends are too busy with feasting to come to the aid of our age's Athens at Marathon.

Here.

 

J. D. Vance heads to Hungary to support Orban ahead of high stakes election for the incomes of John O'Sullivan, Rod Dreher, and Gladden Pappin lol

 JD Vance heads to Hungary to support Viktor Orbán ahead of high-stakes election

OMG, a tale from the crypt lol, in which Charlie's Angel Kate Jackson pretends it was feminism and not jiggle television

 


Monday, April 6, 2026

Everybody is getting into the authoritarian business of giving themselves the power to decide something they don't like is terrorism so that they can suppress it


... Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law a measure that gave him and other state officials the power to designate groups as "terrorist organizations" ‌and expel students who support them, with rights groups saying the law will chill free ‌speech.

The law empowers the state's chief of domestic security, governor and cabinet to designate any organization they determine engages in extremist ​acts as a "terrorist organization."

After such a designation, the group can be forcibly dissolved and face a freeze on state funding, according to the legislation. It also says that students shall be expelled from their institution if they "promoted a domestic terrorist organization or a foreign terrorist organization." ...


My favorite phrase from this essay: "To the extent that there’s an intellectual foundation for Trumpism . . ."

Very amusing.

There's a lot riding on the outcome of the Hungarian elections for certain "conservatives" next week. 

 Meet the MAGA Intellectual on Hungary’s Payroll: A political theorist who once prophesized a Queen Melania is Viktor Orbán’s envoy to the court of Trump

It's mostly about Gladden Pappin, but is useful for describing the connections between Hungary and other American figures like J. D. Vance, and also the Danube Institute bankrolling Rod Dreher (unmentioned), helmed by National Review veteran John O'Sullivan:

Another English-speaking member of this species is John O’Sullivan, a former speechwriter for Margaret Thatcher. O’Sullivan is the founder and president of the Danube Institute, which receives funding from Orbán’s government and stays relentlessly on message. Last year, the institute put on an event called Is Transgenderism Dying?” With nearly two weeks to go before the election on April 12, the institute hosted a summit featuring a video address by the deputy U.S. secretary of state, Christopher Landau, and in-person remarks from one of his advisers. Weeks earlier, Secretary of State Marco Rubio had traveled to Budapest and told Orbán, “Your success is our success.” The Danube Institute event reinforced that message by giving U.S. diplomats pride of place in the program. “It’s very comforting to know that we have allies like you,” an institute employee told the Americans at the conference’s conclusion.  

Jonathan Turley was writing a pretty good column until he got to "We have allowed U.S. citizenship to become a mere commodity for the most affluent or unscrupulous among us"



He never mentions that with one hand Trump wants to end birthright citizenship in this court case and with the other sell citizenship to 37 million foreigners at $1 million each to nearly wipe out the national debt.

I say nearly because the national debt has exploded to $39 trillion since Trump first proposed this crackpot gimmick in February 2025. 

Trump's only ideas about America are about money and getting more of it.

Turley tries to square the circle but remains no friend of the blood and soil conservatives who framed the constitution for "our posterity".
 

Adjusted for inflation since 1990, gasoline in this chart should be about $2.95, but it's $3.99 instead

 


Bond yields through March 2026 have ignored Fed interest rate cuts which commenced in September 2024