Showing posts with label green energy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label green energy. Show all posts

Saturday, October 26, 2024

Cheap gasoline prices were key to the Trump-era "boom" for the bottom half of income earners destroyed by the Great Recession

Reported here in "Inflation-shocked low- and middle-income Americans may not spend normally for years":

“For a very large share of Americans, the bottom 60% are spending more on essentials than before the pandemic,” said Michael Pearce, Oxford Economics deputy chief U.S. economist. “The burden is hardest among the lowest income but also touches middle income. Spending patterns of low-income Americans will take years to recover.” ...

The last time low-income Americans’ discretionary spending fell this much, which was during the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008, it took five to 10 years for spending patterns to return to previous levels, he said.

“And the reason was gas prices fell,” Pearce said. Global oil prices fell by about 70% between 2014-16, which pushed pump prices sharply lower and helped low-income Americans catch up.

“It’s harder to see some revolutionary cost saving (like that) on the horizon,” he said. 

          

Harder to see only if we continue with the green energy nonsense.

The opportunities are YUGE for Trump/Vance because ALL energy costs much more now.

It's not just gasoline. Get the government boot off the neck of fossil fuel producers and gasoline will come down, natural gas will come down, and electricity will come down. 

Base energy from coal should be transitioned to nuclear, which works in cold weather and hot weather without fail just like coal, unlike natural gas, wind, and solar, which are fine where appropriate but not as base energy, the energy you must have when you need it when the sun doesn't shine, the wind doesn't blow, and the gas won't flow.

J. D. Vance knows:

 



 

Friday, September 27, 2024

Democrats are whistling past the graveyard of the industrial downturn, but this article misses their coerced misallocation of investment to a green energy economy the voters don't want

 But perhaps most ominous are signs that domestic manufacturing is on the cusp of a full-blown sectoral recession. Output has declined for five months, no doubt due to uncertainty over interest rates, as well as the debilitating shortage of skilled workers. The contraction, however, isn’t merely a reflection of Federal Reserve policy reinforcing supply-side choke points, which has undercut Team Biden’s efforts to reshore industry. In fact, production has been largely anemic since at least the slump of 2019; according to the Institute for Supply Management, a leading industry association, a 13-month stretch from 2022 to 2023 was the longest downturn since 2000-2002, when Permanent Normal Trade Relations with China went into effect. ... 

These patterns should be of grave concern to progressives—as a matter of politics and policy. A similar, overlooked downturn late in President Barack Obama’s second term likely contributed to Hillary Clinton’s defeat in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin in the 2016 election. That, along with her campaign’s astounding indifference to the industrial Midwest, practically cemented the view among many working-class whites that today’s Democrats have abandoned their New Deal roots. Although the Harris-Walz ticket appears to be sustaining momentum and has trained its focus on preserving the “Blue Wall,” unanticipated headwinds in battleground counties could spell the same fate as Clinton’s. ...

The reality is that dozens of counties reeling from job losses have effectively experienced what many wage-earners rightly feared: stagflation. In more rural regions, peak inflation was higher than the national average, a trend which spread from the South to the postindustrial Northeast. Its toll undoubtedly compounded the sense of helplessness among rural households, who tend to pay more for groceries and other staples. Mainstream liberals seem reluctant to acknowledge as much. ...

An economy pockmarked by mini-regional downturns, moreover, belies headlines heralding a manufacturing renaissance.

More

 


 





Wednesday, September 11, 2024

The artificially high cost of energy inputs because of the Biden-Harris green energy ideology continues to make everything more expensive in August 2024

Gasoline was 29% cheaper under Trump on average than it is today: $2.49/gallon vs. $3.52 now.

Using electricity for anything was 23% cheaper under Trump on average than it is today: $0.136/kilowatt-hour vs. $0.177 now.

Heating your home with natural gas was 26% cheaper under Trump on average than it is today: $1.04/therm vs. $1.40 now.

Everyone is needlessly poorer after 3.5 years of this huge, Democrat-imposed impediment to the economy's potential, a gigantic tax hidden in plain sight.

 













Friday, August 2, 2024

Kim Strassel: the GOP needs to be engaged in a whole-of-election message reminding Americans of the ugly Biden policies of past and present, and Kamala’s promise to carry them into the future

 The libertarian-inclined in the GOP want the message restricted more or less to the economy, inflation, immigration, and crime.

 

Strassel points out Biden is continuing or proposing the following to help cement support for Harris on the left:

Student loan giveaways
Nationwide rent controls
A plea deal for the 9/11 terrorists
$2.2 billion for farmers, ranchers, and owners of forest land who experienced discrimination
Million$ in new grants for women's health, state climate programs, tribal fisheries, youth skills programs
Signage everywhere thanking Biden's infrastructure law for road improvements
New rules protecting workers from heat
New prevailing wage rules for clean energy workers
New chemical and air toxin crackdowns
New regulations for wildlife refuges
New regulations on offshore drilling
Higher efficiency standards for commercial equipment and residential boilers
A crackdown on so-called junk fees for extras like family-seating on flights.
 
Polling has shown inflation and illegal immigration have been the top issues, which of course doesn't mean other things can't be issues.
 
Strassel doesn't seem to get that the green energy war on fossils fuels is the top problem for the economy, driving up the cost of everything, while the massive illegal immigration feeds competition for the housing no one can afford anyway, not to mention crime up and wages down for the bottom half of the country. 
 
And of course, the Trump tax reform disappears if Harris is elected, among other horribles. 

Saturday, July 13, 2024

The rarely uttered but all-important truth: Energy prices lie at the root of all price pressures

Energy-heavy transportation and warehousing operations saw prices fall in the early and final purchasing stages of their business, PPI data showed. That indicates that supply-side pressures are easing, Kurt Rankin, senior economist with PNC Financial Services, wrote Thursday.

“The downward-trending energy PPI pace, which lies at the root of all price pressures in the US economy, implies that the second half of 2024 will see diminishing cost pressures from producers’ own energy bills, as well as the cost of shipping goods to retailers,” Rankin wrote. 

The final two paragraphs, here.

Don't be fooled. High energy prices remain the main drag on the economy.

A presidential administration biased against fossil fuels, which still accounted for 81% of primary energy production in the US in 2022, is shooting itself in the foot when trying to fight inflation and explains the persistence of the problem which most elites predicted would only be transitory.


Gasoline prices remain Obama-like, not Trump-like in the first half of 2024

Natural gas prices remain highly elevated in the first half of 2024 and ticked up again

Electricity in the US has never cost more than under the recent, lunatic Biden administration

 

 

Monday, June 3, 2024

LA Times editorial board lol: You’re not alone if it seems like your electric bill is getting too damn high

From the story here, slightly edited for clarity:

State greenhouse gas reduction Fascist government policies are pushing forcing residents to adopt electric cars and appliances that will only increase their electricity consumption.


Pure fascism: Utility sector is profiteering off the federally subsidized green energy push

 Utility stocks are on fire — here are Wall Street analysts' top picks :

The S&P 500 Utilities ETF (XLU) is up more than 12% year to date in a reversal from last year when investors soured on the sector due to expensive projects and high interest rates. ...

Constellation Energy (CEG) is the largest owner of nuclear plants in the US. The Baltimore-based company has been a beneficiary of the government's push to transition to green energies and growing power demand from data centers. Constellation shares are up more than 85% year to date as the company forecasts base earnings to grow by at least 10% annually through the decade. ... The analyst highlights that Constellation produces power at roughly $25 per megawatt hour, while the government's Inflation Reduction Act allows for a selling price floor of $45 per megawatt hour, providing a minimum of $20 margin per megawatt hour. ... Constellation has been operating as a standalone energy provider since 2022 after a spin-off from utility giant Exelon (EXC). The company has been buying back shares and recently upped its dividend ahead of its earnings due on Thursday. ...

NextEra Energy (NEE): The $147-billion-market-cap company is one of the largest electric power generators in the country. While NextEra owns a regulated utility in Florida, investors are more interested in its non-regulated part of the business, NextEra Energy Resources, which involves developing renewable energy in the US. ... "The re-domestication of industry in the US supported by public policy will drive the need for more electricity," CEO John Ketchum told analysts in April. The stock is up about 20% year to date. ...

Among the regulated utilities, Southern Company (SO) is one of the best performers inside the Utility sector year to date, with shares up more than 10%.

It's great to be a Democrat.

Friday, March 29, 2024

Insurance companies got rich because of Obamacare rules, now electric utilities are poised to get rich because of Biden climate rules

 Utilities are shutting down "dirty" capacity without adequately replacing it. The law of supply and demand means only one thing: higher prices. OK, two: blackouts.

Meanwhile, tax credits under Biden's phony Inflation Reduction Act are masking the true costs of renewables.

From a Wall Street Journal op-ed "The Coming Electricity Crisis: Artificial-intelligence data centers and climate rules are pushing the power grid to what could become a breaking point" here :

Obama Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz last week predicted that utilities will ultimately have to rely more on gas, coal and nuclear plants to support surging demand. “We’re not going to build 100 gigawatts of new renewables in a few years,” he said. No kidding.

The problem is that utilities are rapidly retiring fossil-fuel and nuclear plants. “We are subtracting dispatchable [fossil fuel] resources at a pace that’s not sustainable, and we can’t build dispatchable resources to replace the dispatchable resources we’re shutting down,” Federal Energy Regulatory Commissioner Mark Christie warned this month.

About 20 gigawatts of fossil-fuel power are scheduled to retire over the next two years—enough to power 15 million homes—including a large natural-gas plant in Massachusetts that serves as a crucial source of electricity in cold snaps. PJM’s external market monitor last week warned that up to 30% of the region’s installed capacity is at risk of retiring by 2030.

Some plants are nearing the end of their useful life-spans, but an onslaught of costly regulation is the bigger cause. A soon-to-be-finalized Environmental Protection Agency rule would require natural-gas plants to install expensive and unproven carbon capture technology.

The PJM report cites “the role of states and the federal government in subsidizing resources and in environmental regulation.” It added: “The simple fact is that the sources of new capacity that could fully replace the retiring capacity have not been clearly identified.”

Meantime, the Inflation Reduction Act’s huge renewable subsidies make it harder for fossil-fuel and nuclear plants to compete in wholesale power markets. The cost of producing power from solar and wind is roughly the same as from natural gas. But IRA tax credits can offset up to 50% of the cost of renewable operators. 

Baseload plants can’t turn a profit operating only when needed to back up renewables, so they are closing. This was the main culprit for Texas’s week-long power outage in February 2021 and the eastern U.S.’s rolling blackouts during Christmas 2022.

Saturday, March 23, 2024

Biden tailpipe rule will turn America into a Cuba of old cars

New York Post here:

Biden’s goals will push internal-combustion-vehicle prices into the stratosphere, and likely still not get consumers to play along; the 2032 mandate is beyond impossible to meet. 

Instead, Americans will keep older cars on the road far longer; even paying through the nose for clunkers and repairs will be the better bet.

 

May 2023: Average age of a car on the road in the US hit a record 12.5 years, up 3 months from 2022.

I have two cars for my family. One is 27 years old, the other 17. 

Remember Cash For Clunkers under Obama?

Yeah, I skipped that.

Kim Strassel: Biden is coming for your truck

The column is here:
It’s a tailor-made issue for Donald Trump, a perfect summation of his opponent’s radicalism. His campaign immediately trashed the rule as a diktat that will “force Americans to buy ultra-expensive cars they do not want and cannot afford while destroying the U.S. auto industry.” Just wait until he gets around to the bumper-sticker formula: “They’re coming for your truck.” An energy trade group has already been up with ads making that point in swing states, calling on Americans to reject Biden’s “EPA car ban.”
 

Friday, March 22, 2024

I found the source for Trump's well-founded fear of an auto industry bloodbath

 CNBC reports today:

Why a small China-made EV has global auto execs and politicians on edge :

There’s fear among global automakers that Chinese rivals like the Warren Buffett-backed BYD could flood their markets, undercutting domestic production and vehicle prices to the detriment of their own auto industries.

“The introduction of cheap Chinese autos — which are so inexpensive because they are backed with the power and funding of the Chinese government — to the American market could end up being an extinction-level event for the U.S. auto sector,” the Alliance for American Manufacturing, a U.S. manufacturing advocacy group, said in a report last month.

BYD sold 1.57 million battery EVs last year, up from just 130,970 all-electric vehicles in 2020. That sales growth was enough to surpass Tesla to become the world’s largest producer of electric vehicles in late 2023. 

The rise of BYD and other Chinese automakers led Tesla CEO Elon Musk in January to warn that Chinese automakers will “demolish” global rivals without trade barriers. ...

The company has quickly rolled out new and updated products. It’s also rapidly established manufacturing, as it has its eyes set on factories in Thailand, Brazil, Indonesia, Hungary, Uzbekistan and, potentially, Mexico. ...

Former President Donald Trump – the front-runner among Republicans in the 2024 presidential race – on Saturday suggested instituting a 100% tariff on cars made in Mexico by Chinese companies, should he be elected to a second term.

Tuesday, February 13, 2024

Bob Nardelli gets it

 "The general population will not be duped by this aversion [sic; read diversion] to try and blame inflation on corporate America. It starts at the raw materials, it starts at transportation, it starts at energy," former Home Depot and Chrysler CEO Bob Nardelli said on "Cavuto: Coast to Coast" Monday. "A whole host of things that are driving this up, wage increases." ...

"This is all about, I think, trying to buy votes. This is all about an administration that is out of control," he continued. "We have a strong bias towards spending versus having a conservative policy or a sustainable future."

More.

Sunday, January 14, 2024

Reuters got it right, CNBC green lunatics try to soften the blow: "Rental giant Hertz dumps EVs, including Teslas, for gas cars"

Jan 11 (Reuters) - Rental firm Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ.O) is selling about 20,000 electric vehicles, including Teslas, from its U.S. fleet about two years after a deal with the automaker to offer its vehicles for rent, in another sign that EV demand has cooled.

Hertz will instead opt for gas-powered vehicles, it said on Thursday, citing higher expenses related to collision and damage for EVs even though it had aimed to convert 25% of its fleet to electric by 2024 end.

More.

 

Hertz makes ‘agile’ decision to shift strategy and sell EVs, Teslas

Wednesday, January 3, 2024

Contact your utility commission and complain about natural gas and electricity prices not coming down

 
Utilities get to pass through fuel prices, which means customers have been bearing the burden of higher natural-gas prices that surged following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. On average, monthly electricity prices rose 13% in 2022 from a year earlier and 6% in the first 11 months of 2023, according to data from the Labor Department. ... Utility commissioners are either appointed by elected officials or elected themselves, which means they are sensitive to the financial pressures that ratepayers face. ... utilities were quick to ask for an increase on the allowed return on equity when market measures of capital cost rose yet slow to adjust rates when those measures declined.     
 
Has the natural gas portion of your utility bill dropped 60% like the price of natural gas in 2023 from 2022? Mine sure as hell has not.

Here are the average prices per year for Henry Hub natural gas:

2015: 2.62
2016: 2.52
2017: 2.99
2018: 3.15
2019: 2.56
2020: 2.03
2021: 3.89 +91.6%
2022: 6.45 +65.8%
2023: 2.53 -60.7%

That 92% jump in 2021 had nothing to do with Ukraine.

We're being gouged for green energy tomfoolery.
 
COMPLAIN, not to the utility, but to the utility commission. It's the only way.
 
In Michigan, go to:
 
https://www.michigan.gov/mpsc
 
 

 
 
 
 
 

Thursday, November 30, 2023

Core pce inflation, which excludes food and energy measures, is still high at 3.5% year over year in October 2023, down 0.2 points from September or 5.4%

 Price increases at 3.5% instead of 3.7% year over year. This level remains outside of most people's experience since the late 1990s.

The broad measure fell to 3.0% from 3.4%. The energy goods and services component yoy has been negative, that is deflationary, for eight months in a row. The food component was up 2.0% year over year in October but is now in its tenth month of declines out of twelve on a year over year measure monthly.

Declining energy input costs have been the story behind declining inflation measures overall, primarily natural gas which is twice as important to the U.S. economy as gasoline on a BTU basis.

The Biden administration's green energy policy is at war with the reason for the happy circumstance of declining inflation measures it finds itself in, and Biden could be sailing to re-election if he were instead supporting fossil fuel production, which would slay the inflation dragon dead.




Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Dim bulb Jonathan Martin says Joe should heave Bidenomics into the dumpster just as broad inflation tanks from 3.7% yoy in September to 3.2% yoy in October

Perhaps the most overwhelming economic messaging advice I picked up from Democrats was for him to heave “Bidenomics” into the dumpster. Attempting to make voters believe something they don’t is folly. Attaching your name to that strategy borders on masochistic.

Here’s How Biden Can Turn It Around

Joe would be well on his way to re-election right now if he weren't shooting himself in the foot with his stupid green energy policies, which are keeping inflation from coming down harder than it already is.

That's what needs to go in the dumpster.





Tuesday, October 10, 2023

The gas and electric utility Consumers Energy here in Michigan is price gouging under Green Energy Joe, yours probably is too

Compared to November 2020, my new budget plan payment for combined natural gas and electric for the coming winter will be 42% higher than it was three years ago, despite the fact that natural gas prices have normalized almost to the penny.

Electricity is up 25% since Green Energy Joe got elected and isn't coming down, but that can't account for it since I consume far less electricity than natural gas on an average basis. More than 65% of my energy consumption in kWh is from natural gas in the last year, as it is every year, less than 35% is from electricity.

A 25% increase to 35% of my old bill would result in a total payment today less than 9% higher. Instead it's 42% higher.

Remember that the utility uses natural gas to generate the electricity, too, and it's paying normal prices today for the gas, not the inflated prices of the recent past.

There's no excuse for the extra cost I'm paying.

The utility is price gouging.

 



 

 

Wednesday, September 13, 2023

Overall inflation reversed course and ticked higher in August 2023 on a monthly jump in overall energy prices

 Overall inflation jumped up to 3.7% year-over-year and 0.6% month-over-month on a 5.6% jump in overall energy inflation month-over-month in August 2023.

Month-over-month, electricity was up 0.2%, gasoline was up 10.6%, piped utility gas was up 0.6%, fuel oil and other fuels were up 8.4%. Meanwhile food was up 0.2%.

Core inflation (overall inflation less food and energy) increased mom 0.3% and is still running 4.4% yoy.

Services inflation is still running high at 5.4% yoy, less rent of shelter at 3.1% yoy.

Shelter inflation rose mom 0.3% in both measures, and 7.2% yoy seasonally adjusted.

Going forward I expect inflation pressures to persist because of Biden administration green energy fantasies and hatred of fossil fuels combining with OPEC+ production cuts continuing indefinitely.