Friday, March 6, 2020

There is reason to think this epidemic might result in just 100,000 deaths or so in the US at the very worst

And probably a lot fewer.

The US is too robust compared with places like China and Iran to descend into their chaos, but South Korea's can-do spirit in the face of this epidemic reminds me of nothing so much as Yankee ingenuity. If the bureaucracy in the US can be tamed, we may well have an experience similar to South Korea's.

Just four candidates left in the race for the 2020 Democrat nomination heh heh


Saturday, February 29, 2020

If you want to know how COVID-19 is going to go, watch South Korea, they are doing just about everything right



Update 5/12/25:

COVID-19 deaths per million of population in South Korea stand at 694 vs. 3,727 in the United States.

Monday, February 24, 2020

Rush Limbaugh is a fool and an imbecile, says coronavirus epidemic is just the common cold, kills fewer than the flu


The coronavirus is the common cold, folks. ... The survival rate of this is 98%! You have to read very deeply to find that number, that 2% of the people get the coronavirus die. That’s less than the flu, folks. 

The maximum survival rate from the Spanish flu pandemic 100 years ago was 96.6% when at least 17 million died globally. The death rate was 3.4%. Coronavirus death rate on the Chinese mainland is nearly that right now.

Final results for Nevada Democrat Caucus 2020: Bernie crushes the field


Update to coronavirus death rate outside mainland China per WHO: 1.1%

CNBC's update:

10:56 am: WHO says new cases in Iran and Italy are ‘deeply concerning’

While cases in China have slowed, the “sudden increase in new cases” outside of China is “deeply concerning,” Tedros said. Outside of China, there are 2,074 cases across 28 countries, including 23 deaths, he said. “What we see is epidemics in different parts of the world, affecting countries in different ways and requiring a tailored response,” he said. —Lovelace

Coronavirus death rate climbs to 3.3%, just shy of minimum estimated Spanish flu pandemic death rate 100 years ago

A minimum of 17 million died worldwide in the Spanish flu pandemic 100 years ago when 500 million globally were infected, yielding a minimum death rate of 3.4%.

The estimates of deaths go up from there, some claiming as many as 50 million or even 100 million died.

CNBC reports this morning that total infections from Wuhan, China coronavirus number 79,400 and deaths 2,621.

The numbers are puny by comparison, but the death rate is not: 3.3%.

Absent draconian restrictions on movement and assembly this virus could kill millions similar to the Spanish flu pandemic.

The new outbreaks outside the Chinese mainland will foretell the true future for the world as many doubt the veracity of the Chinese numbers, both death counts and case counts.