Hospitalized Mar 20: 33164
Apr 17: 39090
+18%
Case positivity rate Mar 20: 4.5%
Apr 13: 7.6%
+69%
Daily new deaths per million Mar 20: 3.13
Apr 17: 2.17
-31%
Daily new deaths Mar 20: 1038
Apr 17: 719
-31%
But . . .
The bi-weekly change in confirmed deaths was dropping much faster on Mar 23, 37.15%, than it is on Apr 17, 7.4%. Indeed, the Mar 23 low was a retest of the 2020 low from last June 2 at 33.6%, after the initial outbreak of the pandemic subsided. It is itself the new low in the series.
There's been a dramatic slow down in the drop of bi-weekly change. The measure has itself been consistently rising since the advent of spring.
That doesn't make any sense in an environment in which increased vaccination, which is supposed to reduce severity of illness and therefore hospitalization and death, is occurring.
Share fully vaccinated Mar 20: 12.9%
Apr 17: 24.7%
+91%
Hospitalizations are clearly up, and deaths are falling but at a much slower rate than they were falling when there was much less vaccination, and colder weather, in the country.
Warmer weather is supposed to mean improving conditions. People get outside and get fresh air and Vitamin D, reducing spread of the infection. That's the theory anyway.
But the data say otherwise.
Daily new confirmed cases per million hit an interim low of 162.17 on Mar 14, and retested that on Mar 23 at 162.12. As of Apr 16 the figure is 211.77, up 31%. Those levels are nothing to write home about. ~100 per million, as in September 2020, would be.
This virus has a mind of its own.
Homo proponit, sed SARS-CoV-2 disponit.
