Representative Kelly Armstrong of North Dakota
Representative Don Bacon of Nebraska [re-elected 2022 with 51.3% of the vote]
Representative Ken Calvert of California [re-elected 2022 with 52.3% of the vote]
Representative Kat Cammack of Florida
Representative Mike Carey of Ohio
Representative Liz Cheney of Wyoming [voted to impeach Trump, defeated in 2022 primary]
Representative John Curtis of Utah
Representative Rodney Davis of Illinois [defeated in 2022 primary by fellow Republican in redistricting-forced battle]
Representative Tom Emmer of Minnesota [House GOP Majority Whip]
Representative Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania
*Representative Mike Gallagher of Wisconsin [flipped from Nay in summer to Yea now]
Representative Andrew Garbarino of New York
Representative Mike Garcia of California
Representative Carlos Gimenez of Florida
Representative Tony Gonzalez of Texas
Representative Anthony Gonzalez of Ohio [voted to impeach Trump, retiring]
*Representative Jaime Herrera Beutler of Washington [voted to impeach Trump, defeated in 2022 primary, flipped from Nay in summer to Yea now]
Representative Ashley Hinson of Iowa
Representative Darrell Issa of California
Representative Ch[r]is Jacobs of New York [retiring after flipping position on guns after Buffalo mass shooting and angering supporters]
Representative David Joyce of Ohio [leader of House Republican moderate caucus]
Representative John Katko of New York [voted to impeach Trump, retiring]
Representative Nancy Mace of South Carolina
Representative Nicole Malliotakis of New York
Representative Peter Meijer of Michigan [voted to impeach Trump, defeated in 2022 primary]
Representative Mariannette Miller-Meeks of Iowa
Representative Blake Moore of Utah
Representative Dan Newhouse of Washington [voted to impeach Trump]
Representative Jay Obernolte of California
Representative Tom Rice of South Carolina [voted to impeach Trump, defeated in 2022 primary]
Representative Mike Simpson of Idaho
Representative Elise Stefanik of New York
Representative Bryan Steil of Wisconsin
Representative Chris Stewart of Utah
Representative Mike Turner of Ohio
Representative Fred Upton of Michigan [voted to impeach Trump, retiring]
Representative David Valadao of California [voted to impeach Trump, re-elected with 51.5% of the vote]
Representative Ann Wagner of Missouri [Republican phony of the year LOL: “This district is home to me, and there is no better feeling than representing our conservative, Midwest values in Congress.”]
Representative Tim Waltz of Florida [LOL: NYT has Democrat Tim Walz, Minnesota Governor, on the brain; the actual name is Republican US Rep. Michael Waltz, who ran unopposed in FL-6 and was re-elected in 2022; the newspaper of record smdh]
Saturday, December 10, 2022
The 39 House Republicans Who Voted for the Same-Sex Marriage Bill, annotated
Friday, December 9, 2022
Thursday, December 8, 2022
If you haven't saved enough for an emergency, it's on you, and borrowing money for an emergency when you have it is another stupid thing which is on you
Two stupids don't make a smart.
“It’s a terrible idea to take money out of your 401(k),” said Ted Jenkin, a certified financial planner and co-founder of oXYGen Financial, based in Atlanta. ...
Households should weigh all their options for cash before resorting to tapping a 401(k) plan, said Jenkin, a member of CNBC’s Advisor Council.
For example, households without an emergency fund might be able to free up money for a relatively small short-term cash need by canceling or reducing membership plans, or by selling little-used or unneeded items on Facebook Marketplace or a garage sale, he said. A short-term loan or home equity line of credit would generally also be better than tapping a 401(k).
More.
There's nothing like paying a steep price for a mistake to keep you from making it again. Only morons pay twice.
What else would you expect someone to say who makes his living selling retirement products?
39 House Republicans join 12 Senate Republicans to pass Democrat bill overthrowing the Defense of Marriage Act
The Respect for Marriage Act passed the Democratic-led House in a 258-169-1 vote, as 39 Republicans joined all Democrats in supporting it. It also won bipartisan support in the Democratic-controlled Senate in late November: 12 GOP senators crossed party lines to vote for the legislation. ...
The Respect for Marriage Act formally repeals the 1996 Defense of Marriage Act, which was signed into law by then-President Bill Clinton. That bill denied same-sex couples federal benefits and permitted states to refuse to recognize same-sex marriages performed in other states.
The Supreme Court would later go on to invalidate the key provisions of DOMA in two watershed rulings, United States v. Windsor and Obergefell v. Hodges in 2013 and 2015, respectively.
Roberts, Scalia, Thomas and Alito dissented in Windsor against Kennedy in 2013, same in Hodges in 2015.
There's always a minority of Republicans who exist only to advance the Democrats' godless agenda.
It's never the other way around, unless it has to do with money.
Wednesday, December 7, 2022
Tuesday, December 6, 2022
Sunday, December 4, 2022
KGRR climate update through Nov 2022
2022 mean average temperature eleven months through Nov = 50.4
Mean average temperature through Nov since 1892 = 50.0
28 inches of snow, second highest November on record, all melted now.
Friday, December 2, 2022
Thursday, December 1, 2022
The traditional 60/40 portfolio is now down only 13.76% in 2022 through November, not adjusted for inflation north of 6%
Total stock market index, VTSAX: -14.51% through November
Total bond market index, VBTLX: -12.64% through November
Wednesday, November 30, 2022
Jay Powell is a bitter disappointment, pledging today to moderate rate hikes when he's hardly begun to fight inflation after waiting a year to start
Jay Powell is such a clown:
Making sure his pals profit under the umbrella of inflationary pressures is worse than insider trading, because we all pay.
We're the marks!
I haven't been this disappointed in a federal official since Donald Trump betrayed his immigration promises in 2017-2018.
And how did stocks respond?
Tuesday, November 29, 2022
Monday, November 28, 2022
Life insurance payouts soared past $100 billion in 2021 as pandemic took over 800,000 total US lives by year end
More.
Sunday, November 27, 2022
An unappreciated factor in the relatively poor Republican performance in Election 2022 is the death of many of their voters due to the pandemic
Older voters skew Republican, and COVID-19 victims skew overwhelmingly older.
A 3- to 4-point Republican advantage among a million deaths of older Americans is up to 40,000 voters nationwide who didn't vote in the election, which doesn't seem like much until you consider that 15 US House races were won by margins of 50% and a fraction.
Republicans won 6 of those races, with one additional race undecided with the Republican leading by just 600 votes.
But Democrats won 8 of those races, and each one by approximately 1,300 to 7,000 votes versus all competitors. In four of those races, with Republican opponents only, the Democrats won by just 1,300 to 3,000 votes.
Saturday, November 26, 2022
Friday, November 25, 2022
WaPo: We can no longer say this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated
For the first time, a majority of Americans dying from the coronavirus received at least the primary series of the vaccine.
Fifty-eight percent of coronavirus deaths in August were people who were vaccinated or boosted, according to an analysis conducted for The Health 202 by Cynthia Cox, vice president at the Kaiser Family Foundation.
It’s a continuation of a troubling trend that has emerged over the past year. As vaccination rates have increased and new variants appeared, the share of deaths of people who were vaccinated has been steadily rising.
In September 2021, vaccinated people made up just 23 percent of coronavirus fatalities. In January and February this year, it was up to 42 percent, per our colleagues Fenit Nirappil and Dan Keating.
“We can no longer say this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated,” Cox told The Health 202.
Being unvaccinated is still a major risk factor for dying from covid-19. But efficacy wanes over time, and an analysis out last week from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention highlights the need to get regular booster shots to keep one’s risk of death from the coronavirus low, especially for the elderly. ...
Around 35 million people have received the updated boosters that became available to people 12 and over in September and to children as young as 5 last month. That’s a little over 10 percent of the U.S. population, amid concern that cooler weather will bring a surge of covid cases as people move indoors and respiratory infections spread.
More.
The progress of the pandemic has demonstrated the following facts.
There has been an annual increase in the percentage of the population infected every year, from 6% in 2020 to 10.5% in 2021 to 13.1% in 2022 to date, per Our World in Data and the US Census Population Clock.
Clearly the introduction of vaccines from early 2021 has not stopped the spread, and spread is probably a lot worse than the 2022 data suggest because of a complete breakdown in the testing regime.
On the other hand, while the percentage of the population which died from the pandemic surged by 35% in 2021 from 0.106% in 2020 to 0.143% in 2021, 2022 to date has marked a huge reversal with just 0.076% dead. That's down 47% from 2021 and 28% from 2020.
Why is that?
Vaccine advocates will credit the vaccines, yet vaccine uptake in the United States is at record lows throughout 2022. Since we know that vaccine protection wears out in mere months and requires repeated boosters, hence the continued drumbeat to get vaccinated, the dramatic decline in deaths cannot be ascribed to the low-uptake environment, especially with the transition from a pandemic of the unvaccinated to a pandemic of the vaccinated admitted publicly by the likes of Kaiser and WaPo.
There could be any number of other reasons for the decline in deaths which when combined account for the improved death numbers. These include fewer vulnerable people, more widespread natural immunity, and improved clinical practice and treatment, especially with drugs such as Paxlovid.
But perhaps the most important consideration continues to be virus mutation, which explains both the higher percentage of infections and the lower percentage of deaths.
The virus has continued to mutate to spread, at the expense of relative lethality.
That's what 254k record low deaths in 2022 with 43.6m record high cases tells you.
Wednesday, November 23, 2022
The Trump witch hunt continues: Garland's new special counsel is linked to Lois Lerner while the wife is linked to anti-semitic Democrat Rep. Rashida Tlaib
Mr. Smith set up a meeting in October 2010 with IRS official Lois Lerner “to discuss how the IRS could assist in the criminal enforcement of campaign-finance laws against politically active nonprofits.” ... Federal Election Commission records show that Ms. Chevigny contributed $1,000 each to Mr. Biden’s 2020 campaign, Biden for President and the Biden Victory Fund super PAC, in September 2020. She also donated $150 to a campaign committee supporting Democrat Rashida Tlaib in 2008, when Ms. Tlaib was running for the Michigan House of Representatives.
More.
Tuesday, November 22, 2022
Sunday, November 20, 2022
The investment cheerleaders in the US are arrayed against the Fed's rising interest rate regime and lie when they say interest rates are coming down
The yield curve recovered 98 basis points in the last week to close at 5488 on Nov 18.
Despite all the alarming volatility in US Treasuries, the curve is little changed from Oct 28 at 5487 or Oct 19 at 5486, one month ago.
The upward trend remains intact. Raising the Fed Funds rate to 3.83% has produced an overall yield curve at 4.22%.
There's plenty more to be done.
The lying rhetoric is designed to persuade the Fed to halt ("You've done enough!"), enlisting as many dupes along the way as it can to join the chorus, since easy money is the industry's goose that laid the golden egg.
But easy money is why this country is $31 trillion in debt, and why inflation is raging at an average of 8.3% in the first half of 2022.
Since March foreigners have held $300 billion less of the stuff on net through September, which is not a good sign.
But consider that there's about $2.9 trillion in US Treasury notes issued in 2020 alone paying just 0.6% on average and maybe you can understand why.
Meanwhile investors holding bonds are down 30.95% year to date (TLT) at the same time the S&P 500 is down 17.33%. A total bond index like VTSAX is down less, 16.92% year to date, which is cold comfort.
But that's not the Fed's biggest problem.
The Fed's biggest problem remains the so-called "dual mandate", to maintain stable prices AND full employment at the same time.
Our disgusting Congress foisted the latter on the Fed in 1978, which was nothing but a damned if you do, damned if you don't abdication of its own political responsibility dumped onto the appointee of the executive.
But the disgusting Congress represents the disgusting people, who want tax cuts AND infrastructure spending at the same time.
The dual mandate didn't stop Paul Volcker from doing what needed to be done to subdue inflation from 1979, but those were different times when the political tables were the reverse. Volcker was a Democrat appointee saddling a new Republican president with an unemployment rate of 9.7% by jacking up the cost of money.
Jay Powell is a Republican appointee who will have to do the same to a Democrat president to end the current madness.
The pressure on him to relent comes from every quarter.
We'll see if the new Republican House has the cojones to back him, which it should if it gives a fig about the future of the country.
But Jay Powell will have to prove that he has the cojones first, because the Congress is full of girly men.
He has hardly begun to fight.
Buffalo, New York gets all the headlines, but Grand Rapids, Michigan has already had its second snowiest November ever
We've been busy around here with three days in a row of 7+ inches of snow each, and in excess of two feet in five days.
Total November snow is already at 27.3 inches, which beats November 1951 at 26.9.
The snowiest November of all time at KGRR was November 2014 with 31 inches.
It was 75 degrees F here in Grand Rapids on November 10.
We dropped to 18 F last night.
Record November snow in Buffalo was 45.6 inches in November 2000. The second snowiest November was 31.3 inches in November 1976.
BUF is officially at 36.9 inches already through the 19th, also making November 2022 its second snowiest November ever, with ten more days left in the month.
Its three-day history is 9.4, 5.7, and 21.5 inches yesterday.
It was 79 F in Buffalo on the 5th, and dropped to 23 F in Buffalo last night.
Thursday, November 17, 2022
Liberal Republicans in the Senate and the House again betray the Republican base, work with Democrats to advance same-sex-marriage rights but delayed action to avoid election consequences
Same-sex marriage protections clear critical Senate hurdle
Twelve Republicans voted with all Democrats to move forward on the bill, after negotiators reached a bipartisan deal to include protections for religious liberty.
In a 62-37 vote, 12 Republicans voted with all Democrats to move forward on the bill, after negotiators reached a bipartisan deal to include protections for religious liberty. The vote on final passage could occur as soon as this week. ...
Wednesday’s vote showed Majority Leader Chuck Schumer might get what he hoped for when he delayed the bill to protect same-sex marriage rights from coming to the floor in September, agreeing to Republican requests that the chamber take it up after the election. ... negotiators bet that waiting would help solidify support and allow senators to vote without considering the midterms. ...
While the House passed its same-sex marriage bill in July with support from nearly 50 House Republicans, the process in the Senate has taken more time amid GOP concerns about religious liberty. If the Senate does pass its version, the legislation will need another vote of approval from the House to head to President Joe Biden’s desk. ...
It also would repeal the Defense of Marriage Act signed in 1996, which defined marriage as between one man and one woman under federal laws.
Wednesday, November 16, 2022
Republicans win the majority in the US House
The GOP has now won 218 seats after the Associated Press projected that Republican Mike Garcia will win reelection in California's 27th Congressional District.
Democrats, meanwhile, have secured 209 seats as vote counting continues more than a week after Election Day. Eight seats are still in play.