Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Middle East tanker transits June 23-29, 2026 from JMIC Update 065: Strait of Hormuz 17.6/day, Bab-el-Mandeb Strait 16.0/day

SoH E: 10.4/day
SoH W: 7.1/day
 
BAM SE: 8.3/day
BAM NW: 7.7/day
 

Alito: So the Supremes rule by default that the words "subject to the jurisdiction" in the 14th Amendment are indeed superfluous, which is nuts

 Alito:

... Third, the Court cannot explain why the phrase “subject to the jurisdiction” of the United States applies to naturalized citizens. All naturalized citizens, like everyone else who is present in this country, must obey the law, so if that phrase meant what the Court thinks, it is superfluous. By contrast, if it means not being “subject to any foreign power,” it serves an identifiable purpose and explains why the naturalization statutes, both before and after the adoption of the Fourteenth Amendment, required those seeking naturalization to renounce allegiance to any other country. For these reasons, the Court’s interpretation of the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause fails on textualist grounds.

3

The Court does not confront these problems because it pays little attention to the constitutional text. Instead of performing its own textual analysis, the Court leans on precedent that glosses the text. Ante, at 10–12. But none of the cases it cites analyzed the text of the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause. ...

 

On campaign spending the Supremes rule once again in an excessively libertarian manner

 Supreme Court strikes down limits on political parties’ campaign spending, in win for GOP

The ruling actually levels the playing field more in the direction of the Democrats than the GOP.

But that is beside the point.

Unlimited spending on campaigns is a good thing, AS LONG AS the funds come from inside the representative's congressional district, or the Senator's state, or the president's country (well doh, except the latter appears to be no longer the case!). 

I'm tired of special interests outside my state electing my representatives in the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate.

And I certainly don't want foreigners electing the president. 

Roberts, Sotomayor, Kagan, Barrett, Jackson, and Kavanaugh in part, rule that children born here to foreigners unlawfully or temporarily present are citizens

 In 6-3 Ruling, Court Strikes Down Trump's EO on Birthright Citizenship

 ... Held: Children born in the United States to parents unlawfully or temporarily present are “subject to the jurisdiction” of the United States and are citizens at birth under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause. ... 

 Supreme Court upholds birthright citizenship, blocks Trump order 

The Trump clown show now says the housing bill is so unimportant, you know, the bill he urged Congress to pass in a White House proclamation on June 12th lol

 



I was confidently told House Speaker Mike Johnson would never go against Trump by sending him the housing bill lol

 Exclusive: Johnson says housing bill will become law, with or without Trump

... "He won't veto the bill. We already know that. He'll either allow it to just go into law, or he'll put his signature on it and take partial ownership, and I hope he does the latter." ... 

House Speaker Mike Johnson sends housing bill to Trump, starting 10-day clock

 


Monday, June 29, 2026

Right, when I think of authentic Michigan the first thing which comes to mind is a mechanical milking cow

...  Officials from Oregon, Washington, Massachusetts, Illinois, North Carolina and Connecticut told CNN they declined an invitation from the Trump administration to showcase their states at the giant fairgrounds being built on the National Mall. Pennsylvania has yet to decide whether it will participate. 

...  But all 50 states and territories will be represented even if some states don’t provide input, and details are still being “actively finalized,” a spokesperson for Freedom 250 told CNN.

“What we can say is that every state’s story will be told in a way that’s authentic to its people, history, and culture,” the spokesperson said, adding, “Whether represented by a governor’s office, a tourism board, or a beloved state company or organization, every community will be celebrated.”  

... In Michigan, visitors will get a chance to see a mechanical milking cow ... 

Social media have been featuring film of these Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries for weeks, attacks which have produced long lines for fuel across Russia

The main take away is that Ukraine easily penetrates Russian air defenses with these weapons.

If that can be done there, it can be done here, there, and everywhere.

Nota bene.

 

 Putin’s fuel shortage admission signals growing strain on Russia’s energy infrastructure

... Ukraine has stepped up attacks on Russian oil facilities in recent weeks, seeking to cut off Moscow’s energy revenues and try to force Putin into bringing an end to the more than four-year war. 

... Ukraine has also intensified its strikes on Crimea, which Russia seized by force in 2014, as part of a strategy to isolate the peninsula, and has benefited from a series of political tailwinds in recent weeks. 

... Ukraine’s president recently signed off on a 40-day operation designed to influence the Kremlin to bring an end to the war. Zelenskyy, who shared the announcement via Telegram on Thursday, gave no further details about the campaign. ... 

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Reuters and CNBC reported the restart to Saudi oil export operations in the Persian Gulf on Saturday

 Saudi Aramco resumes oil loading at Ras Tanura in boost to supply

... Two Very Large Crude Carriers controlled by Saudi’s shipping arm Bahri were seen loading crude at Ras Tanura, the world’s biggest oil port, while another is heading towards the terminal, the data showed on Friday. A fourth VLCC waited nearby. Each VLCC is capable of loading 2 million barrels of oil.

... Ras Tanura sits on Saudi Arabia’s eastern coast on the Gulf and is west of the Strait of Hormuz. It used to export more than 5 million bpd of crude before the conflict. The country’s largest domestic 550,000 bpd refinery is also located at Ras Tanura, which was shut during the war as a precautionary measure. 

Aramco last loaded a cargo from Ras Tanura port for China on March 8, LSEG data showed, and had to divert its exports to the Red Sea port of Yanbu after the Iranian blockade of the strait during its war with the U.S. and Israel prevented ships from entering the Gulf.

The war has caused Saudi crude exports to slump to about 4 million bpd in the past three months, the data showed, from more than 7 million bpd in February.

... [Rystad Energy] now estimates that shut-in production across the Gulf has fallen to 9.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in mid-June, down from 11.7 million bpd just three weeks ago, and expects a full supply recovery in the region by the end of the year. 

Middle East tanker transits June 21-27, 2026, from JMIC Update 064: Strait of Hormuz 16.4/day, Bab-el-Mandeb Strait 16.1/day

SoH Normal: ~70/day
Anomaly: -53.6/day, down 76.6% 
SoH E: 10.3/day
SoH W: 6.1/day
 
BAM Normal: ~30/day
Anomaly: -13.9/day, down 46.3% 
BAM SE: 7.6/day
BAM NW: 8.6/day 


J. D. Vance wants you to believe white people got Reagan elected in 1984 but not Nixon in 1972, among other fantasies

In any case he's going with "we're more like Nixon than Reagan".

Alrighty then.

I think they'll be a LOT more like Nixon after November.

Some call this knowing how to get in the headlines, others call it dog-whistling.

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Oh gee what a coincidence lol

 Trump says he is nominating former Oklahoma state trooper Lance Schroyer as ICE director

... Schroyer hails from the same home state as the new Department of Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin, a former congressman. ...

Mullin: "I know a guy".

Trump: "Good. He's in".

Trump will never master personnel.

I sure hope he turns out better than the pool guy! 

Meanwhile the foreign born population level, which counts without respect to citizenship status, is still higher than when Trump was elected in November 2024.

That deportation thingy in Trump II is going about as well as The Wall went during Trump I. 


 

Death toll in Venezuela approaches 1,000 with over 51,000 missing

 Venezuelans take search for the missing into their own hands as earthquake death toll climbs

... The number of dead was expected to climb, and civilians reported tens of thousands of people missing on independent digital databases. The number of missing likely includes those who have been incommunicado due to the lack of cellphone signals in disaster zones. Some reports may be duplicates created when multiple loved ones are searching for the same person. ... 

Friday, June 26, 2026

Trump's war in the Persian Gulf will have permanent negative consequences for freedom of the seas, just like in the Red Sea

 


Saudis confirmed loading VLCCs in the Persian Gulf for the first time in four months

 



Meanwhile others claim the Saudis are moving oil through the Strait of Hormuz

 In a world where tankers routinely turn off their automatic marine identification systems to avoid identification and hide their locations, or use them to broadcast fake identities and locations, or even sail under false flags, it is difficult to know what to believe. 

The oceans are still The Wild West.

Two examples today claiming Saudi use of the Strait of Hormuz: 

 



The one big missing factor: Saudi Arabia reportedly has not used the Persian Gulf to ship anything

 Shipping rebounds in Strait of Hormuz one week after U.S.-Iran deal – but fragile confidence threatens recovery

 

... Aristidis Alafouzos, CEO of Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp, a crude oil shipping company headquartered in Greece, said he doesn’t expect Thursday’s attack on a ship in the Gulf of Oman to “significantly change” the trend of transits through the waterway.

“We’ve seen a large increase, especially on the crude oil passages, and I think this is set to continue and maybe this one-off event isn’t enough to really disrupt the recent events of the large exports of Kuwaiti and Emirati crude oil from the Gulf,” Alafouzos told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Friday.

“The one big missing factor is the Saudis. For now, we haven’t seen them export almost anything from inside the Arabian Gulf and everything is coming from Yanbu in the Red Sea.” ...

J. D. Vance: Barry Goldwater was the Deep State lol

 Vance: Watergate Is A "Story Of How The Deep State Took Down Nixon"


 

Former Attorney General Bill Barr endorses Todd Blanche to run the Department of Injustice because Blanche is the only person who has a snowball's chance in hell of bringing Mad King Ludwig back to reality

But that's just Barr's cover story.
 
Bill Barr knows Blanche's only successes defending Trump as his personal lawyer relied on delaying tactics, both in the classified documents case and in the federal election subversion case.
 
Do we really want more of that in his official capacity as Attorney General? 
 
Isn't that what the Justice Department was famous for under Bondi, who dragged her feet releasing the Epstein files?
 
C'mon man. 
 
Other than that, Blanche lost the Manhattan hush money case and Trump was convicted of 34 felonies. 
 
I see no reason for Todd Blanche to fail upwards, unless of course he's probably the best choice to have around if you want to delay what's coming for Trump after November.