Wednesday, April 16, 2025

LOL Trump tariff revenue, about $7 billion a month, is averaging what came in under Joe Biden in 2024, which was $7.2 billion per month


 

... The agency said in a statement to CNBC, “Since April 5, CBP has collected over $500 million under the new reciprocal tariffs, contributing to more than $21 billion in total tariff revenue from 15 presidential trade actions implemented since Jan 20, 2025.” ...

Trump has repeatedly said the United States is taking in $2 billion per day from tariffs. ...

-- CNBC

 

UST 20Y auction: 4.81% vs. 4.632% previously

Ten foods making new all time high average prices in March 2025 per FRED Economic Data

Round roast $7.557 per pound
Round steak $8.554
Ground chuck $5.854
Ground beef 100% $5.79
Ground beef all $6.137
Beef steaks all $10.98
Eggs $6.227 per dozen
Coffee $7.385 per pound
White sugar $1.014
Beer $1.821 per pint
 

Gold climbs to $3,275.20 per ounce

 CNBC.

Either everyone has due process, or nobody does

 


At around noon on 14 April, 2025, America ceased to have a law-abiding government

 On Monday Trump chose to ignore a 9-0 Supreme Court ruling to repatriate an illegally deported man.

More.

Suits for thee Zelenskyy, but not for me

 


Tuesday, April 15, 2025

What matters in the case of Kilmar Abrego Garcia is that he had an immigration judge's order protecting him from deportation and Trump violated that order

As it happens Garcia seems like he was a pretty good father, contrary to what Kremlin Karoline says, but that is irrelevant to justice, which is supposed to be blind to such things.

Trump has trampled over the entire process which allowed Garcia to remain in the United States.

What will he trample next?

 

Speaking of the dearth of proportional thinking, today is April 15th, when the tax code obscures the fact that the cost of government is about 24%

It shouldn't be this hard, or this costly, to pay taxes.

My TurboTax bill this year came to $278, and my time came to about nine hours collecting the data and preparing the return. It saved me oodles of more time than that, as well as the fear and the frustration, but still, it's a giant pain in the butt, and an annual expense which just seems to get larger every year.

Average American Spends 13 Hours and $290 to File Taxes

Meanwhile the income tax code is not proportional, which is to say it is not fair.

If the tax code were proportional, everyone would pay the same rate.

Instead it is progressive, which means you pay at higher rates the more you make, and some people pay nothing at all.

The rich are not equal to the poor . . . by law. And in between the rich and the poor are all those people who are arguably the least equal of all, because they don't ever get the privilege of paying nothing at all. Something close to one third of filers pay nothing, and they are mostly rich and poor, even though everyone who works does pay Social Security and Medicare taxes, which incidentally almost everyone pays equally because they pay at the same rate.

Shouldn't that be the case with income taxes, too?

Consider that grand total federal outlays in 2022 were $6.27 trillion, which includes the Social Security and Medicare programs in addition to all other federal spending, on defense, interest on the debt, etc. 

That year gross national income came to $26.23 trillion.

The implied tax rate for almost everything is therefore 23.9%.

Collect that right off the top when you earn it or receive it and no one would need to go through the hassle of filing a return, and the budget would have balanced too. And individual income tax filers wouldn't have to spend $464 billion or whatever it is, using TurboTax or a CPA or some other tax preparer, or paper, pencil, and untold hours of time.

Instead we collected taxes in 2022 which were $1.37 trillion short of the $6.27 trillion in outlays, which we had to borrow and which got added to the national debt and increased the interest expense which we must cover out of current tax receipts.

Of course I would be upset if I had to pay 24% on all income as I earned it because I don't pay anywhere close to that. But that is the true cost of government, which is one reason why we don't pay that way. It's more prudent to hide the truth, and pit one group against another instead of treating people as we would wish to be treated. The rich are a small minority, which is why they can be bullied to pay more equally than others.

Another reason we don't pay the way I have described is because people would demand we spend a lot less if we did.

And we can't have that, now can we?

In the age of everything that is good is awesome, everything bad must be an emergency

 The Zeitgeist is epitomized by a general hysteria, incapable of proportional thinking and hostile to reason, and so it should come as no surprise that our new leadership is exploiting that for its own ends, mostly to distract you while they make money hand over fist.

Everything is awesome. Everyone is great.

But everything is also a disaster, and the worst ever.

COVID was going to kill us all. The vaccines were going to save us all.

Biden was going to cure cancer. RFK Jr is going to solve the mystery of autism by September.

All those people streaming across the border during the Biden administration were seeking asylum. Now under Trump they were an invading enemy army.

The recession of 2008 had to be The Great Recession, or The Great Financial Crisis, as if 10.7% unemployment in 4Q1982 was the golden age of Ronald Reagan, and over 3,000 savings and loans didn't go belly up during that decade and part of the next.

Heat waves and cold waves are unprecedented, unless you talk to an old person. We have 12 years left before global warming kills us all.

Putin is going to launch a thermonuclear WWIII, same as Saddam Hussein.

So of course trade deficits are suddenly an emergency.

 

Citigroup profits rise 21%, stock trading revenue rises 23%

 CNBC:

Citigroup on Tuesday posted first-quarter results that exceeded analysts’ estimates as the firm’s traders generated more revenue than expected. ... “increased market volatility” and higher client activity led to more transactions ... a boom in equities trading revenue as the banks took advantage of volatility in the quarter. ...

Bank of America overall profits up 11%, stock trading revenue up 17%

Bank of America on Tuesday posted first-quarter results that topped analysts’ expectations for profit and revenue on stronger-than-expected net interest income and trading revenue. ...

JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs each exceeded analysts’ estimates on a boom in equities trading revenue as banks took advantage of volatility in the quarter.

More.

Monday, April 14, 2025

Gold to $3,245.42

CNBC:

Spot gold was down 1.1% at $3,200.11 an ounce after hitting an all-time high of $3,245.42. U.S. gold futures fell 0.9% to $3,216.20.

The previous high was $3,245.28, just 14 cents lower than the new all-time high, which makes the new high kinda lame.

Trump lets the president of El Salvador do his defying of the Supreme Court for him, won't return Kilmar Abrego Garcia to the United States

 El Salvador President Nayib Bukele says he won’t return Abrego Garcia to U.S.

... [Trump] also said he wants Bukele to accept as many criminals as possible. ...


Morgan Stanley: But we'll be there for ya!

Morgan Stanley: Expect to be ‘fooled many more times’ on tariffs

Trump tariff chaos is literally equity traders' gold


 

 On again, off again, on again tariffs from The Puppet Master have enriched stock traders Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley. They don't care if stocks go up, or down, as long as they keep going up, going down, going up. Trump chaos is literally traders' gold.

Goldman profit is up 15% from the year earlier period.

Goldman Sachs tops estimates on boom in equities trading revenue

 ... equity trading revenue rose 27%. ... On Friday, rivals JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley each topped expectations for first-quarter results on booming equities trading.

Equities trading revenue surged 48% and 45% at the banks, respectively, thanks to volatility in the opening months of Trump’s tenure amid his efforts to reshape global trade agreements.


 

Sunday, April 13, 2025

They're calling the 10Y at 4.5% the moron premium because everyone hates Trump and his tariffs, but I don't remember it being called the 5% dotard premium under Joe Biden

People need to get a grip.

Blaming hapless Liz Truss' two-months as PM in September and October 2022 for the UK's high interest rates pretends that the Bank of England didn't raise interest rates in response to inflation same as the US Federal Reserve Bank.

This trashy headline belongs in The Daily Star, not the UK Telegraph. No wonder they're trying to sell you a 1-year subscription for only 29 pounds.

 

 



Saturday, April 12, 2025

Paper tiger strikes again: Another delay for Liberation Day as Trump exempts China's number one export category to the United States from draconian tariffs

 Trump exempts phones, computers, chips from new tariffs

President Donald Trump exempted smartphones, computers, and other tech devices and components from his reciprocal tariffs, new guidance from U.S. Customs and Border Protection shows.

The guidance, issued late Friday evening, comes after Trump earlier this month imposed 145% tariffs on products from China, a move that threatened to take a toll on tech giants like Apple, which makes iPhones and most of its other products in China.

The guidance also includes exclusions for other electronic devices and components, including semiconductors, solar cells, flat panel TV displays, flash drives, and memory cards. ...

Phony, baloney, plastic banana, good time rock 'n rolla.