Sunday, June 28, 2026

Reuters and CNBC reported the restart to Saudi oil export operations in the Persian Gulf on Saturday

 Saudi Aramco resumes oil loading at Ras Tanura in boost to supply

... Two Very Large Crude Carriers controlled by Saudi’s shipping arm Bahri were seen loading crude at Ras Tanura, the world’s biggest oil port, while another is heading towards the terminal, the data showed on Friday. A fourth VLCC waited nearby. Each VLCC is capable of loading 2 million barrels of oil.

... Ras Tanura sits on Saudi Arabia’s eastern coast on the Gulf and is west of the Strait of Hormuz. It used to export more than 5 million bpd of crude before the conflict. The country’s largest domestic 550,000 bpd refinery is also located at Ras Tanura, which was shut during the war as a precautionary measure. 

Aramco last loaded a cargo from Ras Tanura port for China on March 8, LSEG data showed, and had to divert its exports to the Red Sea port of Yanbu after the Iranian blockade of the strait during its war with the U.S. and Israel prevented ships from entering the Gulf.

The war has caused Saudi crude exports to slump to about 4 million bpd in the past three months, the data showed, from more than 7 million bpd in February.

... [Rystad Energy] now estimates that shut-in production across the Gulf has fallen to 9.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in mid-June, down from 11.7 million bpd just three weeks ago, and expects a full supply recovery in the region by the end of the year. 

Middle East tanker transits June 21-27, 2026, from JMIC Update 064: Strait of Hormuz 16.4/day, Bab-el-Mandeb Strait 16.1/day

SoH Normal: ~70/day
Anomaly: -53.6/day, down 76.6% 
SoH E: 10.3/day
SoH W: 6.1/day
 
BAM Normal: ~30/day
Anomaly: -13.9/day, down 46.3% 
BAM SE: 7.6/day
BAM NW: 8.6/day 


J. D. Vance wants you to believe white people got Reagan elected in 1984 but not Nixon in 1972, among other fantasies

In any case he's going with "we're more like Nixon than Reagan".

Alrighty then.

I think they'll be a LOT more like Nixon after November.

Some call this knowing how to get in the headlines, others call it dog-whistling.

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Oh gee what a coincidence lol

 Trump says he is nominating former Oklahoma state trooper Lance Schroyer as ICE director

... Schroyer hails from the same home state as the new Department of Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin, a former congressman. ...

Mullin: "I know a guy".

Trump: "Good. He's in".

Trump will never master personnel.

I sure hope he turns out better than the pool guy! 

Meanwhile the foreign born population level, which counts without respect to citizenship status, is still higher than when Trump was elected in November 2024.

That deportation thingy in Trump II is going about as well as The Wall went during Trump I. 


 

Death toll in Venezuela approaches 1,000 with over 51,000 missing

 Venezuelans take search for the missing into their own hands as earthquake death toll climbs

... The number of dead was expected to climb, and civilians reported tens of thousands of people missing on independent digital databases. The number of missing likely includes those who have been incommunicado due to the lack of cellphone signals in disaster zones. Some reports may be duplicates created when multiple loved ones are searching for the same person. ... 

Friday, June 26, 2026

Trump's war in the Persian Gulf will have permanent negative consequences for freedom of the seas, just like in the Red Sea

 


Saudis confirmed loading VLCCs in the Persian Gulf for the first time in four months

 



Meanwhile others claim the Saudis are moving oil through the Strait of Hormuz

 In a world where tankers routinely turn off their automatic marine identification systems to avoid identification and hide their locations, or use them to broadcast fake identities and locations, or even sail under false flags, it is difficult to know what to believe. 

The oceans are still The Wild West.

Two examples today claiming Saudi use of the Strait of Hormuz: 

 



The one big missing factor: Saudi Arabia reportedly has not used the Persian Gulf to ship anything

 Shipping rebounds in Strait of Hormuz one week after U.S.-Iran deal – but fragile confidence threatens recovery

 

... Aristidis Alafouzos, CEO of Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp, a crude oil shipping company headquartered in Greece, said he doesn’t expect Thursday’s attack on a ship in the Gulf of Oman to “significantly change” the trend of transits through the waterway.

“We’ve seen a large increase, especially on the crude oil passages, and I think this is set to continue and maybe this one-off event isn’t enough to really disrupt the recent events of the large exports of Kuwaiti and Emirati crude oil from the Gulf,” Alafouzos told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Friday.

“The one big missing factor is the Saudis. For now, we haven’t seen them export almost anything from inside the Arabian Gulf and everything is coming from Yanbu in the Red Sea.” ...

J. D. Vance: Barry Goldwater was the Deep State lol

 Vance: Watergate Is A "Story Of How The Deep State Took Down Nixon"


 

Former Attorney General Bill Barr endorses Todd Blanche to run the Department of Injustice because Blanche is the only person who has a snowball's chance in hell of bringing Mad King Ludwig back to reality

But that's just Barr's cover story.
 
Bill Barr knows Blanche's only successes defending Trump as his personal lawyer relied on delaying tactics, both in the classified documents case and in the federal election subversion case.
 
Do we really want more of that in his official capacity as Attorney General? 
 
Isn't that what the Justice Department was famous for under Bondi, who dragged her feet releasing the Epstein files?
 
C'mon man. 
 
Other than that, Blanche lost the Manhattan hush money case and Trump was convicted of 34 felonies. 
 
I see no reason for Todd Blanche to fail upwards, unless of course he's probably the best choice to have around if you want to delay what's coming for Trump after November.
 
 
 

Thursday, June 25, 2026

Middle East tanker traffic June 18-24, 2026: Strait of Hormuz 12.3/day, Bab-el-Mandeb Strait 16.9/day

SoH E: 6.6/day
SoH W: 5.7/day
 
BAM SE: 7.6/day
BAM NW: 9.3/day 


Real Clear Polling has El-Sayed ahead of Stevens by only 2.4 points in the Michigan Democrat Primary for U.S. Senate after narrower Susquehanna poll result

 Stevens is alive.

 


 

 

The current economic growth rate continues to underperform the post-war compound annual growth rate to Reagan by 42%

 1Q2026 real GDP in the third estimate today came in at an annualized rate of 2.1%.

The first estimate was 2.0%. The second was 1.6%.

The revision back up again and a little higher was "primarily reflecting a downward revision to imports", which are a subtraction from GDP.

Expect higher GDP in 2Q on the strength of oil exports. 

The post-war economic growth rate to Reagan was 3.64% compound annual vs. 2.1% now.

The compound annual rate 2017-2025 was 2.48%.

Trump is even underperforming himself by 15%. 

 


 

When will real personal income be great again?

 Real personal income year over year in May 2026 fell 0.24%.

Are Obama and Biden still in charge?

 


Core pce inflation in May 2026 came in at 3.41% year over year


 What in the Sam Hell is golden about this age?

Absolutely nothing. 

There's nothing Greenspan about it either. 

Alan Greenspan's core pce inflation averaged 2.46% year over year 1987-2006.

 


 

 


 

Well guess what, Speaker Mike Johnson apparently never presented the housing bill to the president, so the 10-day clock is not ticking for it to become law

 Trump halts bipartisan victory lap on housing 

... One potential wrinkle in that 10-day clock is that it doesn’t start until the enrolled bill has been officially “presented” to the president.

It wasn’t immediately clear whether that had happened yet as of Trump’s social media post at 10:26 a.m. But as the day went on it became apparent the bill still hadn’t been presented to the president, according to a top Democrat.

House Minority Whip Katherine M. Clark, D-Mass., laid the blame at Johnson’s feet.

“Mike Johnson could, right now, at any time, formally present this bill to the president and make the president choose: Will he veto it or will it become law in ten days?” Clark said at a news conference. “But Mike Johnson is not choosing that path. That is a betrayal of duty.”

Aides to Johnson didn’t respond to requests for comment. ...

 

Trump moves forward with U.S. Postal Service plan to interdict mail-in ballots and prevent voting by mail in states which won't give him voter data

This is not a joke. 

Postmaster general confirms plan to hold back mail ballots in states that won’t share voter data 

Postmaster General David Steiner told lawmakers Wednesday that the U.S. Postal Service will no longer deliver mail-in ballots in states that refuse to provide sensitive voter data to the federal government, in line with a proposed rule from the Trump administration. ... 

 


 

Petroleum inventories are Wei Tu Lo

 

Ole Hansen
Eric Nuttall
Rory Johnston