Saturday, March 13, 2021

Coronavirus cases have been in headlong retreat in the UK and USA since peaking in early January, weeks before vaccination levels became comparable to present day European levels where cases continue to rise

Besides that, new cases also fell dramatically from early January in both Europe and South America before ticking up again after February 15th. Both regions were then and still remain far behind vaccination levels in the UK and USA. There must be some other explanation apart from vaccines why cases fell so precipitously.

Damned if I know what it is, save for "seasonality". But it sure as hell ain't vaccines. The US hit the lackluster present day European vaccination levels in the first week of February, and the UK did the same a week earlier, yet daily new confirmed cases were already in free-fall in both. 

As vaccinations had nothing to do with the drop in cases in the US, UK, Europe and South America in January, it is likewise doubtful their relative paucity in Europe and South America now has anything to do with the uptick in cases since Feb 15.






Psychiatry is such a joke when it's the patient who determines the diagnosis of major depression

Imagine your dentist doing that for a cavity.

Dentist: "Do you feel a hole in your tooth with your tongue?"

Patient: "Yes".

Dentist: "How large is it?"

Patient: "Feels really big".

Dentist: "Well, I'm afraid that one's got to come out".

More than HALF of adults who have been infected with COVID-19 have symptoms of depression, new study finds :

For the study, published in JAMA Network Open, the team looked data from eight waves of surveys conducted between June 2020 and January 2021.

Respondents were narrowed down to 3,904 individuals who said they had been infected with COVID-19 in the past but had since recovered.

They were asked to rank how severe their illness was and if they had any persistent symptoms since testing negative.

All of the participants filled out the Patient Health Questionnaire–9 (PHQ-9), which is a diagnostic instrument used to diagnose mood disorders such as depression.

Patients are asked about their mood or behavior over the last two weeks including whether they've had 'little interest or pleasure in doing things' or have been 'feeling down, depressed, or hopeless.'

Those filling out the survey can choose one of the following 'not at all,' 'several days,' 'more than half the days,' or 'nearly every day,' which are scored from zero to three.

On a scale of zero to 27, people who scored 10 or greater are considered to be moderately or severely depressed.

Of the participants, 2,046, or 52.4 percent, scored high enough to be considered to have symptoms of major depression. 

Friday, March 12, 2021

Trend for annual precipitation in Grand Rapids, Michigan, 1903-2020 is 5+ inches above the mean

 


Trend for first day <= 32 degrees F in Grand Rapids, Michigan, 1896-2020 is three days earlier than the mean date October 13

 


Trend for highest maximum temperature for Grand Rapids, Michigan, 1896-2020 is not quite 1.5 degrees F below the mean

 


Trend for lowest minimum temperature for Grand Rapids, Michigan, 1896-2021 is 2 degrees F below the mean

 


Trend for cooling degree days in Grand Rapids, Michigan, is less than 1% below the mean 1904-2020

 


Trend for heating degree days in Grand Rapids, Michigan, is running about 1.9% below the mean 1904-2020



Trend for average temperature in Grand Rapids, Michigan, is 0.3 degrees F above the mean 1898-2020

 


Climate Update for KGRR: February 2021

Climate Update for KGRR: February 2021








Max T 48, Mean 50
Min T -12, Mean -2
Av T 20.8, Mean 24.5
Precip 1.84, Mean 1.79
Snow 30.6, Mean 13.3
Heating Degree Days 1231, Mean 1136

HDD to date 4644, Mean to date 4890, season to date 5% below mean

Mean annual HDD 6702, Max was 7712 in 1904 (15.1% above mean, coldest ever), Min was 5253 in 2012 (21.6% below mean, warmest ever)

Feb 2021 was the 30th coldest Feb on record in Grand Rapids, MI, bringing the year to date down to 5% warmer than normal from 9% last month. 

Thursday, March 11, 2021

Johns Hopkins: US COVID deaths reach 530k

 


Death toll after COVID vaccines climbs to 1,637, CDC denies link


They never got the chance to offer the lifesaving gift. Doctors were doing everything they could to get Kurill stable, but nothing seemed to work. Hawley said his daughter’s liver, kidney and heart shut down. Hawley, who was with his daughter when she died, said it didn’t make any sense. She died, he said, 30 hours after they arrived in the emergency room. ...

“Over 92 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines were administered in the United States from December 14, 2020, through March 8, 2021. During this time, VAERS received 1,637 reports of death (0.0018%) among people who received a COVID-19 vaccine. CDC and FDA physicians review each case report of death as soon as notified and CDC requests medical records to further assess reports. A review of available clinical information including death certificates, autopsy, and medical records revealed no evidence that vaccination contributed to patient deaths. CDC and FDA will continue to investigate reports of adverse events, including deaths, reported to VAERS., the CDC reported on its website.

Wednesday, March 10, 2021

So far very few coronavirus cases from variants have been identified in the US, fewer than 3,500


 

Current hospitalizations for COVID-19 have dropped by about 11,000 between March 1-9, 2021 in the US

 

California (blue), Texas (pink), Florida (green), New York (gray)

Examples of US States back-filling death data from COVID-19 in recent days

Data from the following dates looks anomalous in the graphs, way out of proportion to daily experience. This has been a common phenomenon throughout the pandemic. It just sticks out more now. These aren't deaths all actually occurring on the dates indicated. I suspect that with the general decline in cases and deaths, states are both catching up on death investigations as well as finding this to be an opportune time to update the data. But in some states, like Missouri, the practice seems to be quite habitual.

Minnesota: 140 (Mar 9)
Kansas:        73 (Mar 3)
Oklahoma: 167 (Mar 9)
Missouri:    105 (Mar 9)
                   163 (Mar 3)
Virginia:     383 (Mar 3, the crescendo of 12 straight such days)
Ohio:          160 (Mar 9)
                   752 (Mar 5)

Daily new deaths nationwide are averaging 1,597 per day in the first 9 days of March. Sustained over the course of the month that would lead to fewer than 50,000 deaths and make March at the worst the 5th worst month for new deaths.

Daily new cases are averaging 62,914 per day. That would lead to 1.95 million cases if sustained over the whole month and make it at the worst the 5th worst for new cases.

About 18.4% of the population 18 and over has received at least one dose of a vaccine through March 9th. That is roughly 46 million people. That should add big momentum to the case declines, and eventually to the deaths.