Medieval Warm Period for the win.
Showing posts with label temperature. Show all posts
Showing posts with label temperature. Show all posts
Wednesday, December 13, 2023
Tuesday, August 22, 2023
This is roflmao material: Study finds 6.189 million deaths annually from cold, 0.638 million from heat, and can't bring itself to say so
For every heat death, there are 9.7 from cold.
The world does not have a heat problem.
It continues to have a cold problem.
Think how much worse cold deaths would be without fossil fuels to keep us warm, make fertilizers, and grow food. But these people cannot bring themselves to say that, no. Cold related deaths must be down slightly over a minuscule measuring period because of global warming!
A sane world would be focusing on the disparity of 6.189 million cold deaths.
 |
| Our World In Data |
 |
| Our World In Data |
Highlights in red.
https://www.monash.edu/medicine/news/latest/2021-articles/worlds-largest-study-of-global-climate-related-mortality-links-5-million-deaths-a-year-to-abnormal-temperatures
monash.edu
World’s largest study of global climate related mortality links 5 million deaths a year to abnormal temperatures
08 July 2021
More than five million extra deaths a year can be attributed to abnormal hot and cold temperatures, according to a world first international study led by Monash University.
The study found deaths related to hot temperatures increased in all regions from 2000 to 2019, indicating that global warming due to climate change will make this mortality figure worse in the future.
The international research team, led by Monash University’s Professor Yuming Guo, Dr Shanshan Li, and Dr Qi Zhao from Shandong University in China – and published today in The Lancet Planetary Health – looked at mortality and temperature data across the world from 2000 to 2019, a period when global temperatures rose by 0.26C per decade.
The study, the first to definitively link above and below optimal temperatures (corresponding to minimum mortality temperatures) to annual increases in mortality, found 9.43 per cent of global deaths could be attributed to cold and hot temperatures. This equates to 74 excess deaths for every 100,000 people, with most deaths caused by cold exposure.
The data reveals geographic differences in the impact of non-optimal temperatures on mortality, with Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa having the highest heat and cold-related excess death rates.
Importantly, cold-related death decreased 0.51 per cent from 2000 to 2019, while heat-related death increased 0.21 per cent, leading to a reduction in net mortality due to cold and hot temperatures.
The largest decline of net mortality occurred in Southeast Asia while there was temporal increase in South Asia and Europe.
Professor Guo, from the Monash University School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, said this shows global warming may “slightly reduce the number of temperature-related deaths, largely because of the lessening in cold-related mortality, however in the long-term climate change is expected to increase the mortality burden because hot-related mortality would be continuing to increase”.
Professor Guo said previous studies had looked at temperature-related mortality within a single country or region.
“This is the first study to get a global overview of mortality due to non-optimal temperature conditions between 2000 and 2019, the hottest period since the Pre-Industrial era,” he said.
“Importantly, we used 43 countries’ baseline data across five continents with different climates, socioeconomic and demographic conditions and differing levels of infrastructure and public health services – so the study had a large and varied sample size, unlike previous studies.”
The mortality data from this groundbreaking Monash study is significantly higher than the second-largest study published in 2015, which was based on 74 million deaths across 13 countries/regions and estimated 7.7 per cent of deaths were related to cold and hot temperatures.
Professor Guo said that showed “the importance of taking data from all points of the globe, in order to get a more accurate understanding of the real impact of non-optimal temperatures under climate change”.
Of the global deaths attributed to abnormal cold and heat, the study found:
- More than half occurred in Asia, particularly in East and South Asia
- Europe had the highest excess death rates per 100,000 due to heat exposure
- Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest death rates per 100,000 due to exposure to cold
Professor Guo understanding the geographic patterns of temperature-related mortality “is important for the international collaboration in developing policies and strategies in climate change mitigation and adaptation and health protection.”
ANNUAL DEATHS DUE TO ABNORMAL TEMPS BY REGION:
- Africa – 1.2 million
- Asia – 2.6 million
- Europe – 835,000
- South America – 141,000
- UK – 52,000
- US – 173,600
- China – 1.04 million
- India – 74,000
- Australia – 16,500
ANNUAL DEATHS DUE TO COLD TEMPS BY REGION:
- Africa – 1.18 million
- Asia – 2.4 million
- Europe – 657,000
- South America – 116,000
- UK – 44,600
- US – 154,800
- China – 967,000
- India – 655,400
- Australia – 14,200
ANNUAL DEATHS DUE TO HIGH TEMPS BY REGION
- Africa – 25,550
- Asia – 224,000
- Europe – 178,700
- South America – 25,250
- UK – 8000
- US – 18,750
- China – 71,300
- India – 83,700
- Australia – 2300
Sunday, August 13, 2023
Friday, July 28, 2023
Average temperature year to date is still below normal in Phoenix, as is average max temp year to date, and yet they persist
Phoenix brings in refrigerated morgues to prep for heat-related deaths...
"as backup"
"we typically see a surge in intakes to the Office of the Medical Examiner (OME) in July"
Average temperature year to date is still below normal also in Yuma and Tucson.
Wednesday, July 19, 2023
LOL WaPo: "Global warming has brought a steady increase in average temperatures"
Except it hasn't. Average temperature in Phoenix is still running 1 deg. F below normal year-to-date.
Mean average annual temperature in Phoenix is 72.2 deg. F since 1895. Year-to-date it's 72.9. In 1974, the year of its big June heat wave, it was 73.1. The hottest year ever by average temperature was six years ago, when Phoenix averaged 77.3.
WaPo didn't check apparently, or simply omitted the inconvenient data.
Same with Reno, NV and Las Vegas, NV, both of which are mentioned in the story.
Reno is running 2.8 deg. F below normal year-to-date. Las Vegas is running 2.4 deg. F below normal.
El Paso is indeed setting records, but year-to-date its average temperature is still only 1.5 deg. F above normal. Annualized it would make the top ten warmest years ever, but the year is far from over.
Either way, WaPo is simply full of it, as usual.
It's also worth mentioning the special pleading going on.
WaPo cites the June 1974 Phoenix climatological records as proof that it's hotter now than during that heat wave:
Temperatures have averaged above 101 degrees in Phoenix over the past 17 days. That is significantly hotter than another record-setting heat wave, when the city surpassed 110 degrees on 18 consecutive days in 1974. During that stretch, temperatures averaged 96.5 degrees.
The June 1974 data is the same data The Weather Gods have now declared unreliable, but WaPo wants to have it both ways when the micro-average-comparisons are convenient, you know, like Hillary or Hunter, one law for me, another for thee:
Reliable observation times are not available prior to 1982.
Sunday, July 16, 2023
A random list of U.S. cities with above average temperature year to date coincidentally averages +1.7 degrees F
Checked yesterday:
Seattle, WA +0.2 degrees F
Baton Rouge, LA +4.3
Minneapolis, MN +1.1
DFW, TX +2.3
Grand Rapids, MI +1.7
Miami, FL +2.8
Pensacola, FL +3.3
Milwaukee, WI +2.2
Juneau, AK +0.8
Albany, NY +2.7
Tulsa, OK +0.2
Helena, MT +0.5
Omaha, NE +0.10
Concord, NH +2.2
Burlington, VT +2.7
Ft. Wayne, IN +2.1
Marquette, MI +1.5
Duluth, MN +0.2
Memphis, TN +1.5
The anomaly for Grand Rapids, where I live, year-to-date is 3.5% above 48.2 degrees F, the mean average annual temperature going back to the 1890s.
The peak full year anomaly for Grand Rapids was in 2012: 9.5% above normal.
So if 2023 is a climate emergency, what was 2012?
Factor in the 10 cities with below normal temperatures from the previous post and the 2023 anomaly year to date drops to +0.55 degrees F for 29 randomly chosen locations (my yellow legal pad has 28 blue lines).
Enjoy the beach.
A random list of U.S. cities with below average temperature year to date
Checked yesterday:
Denver, CO -2.9 degrees F
Redding, CA -1.3
Phoenix, AZ -1.2
Fairbanks, AK -0.7
Nome, AK -3.6
Death Valley, CA -1.7
Bismarck, ND -1.9
Cheyenne, WY -1.8
Albuquerque, NM -0.7
Portland, OR -0.4
Saturday, July 15, 2023
Death Valley, CA, Climate Emergency ROFLMAO, where year-to-date average temperature is running 1.7 degrees F below normal
If it's in The Grauniad, it's probably wrong.
Wednesday, July 5, 2023
All you need to know about the hottest day ever
Tuesday’s global average temperature was calculated by a model . . . to estimate daily average temperatures starting in 1979.
“This is our ‘best guess’ of what the surface temperature at each point on earth was yesterday,” [Paolo Ceppi] said.
WaPo, of course.
Meanwhile, back in the real world of actual measurement, the highest maximum at KGRR so far in 2023 was 91 degrees F, on three days in June.
And the hottest 4th of July was way back in 1911. Yesterday made it to 89.
Maximum temperature observed has been in decline here for decades.
Tuesday, July 4, 2023
Friday, June 16, 2023
Trend for average temperature in Grand Rapids, Michigan shows an anomaly of less than +0.5 degrees F after 124 years
Could be just a heat island effect from KGRR.
Saturday, April 22, 2023
Climate Update for KGRR: 1Q2023
Climate Update for KGRR: 1Q2023 since 1892
Average temperature, mean: 27.5F.
Average temperature, actual: 32.7F; Anomaly: 19%.
Compare 2012 actual: 37.4F; Anomaly 36%.
January 2023 was the fifth warmest January on record by average temperature.
February was the thirteenth warmest February on record by average temperature.
The March average temperature anomaly was comparatively insignificant at 3.8%.
Heating degree days, mean: 3354.
Heating degree days, actual: 2880; Anomaly: 14%.
Compare 2012: 2505 actual; Anomaly: 25%.
January ranked fifth for fewest HDD in January.
February ranked tenth for fewest HDD in February.
The March heating degree day anomaly was comparatively insignificant at 4.4%.
Snowfall, mean: 40.8".
Snowfall, actual: 42.5".
March 2023 was the fourth snowiest March on record with 23.3".
Saturday, February 4, 2023
Natural gas prices have collapsed from the summer on unseasonably warm January temperatures meeting 2022 high production levels
 |
| top lines show full 2022 and start of 2023 |
Grand Rapids, MI, had its 5th warmest January by average temperature in Jan 2023 since 1892. Case is similar in many US cities which broke into the top 10 warmest Januaries on record, including Indy, Syracuse NY, Columbus OH, and Madison WI.
Sunday, January 1, 2023
Climate Update for KGRR 2022
Mean average temperature in Grand Rapids, Michigan since 1892: 48.2 degrees F.
Mean average temperature in 2022: 48.7.
That is all.
Sunday, December 25, 2022
Tennessee has had plenty of much colder temperatures than this Christmas and never had to turn off the power before, but that was before they went insane
What we know: TVA ordered rolling blackouts for the first time in 90 years amid freezing temps
Tennessee Valley Authority retired 3,370 MW of coal electric power capacity in 2012, 2017, and 2018.
The reason for that isn't because the plants were old, built in the 1950s. TVA still operates a bunch of much older hydroelectric plants dating back as far as 1911.
It's pure anti-fossil fuel ideology driving that, and foolishly allocating new capacity to solar and wind, which can't cut it.
And that's why they had to shut off the power in Tennessee for the first time.
The damn fools got 0.7 inches of snow and said it was one inch deep, too.
Sunday, December 4, 2022
KGRR climate update through Nov 2022
2022 mean average temperature eleven months through Nov = 50.4
Mean average temperature through Nov since 1892 = 50.0
28 inches of snow, second highest November on record, all melted now.
Tuesday, October 4, 2022
Climate emergency: 2022 average temperature in Grand Rapids MI through September was 0.4 degrees F above the long-term average since 1892
Mean average temperature in Grand Rapids MI through September 2022: 51.5F.
Mean average temperature in Grand Rapids MI through September since 1892: 51.1F.
Tuesday, September 13, 2022
Welcome to my uncharted territory of climate destruction, eh?
Average temperature in Grand Rapids, MI, Jan-Aug 2022 = 49.9
Average temperature in Grand Rapids, MI, Jan-Aug since 1892 = 49.6
Wednesday, July 20, 2022
How is it that the National Weather Service at Grand Rapids, Michigan, station KGRR, can't get the high or the low temperature right for July 19, 2022?
The three day history for KGRR shows that the high on the 19th was 88 degrees F at numerous points throughout the afternoon and evening, and that the low was 71 degrees F early in the morning, but if you look at the daily data for a month it says the high was 90 degrees F and the low was . . . 49 degrees F.
The mean minimum for July going back to 1892 is 49 degrees F, so that explains that error. Some idiot transcribed that value instead of the actual value. So far this month, the lowest minimum was 52 degrees F.
Can't explain the 2 degree F discrepancy for the high, though. You would think that there would be room for a spike up to 90 during an hour interval by the presence of at least one 89 value at some regular hourly interval, but there isn't one.
Is someone's fat finger on the scale over there?
It's a good reminder that the human element introduces error into the record, whether intentional or not, and that you can't believe everything you're told, even about the simplest of things.
By the way, I'm just four miles from the station as the crow flies, and we had a rain shower last night which doesn't show up in the three day history either.
I know, I know, aLl wEaThEr iS LoCaL.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)