Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Tariffs have no power here: US Treasury yields pop higher, 30-year mortgage hits highest in a month 6.85%, S&P 500 gives up 4% relief rally

 Stock market relief rally fizzles out with S&P 500 erasing 4% gain: Live updates


Ceding tariff authority to the executive was the Congress' way of escaping the political consequences of fulfilling their responsibilities under the constitution, but that may be changing

 The phenomenon is mirrored in the states by the enthusiasm for referenda, aka ballot measures, which are promoted as democracy but are in fact simply a reflection of elected representatives' desire to escape the consequences of their votes.

"Hey, don't look at me, that's what the people wanted".

 

7 GOP senators sign on to bill to check Trump’s trade authority 

Seven Republican senators, including Sen. Chuck Grassley (Iowa), the Senate’s president pro tempore, and Sen. Mitch McConnell (Ky.), the former Senate Republican leader, have signed on to a bipartisan bill that would require Congress to approve President Trump’s steep tariffs on trading partners.

Grassley and McConnell have joined five other Republicans — Sens. Jerry Moran (Kan.), Lisa Murkowski (Alaska), Thom Tillis (N.C.), Todd Young (Ind.) and Susan Collins (Maine) — in supporting the Trade Review Act of 2025. ...

It would require that new tariffs sunset after 60 days unless Congress passes a joint resolution approving them.

And it provides a pathway for Congress to cancel tariffs before the 60-day period expires by passing a joint resolution of disapproval.

Trump has already threatened to veto the bill. ...

Trump last week announced reciprocal tariffs on more than 180 countries and territories by invoking his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.

 

Yeah, that saying everything is an emergency business has got to go, too

 

 

The people didn't vote for relief later, they've endured horrible inflation since 2021 and expected Trump to fix it, not make it worse

Asking the people to make more sacrifices, to get even poorer through tariff-induced higher prices, all for the sake of The Party und Der Führer is really . . . rich.


There is no negotiating with someone who says 0% is not good enough

 

  • Bessent: Up To 70 Nations Want To Negotiate Over Trump's Tariffs
  • The tyrant has desires which he is utterly unable to satisfy: Mad King Ludwig says zero tariffs not good enough

     











    They're all nuts.

     

    DOGE World's Elon Musk tries to escape universal opprobrium, calls Tariff World's Peter Navarro Peter Retarrdo, dumber than a sack of bricks

    Might as well go out with guns a-blazin'.

    Musk is a free-trader who is not down for the tariff struggle.

     




    Loyalty to Trump goooooooooood, loyalty to Biden baaaaaaaaaaad

    Baa, ram, ewe!
     

    Fake job seekers flood companies hiring for fake jobs

     

    Monday, April 7, 2025

    Chairman Donny says you will own nothing and be happy in your work

     


    Kilmar Abrego Garcia will have to wait in an El Salvador prison for the US Supreme Court to decide what to do with him

     

    ... Roberts issued a terse administrative order indefinitely lifting the deadline of 11:59 EDT to return Abrego Garcia set by U.S. District Judge Paula Xinis. The Trump administration had said that deadline was “impossible” to meet. ...

    More.

    Trump's biggest tariff, 50%, was on tiny landlocked poverty-stricken Lesotho inside South Africa, over a minuscule trade imbalance of $234.5 MILLION in 2024, which is under a treaty for godsakes


     

    Lesotho's exports to the US in 2024 were valued at $237.3 MILLION lol. Trump now wants 50% of that.

    King George III, who also was nuts, was a benevolent king to America compared to this guy.

     Trump's biggest tariff was on tiny Lesotho. Here's what to know about the African kingdom.

    ... Mr. Trump's so-called "Liberation Day" tariffs included a whopping 50% levy on the small, impoverished nation's imports, and the Lesotho government quickly said it would send a delegation to Washington. ...

    Lesotho's annual gross domestic product of $2 billion is highly reliant on exports, mostly of textiles, including jeans. ...

    The White House claims, by way of [its] formula, that Lesotho imposes 99% tariffs and other barriers on U.S. imports. ...

    With an annual gross domestic product of just over $2 billion, Lesotho is largely dependent on South Africa — it biggest trading partner — from which it imports most of its food, selling water in return.

    The economy has been heavily reliant on textile exports bound for the United States through the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) trade deal, which provides duty-free access to the U.S. market for some African products. The Trump administration's imposition of tariffs on African nations has raised questions over how likely the White House is to renew the AGOA pact when it expires in September. ...


    Trump's top trade advisor is nuts, 0% tariff offer from Vietnam isn't good enough

     They're making it impossible for the world, which will end up trading with everybody except us. 

    ... A value added tax is a system used by many countries around the world and is in some ways similar to sales taxes in the U.S. The Trump administration’s argument that the tax should count as a trade barrier is not widely accepted.

    “We have tried at the World Trade Organization since the 1970s to get VAT-tax relief, and they’ve told us no every single time,” Navarro said Monday.

    The trade adviser also said Monday that the value added tax would be an issue in any negotiations around tariffs with the European Union.

    Gold hit another new record high on Thursday April 3, 2025 at $3,167.57


     

    ... Gold prices fell to a more-than-three-week low on Monday amid a wider market sell-off, continuing their retreat as investors dumped bullion to cover their losses in other trades on fears of a global recession due to an escalating global trade war. ...
     

    Car manufacturing jobs, so-called good jobs, already don't pay enough to enable these Detroit auto workers to buy their own homes and have families, and they fear layoffs because of the tariffs

     The Wall Street Journal doesn't mention it here.

    This guy's been working for the company for 10 years and he's still renting.

    ... Daniel Campbell, who maneuvers steel auto parts around a Stellantis factory north of Detroit, says he and many of his colleagues are worried about layoffs.

    “I’m scared,” he said from his brick bungalow on the west side of Detroit, which he rents with two roommates. “We’re complaining about gas and eggs now. Who is going to be able to buy these cars that are already $80,000, and then you make it $90,000?”

    The 46-year-old UAW member, who makes about $30 an hour, and one of his roommates have talked about trimming their spending, including eating out less and cutting clothing and electronics purchases. 

    “There’s going to come a time where we’re not going to be able to go and spend,” he said

     At work, the assembly lines have been running faster in recent weeks as Stellantis has tried to stockpile parts ahead of the tariffs, Campbell said. He and his co-workers are running out of room to store the parts. ...

    Sunday, April 6, 2025

    The economy under Biden was a catastrophe now requiring draconian tariffs, just like we're being invaded by Venezuelan gangs everywhere requiring extraordinary measures which violate due process of law

    Everything is either awesome or awful, Republican or Democrat, white or black in our hysterical country.

    The economy went from being enviable by others in the world in October to a catastrophe just like that in January.

    And now it really might become a catastrophe but you'll hear only that it's AWESOME.

    Can wage and price controls be far behind?

     

     



    Remember the kinder, gentler America?

     Yeah, that was for suckers and losers.


     

    President Trump's multipronged tariff strategy is actually a movie

     

    Elon Musk forgets that Peter Navarro built license plates for four months last year lol

     

    ... “A PhD in Econ from Harvard is a bad thing, not a good thing. Results in the ego/brains>>1 problem,” Musk wrote in one post. (Navarro earned a PhD in economics from Harvard in the 1980s.)

    The Department of Government Efficiency head replied to another user’s comment on the video lauding Navarro’s explanation, writing of the economist: “He ain’t built shit.” ...

    More



    this was subsequently deleted by Musk

    Trump says Hang Tough because we have $5 trillion of new investment after $11 trillion in stocks wiped out lol

    What, $5 trillion in crypto? Ukraine?


     

    Normally you institute protectionist policies like tariffs when you already have something to protect, not before

    But our Orwellian Republicans put the cart before the horse.

    You can't return to something which no longer exists. The net trade deficit for 2024 is nearly $1 trillion, instead of flat like during the post-war up until Reagan, who first ran in 1976 against Ford, when tariffs still had something to protect but we listened to the siren song of free-trade instead.

    That is why the Trump administration has had to cast about for at least six different reasons for instituting tariffs at the present time, none of which are at all convincing otherwise there wouldn't be six of them, not to mention that the math used for them is preposterous, or that they are the farthest thing from reciprocal.

    The real reason for them, however, is that the tariffs, like the executive orders which now number over 100, are the immediate strings available to our Puppet Master, which he can pull this way one day and that way another, your ever present reminder of who is in charge around here. Suck up to him and he'll make a deal.

    Trump's White House laughably brags about these things.

    New taxes, which is what these tariffs are, are liberating don't you see!

    Our mad King Ludwig needs this constant adulation. The tyrant has desires which he can never fulfill, Plato warned us.

    But of course all this can be undone by the next president, which is no way to run a country. It makes for deep institutional instability and distrust throughout the global economy, for which few can reasonably plan.

    The message remains the same: Expect Kaos. 


     







    Saturday, April 5, 2025

    Federal judge orders US authorities to return Kilmar Abrego Garcia from El Salvador by April 7

     A federal judge ordered the Trump administration on Friday to return Kilmar Abrego Garcia back to the United States after he was accidentally sent to a notorious megajail in El Salvador.

    U.S. District Court in Greenbelt, Maryland, Judge Paula Xinis ruled that the government must return Garcia by April 7 at 11:59 pm.

    Garcia, a protected legal resident who has been living in Maryland since 2011 and is originally from El Salvador, was sent back to El Salvador on March 15 because of what the Trump administration called an “administrative error” in court filings Monday. ...

    More.

    Friday, April 4, 2025

    Trump nukes $6.6 trillion from the stock market in the last two days with tariff announcement, the biggest 2-day wipeout in history, $11.1 trillion since the inauguration


     

    Reported here:

    Roughly $11.1 trillion has been wiped away from the U.S. stock market since Jan. 17, the Friday before President Donald Trump took the oath of office and began his second term, according to data from Dow Jones Market Data.

    Some $6.6 trillion of that figure was lost on Thursday and Friday alone — the largest two-day wipeout of shareholder value on record, Dow Jones data showed. ...

    Investors sell gold to cover stock losses, but price remains above moving average of $3,023

     

     Reported here:

    ... Spot gold was down 2.9% at $3,024.2 an ounce, after hitting a session low of $3,015.29 earlier in the session.

    It hit a record high of $3,167.57 on Thursday. For the week, gold was down 1.9%.

    U.S. gold futures settled 2.8% lower at $3,035.40.

    On the technical front, spot gold price managed to hold above its 21-day moving average of $3,023. ...

    Just 49.08% had a full time job in 1Q2025

     


    Donald Trump's dumb ass unemployment rate was 37.6% in 1Q2025

     


    More people than ever were eating but not working in Donald Trump's America in 1Q2025, 102.657 million

     


    Mad King Ludwig says his tariffs will bring in $1T in the next year lol

     President Trump has argued that some of the tariffs he's imposing this week could help the government raise over $1 trillion in the next year or so

     S&P 500 loses $2.4 trillion in market value, biggest one-day loss since 2020

    Thursday, April 3, 2025

    Go boom is more like it

     Trump: Tariff Rollout "Going Very Well," "Our Country Is Going To Boom"



    Stocks tank to inaugurate Trump's golden age of tariffs

     


    The actual WTO China tariffs are 7.3%, not 67% as maintained by Trump

     


    Trump tariff math is about trade imbalances and is not about a reciprocal response to a rate, requiring a trading partner to buy more from the United States rather than just eliminating its tariff rate

    In other words Trump's calculations of foreign countries' tariffs on the United States result in fictional rates.

    From the story here:

    ... For instance, the U.S. claims that China charges a tariff of 67%. The U.S. ran a deficit of $295.4 billion with China in 2024, while imported goods were worth $438.9 billion, according to official data. When you divide $295.4 billion by $438.9 billion, the result is 67%! The same math checks out for Vietnam.

    “The formula is about trade imbalances with the U.S. rather than reciprocal tariffs in the sense of tariff level or non-tariff level distortions. This makes it very difficult for Asian, particularly the poorer Asian countries, to meet US demand to reduce tariffs in the short-term as the benchmark is buying more American goods than they export to the U.S., ” according to Trinh Nguyen, senior economist of emerging Asia at Natixis.

    The U.S. also appeared to have applied a 10% levy for regions where it is running a trade surplus. ...       

    Futures at 7:00 AM EST:


     

    Wednesday, April 2, 2025

    The GOP US House was so proud of passing its budget framework at the end of February, too, but Trump just threw them under the bus for the Senate plan, which will put the country $50 trillion in debt by 2034

     ROFLMAO.

     




     

    Ron Klain says Biden's brain was applesauce, but still believed Biden should have stayed in the race after the bad debate with Trump

     Well, that doesn't make any sense.

    From the story here:

    ... Even after the disastrous debate, by his own telling to Whipple, Klain believed Biden should have stayed in the race – a statement that jars with Klain’s account of debate prep at Camp David. ...



     

    Mad King Ludwig says pigs will fly


     

    You're going to see billions of dollars, even trillions of dollars coming into our country very soon in the form of tariffs.

    -- here, 3/25/25, and here

    Venezuelan gangs in America are an invasion like January 6th riots were an insurrection

     Brought to you courtesy of the UniParty, the Red, White, and Blue.

     Count me out.


     

     

    Mad King Ludwig will never get the Nobel Peace Prize now, even if he does end the Russian war in Ukraine


     

    US cancels visa of Nobel Peace Prize winner Oscar Arias

    The former president of Costa Rica, Oscar Arias, says his US visa has been revoked.

    Arias, a Nobel laureate, said he was informed of the decision weeks after he had publicly criticised Donald Trump, comparing the behaviour of the US president to that of a Roman emperor.

    The 84-year-old, who was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for his role in brokering an end to conflicts in Central America, said US authorities had given no explanation. ...

    Tuesday, April 1, 2025

    The New York Times has called the race for the Wisconsin Supreme Court for the candidate endorsed by Democrats

     Elon Musk had invested heavily in electing the candidate endorsed by Republicans in the race.

     


    The New York Times shows FL-1 and FL-6 staying Republican with each GOP candidate garnering about 57% of the vote in tonight's special elections to replace Gaetz and Waltz

     US HOUSE:

    GOP 220

    DEM 213 (two vacancies due to deaths; seats expected to stay Democrat yielding 215) 

     




    US imports came to $4.11 trillion in 2024: You'd have to tariff this out of existence to pay for the nearly $7 trillion in federal outlays in fiscal 2024

    The tariff rate would have to be 170%, not 20% or 25% or even 50%.

    Those are not serious proposals. 

    The tax base is much too small.

    Humoring Mad King Ludwig about this is an errand worthy only of fools.

    Spot gold hit an all-time high of $3,148.88 today

     -- CNBC

     

    The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -3.7 percent on April 1, down from -2.8 percent on March 28

    Reported here.

     

    GOP in both House and Senate seem to agree that re-upping the 2017 Trump tax cuts won't cost anything even though it did the first time lol, $1.9 trillion over ten years according to the CBO

    The Party now says ignore the evidence of your memory.

    Reported here:

     ... At this point, senior House Republicans privately say they think House Republicans will accept the Senate’s push to use the “current policy baseline” accounting tactic to extend the 2017 tax cuts and claim it costs nothing. The biggest hurdle now is the vast discrepancy between the Senate’s targeted spending cut minimums and the House’s $1.5 trillion spending cut target. ...

    I sense a lot of dissension in Mad King Ludwig's palace: Lutnik attacked over crazy tariffs, Lutnick counterattacks over crazy vaccine skepticism fallout from RFK Jr

     

    RFK Jr. is a ‘conspiracy theorist’ endangering lives, say analysts at Howard Lutnick’s former firm

     

    Judge Boasberg was correct to order the flights to El Salvador to turn around, Trump administration now admits it made a mistake deporting Kilmar Abrego Garcia

    No person shall be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law.

    -- Fifth Amendment

    Due process exists to prevent such mistakes. Dictator Trump didn't care about following it.

    Who will be his next victim?

    From the story here:

     ...  The Trump administration acknowledged late Monday that it had inadvertently deported a man to El Salvador last month despite a court’s determination that he had a legitimate fear of persecution in his home country.

    “This removal was an error,” a top Immigration and Customs Enforcement official wrote in a statement to a federal judge.

    Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Salvadoran, was on one of three deportation flights to his home country on March 15 amid a frantic legal fight over President Donald Trump’s decision to invoke war powers to hasten the deportation of more than 100 Venezuela nationals to El Salvador. In addition to the Venezuelans subject to Trump’s invocation of the Alien Enemies Act were other deportees with purported gang ties. ...

    He was arrested by ICE on March 12 and sent to El Salvador on March 15, where his wife recognized him in a video showing the shackled and shaven prisoners being arrayed by Salvadoran authorities.

    The Trump administration now says there’s nothing it can do to facilitate Abrego Garcia’s return to U.S. custody. ...

    Monday, March 31, 2025

    Kremlin Karoline admits she doesn't spend very much time with her eight-month-old son


     

     In God She Trusts: Karoline Leavitt's Journey to the White House Podium

    ... "I spend every second that I possibly can with my son when I'm home on weekends and evenings. I try to make it home for bedtime as much as I can throughout the week."

    Which doesn't leave too much time for sleep.

    "Actually, it's usually about five to six hours a night is what I'm doing, which is all we need. As President Trump says, when you love your job and you love your life, you don't need to sleep much." ...

    I wouldn't say Greenland's PM exploded at Trump, he issued a calm but strongly worded statement

     Greenland's new prime minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen explodes at Donald Trump 'We don't belong to you' 

    "We must listen when others talk about us. But we must not be shaken. President Trump says the United States is 'getting Greenland.'

    "Let me make this clear: The U.S. is not getting that. We don't belong to anyone else. We decide our own future. We must not act out of fear. We must respond with peace, dignity and unity.

    "And it is through these values that we must clearly, clearly and calmly show the American president that Greenland is ours. It was like that yesterday. That's how it is today. And that's how it will be in the future."

    Marine Le Pen's jail sentence will be an electronic tag lol, which lends credence to the charge that this is merely political and unserious

      Reported here:

    ... Le Pen was also given a four-year prison sentence — two years suspended and two wearing an electronic tag — and fined 100,000 euros, although these will not be implemented while any appeals processes are under way. The ban from public office is immediate, however. ...

    Le Pen and 24 other members of her political party, Rassemblement National, were accused of diverting over 3 million euros ($3.3 million) of European Parliament funds to pay staff based in France instead.

    Le Pen and her co-accused had denied the charges, while the party describes the trial as a politically-motivated witch hunt. ...

    Marine Le Pen sentenced to jail in France, barred from running for office in 2027

     Marine Le Pen Sentenced to Prison, Banned From Next Elections Over Embezzlement

    ... Judges handed down a sentence Monday that bars Le Pen from seeking public office for the next five years, upending France’s political order and thrusting her far-right party into limbo. Le Pen also received a four-year prison sentence, half of which was suspended. The ruling takes Le Pen out of contention for the 2027 race, when President Emmanuel Macron finishes his second and final term and she was expected to be the front-runner. ...

    Sunday, March 30, 2025

    Ukrainian-American Republican Victoria Spartz (IN-5), born in the former Soviet Union in 1978, thinks you are not entitled to due process if you violated the law

     She didn't become a U.S. citizen until she was 28, but somehow she gets to decide important matters about spending my money and taxing my wallet without knowing that everyone within the United States is entitled to due process of law, whether here lawfully or not, under the Fifth and Fourteenth Amendments.

    You cannot just scoop people up and disappear them without a hearing before a judge in a court of law. 

    That points up the gravity of the crimes Biden committed by letting in so many people so lawlessly. The burden of removing all these people under our laws is heavy. The blame is all his.

    But the law is the law.

    Start violating due process for some people, and eventually you'll violate it for others, maybe even for ignorant immigrants such as Victoria Spartz who don't know what the hell they are talking about.

     


     

    As presidential mandates go, Trump's is very small, smaller than Bush 43's second term and smaller than Carter's

     The top mandates go to Nixon II at 1.61, Johnson at 1.58, Reagan II at 1.44, IKE II at 1.36, and IKE I at 1.24.

    The top combined term mandates go to Reagan at 1.34, Nixon at 1.31, IKE at 1.30, Clinton at 1.17, and Obama at 1.12.

    Bush 43 I and Trump I have the dubious distinction of sub-one mandates, meaning they failed to win the popular vote. JFK and Nixon I barely squeaked above 1.000.

     

    click to enlarge

     

    Trump encourages unpopular marksmanship training idea

     

    Trump won’t rule out seeking a third term in the White House, tells NBC News ‘there are methods’ for doing so

     





    Some of what Dark Brandon said in 2022 is what some Democrats still want their leader to say today in 2025

     
    ... Donald Trump and the MAGA Republicans represent an extremism that threatens the very foundations of our Republic. ... there’s no question that the Republican Party today is dominated, driven and intimidated by Donald Trump and the MAGA Republicans. And that is a threat to this country. ... MAGA Republicans do not respect the Constitution. They do not believe in the rule of law. ... They promote authoritarian leaders. ... They thrive on chaos. ... American democracy only works only if we choose to respect the rule of law and the institutions that were set up in this chamber behind me. ...
     
    -- Joe Biden, 1 September 2022, Independence Hall, Philadelphia, PA
     
     
    The voters' response to this in 2022 was to flip the Democrats' House 222 majority to a 222 Republican one.
     
    In 2024, the Republican lead narrowed to 220-215. Special elections in Florida this week will either ratify that lead or narrow it some more.
     

     

     

    All I can think of when I read about Democrats wanting a more angry, a more centrist candidate, a more combative leader who meets the moment, is that they had all that in Joe Biden and they dumped him


    The outright treason against their own president is the Democrats' real problem with their own voters, who lost faith in them and voted for Trump instead.
     
     

    Democrats are furious. And they want their leaders to get mad, too.

    “I wish you’d be angry,” a constituent told representative Gil Cisneros, a Democrat of California, at a recent town hall. At an event in Minnesota featuring a panel of Democratic attorneys general, an activist voiced a similar sentiment: “Get angry, man,” punctuating the message with a profanity.

    The anger roiling the party, slow to build, is now a forceful current coursing through the electorate and pulling in Americans terrified that the country is descending into authoritarianism. Democrats – with no leader to guide them and little power to wield in Washington – are scrambling to harness the sudden fury. ...

     

    Of course, we all know that that Joe Biden, especially the centrist Joe Biden, didn't really have control of his own White House, covering up which until it couldn't be covered up anymore just shows that the incumbent wasn't really trustworthy either.