In Massachusetts breakthrough deaths must represent a shocking 25.5% of confirmed deaths since March 7, 2021

Cumulative confirmed deaths since the beginning of the pandemic: 20,884

https://www.mass.gov/info-details/covid-19-response-reporting

Breakthrough deaths: 1,224 (5.86% of confirmed deaths to date)

https://www.mass.gov/doc/weekly-report-covid-19-cases-in-vaccinated-individuals-january-18-2022/download

Cumulative confirmed cases since the beginning of the pandemic: 1,418,149

Breakthrough cases: 348,510 (24.57% of confirmed cases to date)

Breakthrough hospitalizations: 5,437 (0.38% of all confirmed cases to date; cumulative hospitalization data is not available from Massachusetts)

Presenting the data this way, however, leads to mixing the breakthrough data with the data from the first year of the pandemic when there were no vaccines through which to break.

We have to subtract the first year data to see what is really going on since vaccinations began and were characteristic of the second year.

A convenient date to choose for the end of the first year is March 7, 2021, when The Covid Tracking Project ceased its pandemic data gathering efforts. That data helpfully included cumulative hospitalization numbers. And fewer than 10% of Massachusetts residents had been fully vaccinated by that date.

In the first year of the pandemic through March 7, 2021, Massachusetts had 16,085 confirmed deaths, 559,083 confirmed cases, and 19,713 ever hospitalized for COVID.  

The hospitalization rate in the first year was therefore 3.525% of confirmed cases, slightly higher than the national rate in the first year of the pandemic at 3.06%.

This means in year two to date since March 7, 2021 there have been only 4,799 additional confirmed deaths, but 859,066 additional confirmed cases and approximately 30,282 additional hospitalizations (I used the first year hospitalization rate of 3.525% as a proxy for this, which I grant is only an educated guess).

From those baseline figures from the second year of the pandemic to date, we get the following rates for breakthroughs since March 7, 2021 using the breakthrough data Massachusetts helpfully reports unlike most states:

Breakthrough deaths: 25.50%

Breakthrough cases: 40.56%

Breakthrough hospitalizations: ~17.95%.

In Massachusetts, the proportion of serious outcomes for vaccinated  people is much higher than people realize. This is certainly true for deaths.

15.4 million US breakthrough cases in January 2022 with 10 days left to count in the month

 

Crazed libertarian can't stand other people, but can't do anything about it, so what's new?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Here:

"It's just gone on too long, nobody cares anymore," Maher said. "I don't want to live in your mask paranoid world anymore. You go out it's silly now: you have to have a mask, you have a booster, they scan your head. Like you're a cashier and I'm a bunch of bananas. I'm not bananas, you are."

COVID-19 booster shots have done nothing to stop the spread in the world's most boostered places

 

Africa, still barely 10% fully vaccinated, continues to show the strong seasonality pattern of COVID-19

 Deaths per million have consistently peaked in August and January in Africa to date.

Virus gonna virus.

66% of children hospitalized for COVID-19 have a comorbidity, mostly obesity

 https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/21/kids-covid-hospitalizations-hit-pandemic-high-worrying-doctors-and-parents-.html

14.6 million US breakthrough cases in the first twenty days of January, Zeke

 

LOL, now that there are MILLIONS UPON MILLIONS OF THEM, Ms. Lyndon Haviland wants the term "breakthrough cases" banned, and lies like a rug about what Fauci said

 

At TheHill, where else?

Let's stop saying 'breakthrough cases' — it isn't helping

When the vaccine was introduced, Dr. Anthony Fauci and others said it would offer the public a strong layer of protection against COVID-19. They sought to manage expectations by saying it would lower the possibility of getting the virus, but that, like all vaccines, it wouldn’t guarantee immunity. They tried to make it clear that infection was still possible, and that the vaccine would still do its job by drastically lowering the chance of severe illness, hospitalization and death. All of this has proven true.

By trumpeting the term “breakthrough cases,” public health authorities are spreading the impression that these infections are novel, unique and unanticipated by the scientific community. In fact, the vaccine was designed precisely with this likelihood in mind, and it is working exactly as intended. 

Yeah, right. That's why Fauci said on at least three separate occasions before Delta hit that vaccination levels hitting 50% of population would prevent additional case surges like we saw in April 2021. He was sure after that that the steep declines in cases we saw nationally were a sign that the vaccines were working.

And then along came the July 4th, Provincetown, incident, proving vaccines didn't stop the spread, and Delta, proving him even more horribly wrong. 

The shift to "it prevents serious illness, hospitalization and death" was . . . a shift!

But even that hasn't been true. Mass vaccination has not reduced either cases or deaths Jul-Dec 2021 compared with Jul-Dec 2020.

These people are just awful, deplorable even, because they keep touting a vaccine which isn't a true vaccine, and because of it vaccinated people have been running around spreading serious illness, hospitalization and death.

Words have meaning. Censoring them won't stop the death toll.

13.868 million breakthrough cases in the US in the first 19 days of January 2022, Jack

 

You don't say . . .

 MRNA Boosters DO NOT Block Omicron, Study Shows...

Climate Update For KGRR: December 2021 and 2021 Annual

Climate Update For KGRR: December 2021

 

Max T 63, Mean 53: tied for 8th highest on record

Min T 15, Mean 04: 9th highest on record

Avg T 34.5, Mean 28.4: 9th highest on record

Rain 2.23, Mean 2.44

Snow 10.1, Mean 15.9

Heating Degree Days 938, Mean 1126

HDD to date 2039, Mean 2481

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2021 Annual Climate Summary For KGRR

 

Max T 92, Mean 95: tied for 18th lowest on record

Min T -12, Mean -7

Avg T 50.8, Mean 48.2: 11th highest on record (5.4% warmer than Mean vs. 9.5% warmer than Mean for the warmest full year on record in 2012)

Rain 38.04, Mean 34.8: 33rd wettest on record

Cooling Degree Days 893, Mean 696: 19th highest on record (compare with the previous year Heating Degree Day heating season 2020-2021, which ranked 15th warmest on record with 6170 HDD vs. 6697 Mean since 1892) 

Warmer conditions for KGRR in calendar 2021 were an instance more of moderate winter conditions back-ending and front-loading the year than of extreme summer conditions in the middle of it.

 

 

13 million breakthrough cases in the US in the first 18 days of January 2022

 

Mass vaccination in 2021 in the United States reduced neither cases nor deaths from COVID-19 "Delta" variant, aka the India variant

Delta dominated from July 1 through December 31, 2021:

Total Cases = 21.05 million

Total Deaths = 219,471.

 

COVID-19 from July 1 through December 31, 2020:

 

Total Cases = 17.37 million

Total Deaths = 218,588.

 

Mass vaccination in 2021 in the US reduced neither cases nor deaths from Delta. 

 

11.8 million breakthrough cases in the US in the first 17 days of January

 

A good day to remember that Boston University gave a Ph.D. to someone in 1955 who plagiarized his dissertation and a B.A. in economics "with honors" to someone in 2011 who esteems the famous economist "Milton Keynes"

 

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Educational standards at Boston University are nothing if not consistent.

Ralph Northam was barely out of office for one day before Amazon started to run low on Kiwi black

 

Last time I checked, Ron DeSantis deployed to Iraq with SEAL Team One in 2007, but gutless Trump never deployed anywhere

 

If the Fed folks think raising the Federal Funds Rate will help control inflation, they are sadly mistaken . . . again

From 1983 through 2001, the Federal Funds Rate was aggressively high and averaged 6.27%, and the Consumer Price Index averaged 3.24%.*

From 2002 through 2020, the Consumer Price Index was much lower on average at 2.01%, as the Fed pursued an aggressive low interest rate policy, which averaged just 1.36%.

So, lower Federal Funds Rate, lower inflation, higher Federal Funds Rate, higher inflation, just the opposite of what the Fed says it intends.

But only a numbskull thinks these are correlated. The Fed is merely reactionary to complex existing phenomena, not pro-actively creating conditions.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* I used the average of the annual averages.

Happy National Plagiarists' Day

 

At current infection rates in the UK and the US, we won't see "herd immunity", defined as 70% infected with Omicron, until sometime in November

The US is averaging roughly 720k infections per day, and the UK 147k, so far in January.

In the US you have to have roughly 232m people infected to get to 70%. At the current rate of infection, that's 322 days.

In the UK you have to have roughly 48m people infected to get to 70%. At the current rate of infection, that's 327 days. 

There is no way to predict if current rates of infection will persist, but current rates put us to mid-November.

One thing's for sure, however, the vaccines sure as hell aren't stopping it.