Sunday, March 26, 2023
Saturday, March 25, 2023
The State of New York is run by green energy extremists who hate your use of natural gas, same as in California and Washington
First they came for your toilets, dishwashers, and clothes washers, and you said nothing.
Then they came for your coal, and you said nothing.
Then they came for your lightbulbs, and you said nothing.
Friday, March 24, 2023
King of France cancels King of England's visit lol
The French are rioting because Macron, who lost his parliamentary majority last summer, decided to ram through his changes to the retirement system without a vote of the National Assembly.
In other words, he thinks he's king.
Thursday, March 23, 2023
Ron DeSantis missteps, tries to weasel out of his characterization of the Russian invasion of Ukraine as a "territorial dispute"
One message for Tucker Carlson viewers, another for "neocons".
But trying to thread that needle is a fool's errand.
Ron DeSantis obviously isn't ready for this yet. No one thinks any part of Ukraine is Russian territory, especially since Russia agreed to the new borders in the 1994 Budapest Memorandum.
DeSantis could elevate himself by pointing out that Ukraine also pledged itself to neutrality in that agreement, and that Ukraine should return to that position instead of seeking EU and NATO membership.
Unfortunately, it appears that DeSantis, and the rest of the field, needs to let Trump become the candidate and lose again in order to cleanse the GOP of Trump once and for all.
DeSantis would be better positioned for 2028 anyway, when the Russia-Ukraine conflict enters its sixth year, at which time he can better Monday morning quarterback the whole thing. He will turn 50 in 2028. He has time. He needs time.
'Well, I think it's been mischaracterized. Obviously, Russia invaded — that was wrong. They invaded Crimea and took that in 2014 — That was wrong,' DeSantis told Piers Morgan in an interview more than a week after his initial comments. ...
'What I'm referring to is where the fighting is going on now which is that eastern border region Donbas, and then Crimea, and you have a situation where Russia has had that. I don't think legitimately but they had,' he said.
More.
Wednesday, March 22, 2023
Soft-on-sex-crime liberal Democrat in Wisconsin could make it to its Supreme Court on April 4
The Kelly commercial isn’t the first to attack Protasiewicz’s sentencing record. Wisconsin Manufacturers & Commerce, the state’s largest business association, launched an ad campaign highlighting multiple convicted rapists and pedophiles who received light sentences from Protasiewicz.
More.
Piers Morgan interviews Ron DeSantis
I asked him if he was familiar with the story of Frankenstein, and he said he’d seen the movie.
“And you’re alluding to what?” he smirked, knowing full well what I was alluding to.
“Dr. Frankenstein creates a monster, then loses control of the monster, and then the monster ends up killing him,” I reminded him. “You know the parallel I’m making …”
He chuckled. “Let’s put the country first rather than worry about any personalities or any type of individual … at the end of the day, I’m a vessel for the aspirations of the people I represent. It’s not about me — as Ronald Reagan said, ‘There’s no limit to what you can accomplish if you don’t care who gets the credit.’ ”
“That’s true,” I replied, “but you’re up against somebody who definitely cares who gets the credit, and who’s desperate to want to win back the White House.”
More.
Byron York is crystal clear, as usual
Five things to remember about a 'zombie' Trump indictment
3) The "zombie" timing.
Bragg's indictment, if it comes, is often referred to as a "zombie" case
because federal officials earlier declined to prosecute Trump on these
grounds, and then Bragg himself considered and rejected a prosecution on
the same grounds. Now, with time running out on the statute of
limitations and to charge Trump before the 2024 presidential campaign is
fully underway, Bragg has flip-flopped. The "zombie" case has been
revived and is apparently going full speed ahead.
Tuesday, March 21, 2023
Monday, March 20, 2023
Sunday, March 19, 2023
Never murder a man who is committing suicide -- Woodrow Wilson 1916
Saturday, March 18, 2023
US Treasury yields have tanked 14% since March 8 amid bank failure fears
The yield curve aggregate averaged 4.674 on March 8. Now it averages 4.017.
Bills yields fell from an average 5.09 to 4.52 in nine days, 11%, after rising 6.5% in the month 2/8 to 3/8.
Notes yields fell from 4.45 to 3.55, a whopping 20%, after rising over 12% in the month after 2/8.
Bonds yields fell from 4.00 to 3.68, 8%, after rising nearly 6% in the month after 2/8.
It's been extremely difficult to trade the volatility. $TLT is up 5.31% ytd., but $AGG is up just 1.99% ytd. It is a fool's errand to invest in bonds when they behave like stocks.
Meanwhile $SPX is up 2.42% ytd.
This is my opinion, not advice.
Friday, March 17, 2023
Today's toxic assets, if you're a bank, are AAA-rated 30-year fixed rate mortgages from 2020-2021, and 10-year and 20-year US Treasuries of the same vintage
A bank would normally keep AAA assets happily, and hold them to maturity in many instances.
Having to sell them in a rising interest rate environment is where all hell can break loose.
No one wants to buy a UST paying 0.89% when T-bills pay 4.5%, so you have to sell it at a loss to raise cash.
A bank without cash is a failed bank.
Be kind to your banker. He's not having a good week. Even if he didn't pay you interest like he should have since 2008.
Thursday, March 16, 2023
Discount window bailout operations for banks are now officially worse in magnitude than in 2008, though not in scope
We don't have 500 bank failures.
What we do have is Dodd-Frank 2010 limits on deposit insurance not keeping up with 2023 realities.
Unless Congress steps in and helps high depositors, there will be an exodus of high depositor accounts all across the country to money center banks which have too big to fail status and an FDIC put as systemically important enough to backstop.
This would mean many local banks will come under stress and at minimum weaken local economies even if they don't fail.
We do not need the big banks to become any more powerful than they already are.
And we certainly must not weaken local economies.
The reasons in the plumbing don't matter at this point. It's too late for that.
The $250k limit has to change. The authorities at the Fed, Treasury, and FDIC are constrained by that in what it is permissible for them to do.
Call your Senator.
Call your Representative.