Showing posts with label global warming. Show all posts
Showing posts with label global warming. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 8, 2024

GlObAl WaRmInG iS cAuSiNg ThE hUrRiCaNeS

 The current global climate is a coldhouse climate.

 

The Washington Post, September 19, 2024


Friday, September 20, 2024

ROFLMAO WaPo's "most rigorous reconstruction of Earth’s past [Phanerozoic] temperatures ever produced" surprises Michael Mann, says human-caused warming will not make the planet uninhabitable

The article has this response from Michael Mann:

 The timeline, published Thursday in the journal Science, is the most rigorous reconstruction of Earth’s past temperatures ever produced, the authors say. ...

Michael Mann, a climate scientist at the University of Pennsylvania who is known for his analyses of past global temperatures, said he was also surprised by the suggestion that the planet got so warm. The finding supports many scientists’ concern that feedback loops in the Earth system could lead to much higher temperatures than most climate models predict, he wrote in an email. But it’s also possible that the data assimilation assumes too much warming and is missing factors that might forestall a runaway greenhouse effect. “While I applaud the authors for this ambitious and thoughtful study, I am skeptical about the specific, quantitative conclusions,” Mann said. ...

Even under the worst-case scenarios, human-caused warming will not push the Earth beyond the bounds of habitability.

 

The article, which places us today in some of the still coolest climate conditions in 500 million years, never connects the dots.

It maintains that a dramatic warming event 250 million years ago caused the largest mass extinction ever, spewing carbon dioxide and other gases into the atmosphere, 25 million years BEFORE the first mammals appeared, who breathe the OXYGEN emitted by carbon dioxide consuming PLANTS, who then in their turn THRIVED for 125 million years under EVEN WARMER conditions than that extinction event produced.

Evolution was evidently turbocharged by this warming and its carbon dioxide, but then suddenly the first humans supposedly started to evolve 6.5 million years ago at the end of 50 million years of cooling conditions, WHEN THE TEMPERATURE WAS 62.6 F*, and continued to evolve into modern humans 300,000 years ago just as temperature KEPT FALLING to the coldest point in the record (51.8 F).

How did that happen?

The study authors are worried about what warmer conditions in the future will mean for humans, but seem oddly uninterested in how humans supposedly evolved in relatively much cooler conditions.

Maybe we don't really understand the evolution of mammals. Maybe humans are much older than the record indicates, and much more resilient.

 

At its hottest, the study suggests, the Earth’s average temperature reached 96.8 degrees Fahrenheit (36 degrees Celsius) — far higher than the historic 58.96 F (14.98 C) the planet hit last year. ...

At the timeline’s start, some 485 million years ago, Earth was in what is known as a hothouse climate, with no polar ice caps and average temperatures above 86 F (30 C). ...

For most of the Phanerozoic, the research suggests, average temperatures have exceeded 71.6 F (22 C), with little or no ice at the poles. ...

But humans evolved during the coldest epoch of the Phanerozoic, when global average temperatures were as low as 51.8 F (11 C).

Without rapid action to curb greenhouse gas emissions, scientists say, global temperatures could reach nearly 62.6 F (17 C) by the end of the century — a level not seen in the timeline since the * Miocene epoch, more than 5 million years ago.

 

 



Tuesday, August 22, 2023

This is roflmao material: Study finds 6.189 million deaths annually from cold, 0.638 million from heat, and can't bring itself to say so

For every heat death, there are 9.7 from cold.

The world does not have a heat problem.

It continues to have a cold problem.

Think how much worse cold deaths would be without fossil fuels to keep us warm, make fertilizers, and grow food. But these people cannot bring themselves to say that, no. Cold related deaths must be down slightly over a minuscule measuring period because of global warming!

A sane world would be focusing on the disparity of 6.189 million cold deaths.


Our World In Data

Our World In Data


 

 

 

 

 

 

Highlights in red.

https://www.monash.edu/medicine/news/latest/2021-articles/worlds-largest-study-of-global-climate-related-mortality-links-5-million-deaths-a-year-to-abnormal-temperatures

monash.edu

World’s largest study of global climate related mortality links 5 million deaths a year to abnormal temperatures

08 July 2021

More than five million extra deaths a year can be attributed to abnormal hot and cold temperatures, according to a world first international study led by Monash University.

The study found deaths related to hot temperatures increased in all regions from 2000 to 2019, indicating that global warming due to climate change will make this mortality figure worse in the future.

Professor Yuming Guo 

The international research team, led by Monash University’s Professor Yuming Guo, Dr Shanshan Li, and Dr Qi Zhao from Shandong University in China – and published today in The Lancet Planetary Health – looked at mortality and temperature data across the world from 2000 to 2019, a period when global temperatures rose by 0.26C per decade.

The study, the first to definitively link above and below optimal temperatures (corresponding to minimum mortality temperatures) to annual increases in mortality, found 9.43 per cent of global deaths could be attributed to cold and hot temperatures. This equates to 74 excess deaths for every 100,000 people, with most deaths caused by cold exposure.

The data reveals geographic differences in the impact of non-optimal temperatures on mortality, with Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa having the highest heat and cold-related excess death rates.

Importantly, cold-related death decreased 0.51 per cent from 2000 to 2019, while heat-related death increased 0.21 per cent, leading to a reduction in net mortality due to cold and hot temperatures.

The largest decline of net mortality occurred in Southeast Asia while there was temporal increase in South Asia and Europe.

Professor Guo,  from the Monash University School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine,  said this shows global warming may “slightly reduce the number of temperature-related deaths, largely because of the lessening in cold-related mortality, however in the long-term climate change is expected to increase the mortality burden because hot-related mortality would be continuing to increase”.

Professor Guo said previous studies had looked at temperature-related mortality within a single country or region.

“This is the first study to get a global overview of mortality due to non-optimal temperature conditions between 2000 and 2019, the hottest period since the Pre-Industrial era,” he said.

“Importantly, we used 43 countries’ baseline data across five continents with different climates, socioeconomic and demographic conditions and differing levels of infrastructure and public health services – so the study had a large and varied sample size, unlike previous studies.”

The mortality data from this groundbreaking Monash study is significantly higher than the second-largest study published in 2015, which was based on 74 million deaths across 13 countries/regions and estimated 7.7 per cent of deaths were related to cold and hot temperatures.

Professor Guo said that showed “the importance of taking data from all points of the globe, in order to get a more accurate understanding of the real impact of non-optimal temperatures under climate change”.

Of the global deaths attributed to abnormal cold and heat, the study found:

  • More than half occurred in Asia, particularly in East and South Asia
  • Europe had the highest excess death rates per 100,000 due to heat exposure
  • Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest death rates per 100,000 due to exposure to cold

Professor Guo understanding the geographic patterns of temperature-related mortality “is important for the international collaboration in developing policies and strategies in climate change mitigation and adaptation and health protection.”

ANNUAL DEATHS DUE TO ABNORMAL TEMPS BY REGION:

  • Africa – 1.2 million
  • Asia – 2.6 million
  • Europe – 835,000
  • South America – 141,000
  • UK – 52,000
  • US – 173,600
  • China – 1.04 million
  • India – 74,000
  • Australia – 16,500

ANNUAL DEATHS DUE TO COLD TEMPS BY REGION:

  • Africa – 1.18 million
  • Asia – 2.4 million
  • Europe – 657,000
  • South America – 116,000
  • UK – 44,600
  • US – 154,800
  • China – 967,000
  • India – 655,400
  • Australia – 14,200

ANNUAL DEATHS DUE TO HIGH TEMPS BY REGION

  • Africa – 25,550
  • Asia – 224,000
  • Europe – 178,700
  • South America – 25,250
  • UK – 8000
  • US – 18,750
  • China – 71,300
  • India – 83,700
  • Australia – 2300

Wednesday, July 19, 2023

LOL WaPo: "Global warming has brought a steady increase in average temperatures"

Except it hasn't. Average temperature in Phoenix is still running 1 deg. F below normal year-to-date.

Mean average annual temperature in Phoenix is 72.2 deg. F since 1895. Year-to-date it's 72.9. In 1974, the year of its big June heat wave, it was 73.1. The hottest year ever by average temperature was six years ago, when Phoenix averaged 77.3. 
 


 
WaPo didn't check apparently, or simply omitted the inconvenient data.
 
Same with Reno, NV and Las Vegas, NV, both of which are mentioned in the story. 
 
Reno is running 2.8 deg. F below normal year-to-date. Las Vegas is running 2.4 deg. F below normal.
 
El Paso is indeed setting records, but year-to-date its average temperature is still only 1.5 deg. F above normal. Annualized it would make the top ten warmest years ever, but the year is far from over.
 
Either way, WaPo is simply full of it, as usual.
 
It's also worth mentioning the special pleading going on. 
 
WaPo cites the June 1974 Phoenix climatological records as proof that it's hotter now than during that heat wave:
 
Temperatures have averaged above 101 degrees in Phoenix over the past 17 days. That is significantly hotter than another record-setting heat wave, when the city surpassed 110 degrees on 18 consecutive days in 1974. During that stretch, temperatures averaged 96.5 degrees.
 
The June 1974 data is the same data The Weather Gods have now declared unreliable, but WaPo wants to have it both ways when the micro-average-comparisons are convenient, you know, like Hillary or Hunter, one law for me, another for thee:
 
Reliable observation times are not available prior to 1982.
 
  







Tuesday, June 20, 2023

LOL, Democrat named Wackerman, $400 donor to Lincoln Project, arrested for setting July 2022 "Oak Fire" in Yosemite National Park which Democrats blamed on global warming

 The so-called Oak Fire destroyed 127 homes and 66 outbuildings. Roughly 6,000 people were forced to evacuate as the inferno torched 30 square miles of land and smoke from the fire drifted more than 200 miles into parts of Nevada and the San Francisco Bay Area.     

Sunday, September 18, 2022

Once again, it was the idiot liberal Republican George H. W. Bush who advanced the anti-capitalist Democrat global warming agenda

 . . . the Inflation Reduction Act was signed by President Biden earlier this summer. It had been thirty years and sixty-five days since President George H.W. Bush signed the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Rio de Janeiro.

Here.

George also spawned the redundant hate crime legislation, huge increases to LEGAL immigration, wheel-chair access at every intersection's crosswalk among other expensive accommodations for the ambulatory handicapped, who in 2016 are fewer than 7% of the population, an unchastened Saddam Hussein, and READ MY LIPS . . . NEW TAXES.

Oh yeah. He also literally spawned the guy who didn't keep America safe on 911 and gave us the expensive nation-building wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and the insidious Patriot Act, but don't get me started.

Everything BUSH has been terrible for America, which is saying a lot when everything Democrat always is anyway.  

Monday, September 12, 2022

In old global warming news, it turns out that it was Margaret Thatcher of all people who first funded the warmists

 As you can see, today's posts so far show a pattern: Elect women leaders at your peril.



Thursday, September 8, 2022

LOL, climate change to hibernate, just like bears

 

Tune in next summer, when global warming returns for season 4,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 . . .

Wednesday, February 23, 2022

Station KGRR of the National Weather Service is increasingly unreliable

Yesterday's predicted high was 50 degrees F. 

It made it to 38.5 on my device not far from the airport right around 5PM last night. I only cared about it because I was earnestly expecting the warm temperatures to make it easier on me while I pumped some standing water from a low spot on my property.

The National Weather Service 3-day history shows the high was 39 degrees F, right at about that time. It is customary for the NWS to round up to the next degree once the value hits .5.

But both the Daily Almanac and the Climatology pages show the high was 40 F.

Looks like lying and bias in favor of global warming to me, on top of not being able to predict the damn weather tomorrow.
 
When people lie about everything in a society, even the smallest details, that society is finished because without trust there can be no society.
 
 

 
 




Saturday, November 6, 2021

Bipartisan Senate infrastructure plan authorizing $550 billion in new spending passed the House late last night and goes to Biden for his signature

The bill was opposed in the House by almost all Republicans, and by six far-left Democrats who were outmaneuvered by thirteen moderate Republicans who threw their support to the plan, which 19 Republican US Senators had voted for earlier this summer. 

The House progressives had insisted that the infrastructure plan be voted on together with Biden's social spending plan in order to force moderate Democrats to go along with the latter. The House Republican votes for the Senate bill ended up thwarting that linkage, making it even more likely that the House version of the social spending plan will have to be much less ambitious.

A small group of House Democrats have insisted the Congressional Budget Office score the impact of the separate social spending plan, which would have been standard operating procedure under Republicans but which Democrats under Pelosi have been avoiding until now. They don't give a damn about the true costs. They've even claimed absurdly a $3.5 trillion social spending plan will cost NOTHING. Ha ha ha ha ha.

That ranks among the most shameless attempts to change reality through a talking point ever attempted.

Whatever comes out of the House on that will face the hard scrutiny of Democrat Senators Manchin and Sinema regardless. 

Roll Call:

The bipartisan bill would reauthorize surface transportation and water programs for five years, adding $550 billion in new spending. 

It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and major projects; $39 billion for transit and $66 billion for rail; $65 billion for broadband; $65 billion for the electric grid; $55 billion to upgrade water infrastructure and $25 billion for airports.

WaPo:

The bill includes more than $110 billion to replace and repair roads, bridges and highways, and $66 billion to boost rail, making it the most substantial such investment in the country’s passenger and commercial network since the creation of Amtrak about half a century ago. Lawmakers provided $55 billion to improve the nation’s water supply and replace lead pipes, $60 billion to modernize the power grid and billions in additional sums to expand speedy Internet access nationwide.

Many of the investments aim to promote green energy and combat some of the country’s worst sources of pollution. At Biden’s behest, for example, lawmakers approved $7.5 billion to build out a national network of vehicle charging stations. Reflecting the deadly, costly consequences of global warming, the package also allocates another roughly $50 billion to respond to emergencies including droughts, wildfires and major storms.

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Climate Update for KGRR: September 2021

 


 

 

 

 

Climate Update for KGRR: September 2021

Max T 86, Mean 88
 
Min T 47, Mean 37 (tied for second highest minimum temperature on record with 1933; only 2019 and 2016 had higher minimums at 48; once again, so-called "global warming" is more a story of moderating at the cold end of the spectrum than of heating at the high end)
 
Av T 65.6, Mean 62.8 (actual to date is running 4.2% above mean to date)
 
Rain 3.34, Mean 3.59 (actual to date is down to just 0.69 above mean to date, or 2.6%; but October precipitation is already well ahead of normal to date, by 1.4; La Nina!)
 
Cooling Degree Days 70, Mean 75
CDD to date 870, Mean 691 (26% higher; the season will crack the list of warmest 20 summers on record; recall that the previous Heating Degree Day season was the 15th mildest winter on record)
 

Oceanic Nino Index shows a moderate La Nina in the 2020-2021 year just past

 

 

The anomaly at or below -0.5 persisted for 10 out of 12 overlapping periods in the 2020-2021 measuring season. For the first two periods of the 2021-2022 measuring season the anomaly continues in the negative at sum -0.9. The deepest anomaly in the last season was -1.3 in the October-November-December period, which is considered neither weak nor strong, but middling.

The trend toward lower ONI values since 1951 is consistent with wetter conditions in the Upper Midwest of the US, and greater incidence of tropical storms in the Atlantic from the 1980s. There is no need to adduce "global warming":

the historical tropical storm count record does not provide compelling evidence for a greenhouse warming induced long-term increase.


 

Thursday, September 30, 2021

Academic lunatics, but I repeat myself, are separately accused of setting both the Fawn Fire and the Dixie Fire in California

The second US academic in two months, Alexandra Souverneva, has been arrested and accused of serial arson in California. Last month California Professor Gary Maynard was arrested in a separate incident, and accused of being a serial arsonist. Neither of the accused to my knowledge has been convicted of arson crimes.

More.

But for all you know GLOBAL WARMING DID IT.

In their defense, fires are pretty easy to set when your governors chronically refuse to remove the dead undergrowth in the name of the biodiversity also preached by academia.

Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Climate Update for KGRR: August 2021

Climate Update for KGRR: August 2021

 


 

 

 
 
 
 
 
Max T 92, Mean 92
 
Min T 53, Mean 47:
 
Tied for sixth warmest August on record to 1892 by minimum temperature, with five other years ("global warming" is a transient phenomenon of recently moderating lows with 56% of the twenty-five warmest Augusts by minimum temperature on record occurring since 1960; that drops to 48% occurring since 1960 for the thirty-eight warmest Augusts by minimum temperature).

Av T 74.3, Mean 70.3:
 
Ninth warmest August on record by average temperature; the top five warmest Augusts were all before 1960.
 
Rain 2.33, Mean 3.06
 
Cooling Degree Days 295, Mean 190:
 
Ninth warmest August on record by CDD; the top five warmest were all before 1960.
 
CDD to date 800, Mean to date 616:
 
Six of the ten warmest years by total annual CDD (all ten above 963) are all before 1940, with 1921 at 1200 way out front as the hottest on record. Mean CDD for September is 76, so it would take a real scorcher in September 2021 to even hope of cracking the top ten for annual CDD. So far we are at 35 CDD in September.  

Thursday, July 29, 2021

The fools were predicting 1-2" of heavy rain after 3 am, and another 3/4" by 8 am, and instead we got BUPKIS


They can't predict the weather overnight, and yet you believe in fantastic theories of global warming caused by too much carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and assorted tall tales of unprecedented extreme weather events urged on you by these charlatans.