Wednesday, March 23, 2016
Tuesday, March 22, 2016
In 2013 Ted Cruz wanted 1.35 million green cards issued per year, 325,000 H-1B visas per year
Plans pushed by GOP presidential candidate Sen. Ted Cruz under the immigration reform debate in 2013 would have jumped the number of immigrants, including those from Muslim nations, by doubling green card caps and boosting temporary worker visas five-fold.
Read the rest here.
Trump hits new high 40% nationally in Real Clear Politics poll average
Trump never shared the lead with anyone except Ben Carson last November.
This perfect running mate for Ted Cruz will be 35 in June, so he's just as qualified too, no?
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| Prince Hashim of Jordan |
Educated at St. Mark's, Fay School and Maret School, he's probably got the needed residency of 14 years. Throw in his time at Duke and Georgetown if there's any doubt, and I'd say he's a lock.
Monday, March 21, 2016
If true Politico story means Ted Cruz is soft enough on illegal immigration to unite with Gang of Eighter Marco Rubio
Politico reports here that Cruz' people have been pursuing an alliance with Marco Amnesty Rubio for weeks, and more than that:
Over the last week, according to a person familiar with the Cruz team's internal deliberations, the campaign has conducted polling in forthcoming contests — including ... the one on Tuesday in Utah — in which questions are posed about the two running side-by-side.
Trump delegate total rises to 680, which is really 692 at minimum with 12 from Missouri not yet distributed
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| bloomberg.com/politics |
That means Trump now needs 52.2% of the remaining 1044 delegates to get to 1237. See the latest Missouri delegate story here.
A number of other delegates also are not yet distributed from races already held, among them:
Oklahoma: 3
Louisiana: 5
Mississippi: 3
Illinois: 2.
With 424 delegates, Cruz now needs almost 78% of the remaining 1044 to get to 1237.
Conservative talk radio won't tell you Cruz is finished, but he was finished already a week ago.
John Kasich, Supreme Court squish, would consider Obama's nominee Garland
Quoted here:
"As someone who's talked about unity, would you take a look at Mr. Garland...if you were elected president?" host John Dickerson asked Kasich.
"Well, you know, he received you know overwhelming support, I think even from Senator Hatch, so of course we'd think about it," Kasich replied.
In other words, expect more liberals on the court from President John Kasich.
If Ted Cruz joins a Donald Trump ticket, Erick Erickson says he won't vote for it!
In the last segment on the Laura Ingraham Show.
Sunday, March 20, 2016
Sean Hannity will never live down his endorsement of a pathway to legalization after Romney's loss in 2012
He gives forgiveness to Marco Rubio for the Gang of Eight Bill because he wants forgiveness for this:
Dark pools of money spew out bluenoses against Trump
Registered Democrat Obama voter Michael Goodwin, writing here:
For his chutzpah, tens of millions of dollars are being poured into attack ads against Trump, and the urgent blue-nosed concerns about dark pools of money in politics have vanished. As long as he’s the target, all is fair.
Often, the avalanche of sludge against Trump looks and sounds like a reactionary confederacy fighting to keep its power and privileges. Naturally, the mainstream media is slashing away.
A Washington Post editorial claims that stopping Trump is the only way to “defend our democracy.” In other words, those troublesome voters are the problem.
A New York Times columnist raised the prospect of assassination. Sure, it was a joke. Make that joke about Obama or Clinton and see who laughs.
It was the Dowdy yellow journalist who said "Nein", not Trump
Here:
I wondered about ex-wife Ivana telling her lawyer, according to Vanity Fair, that Trump kept a book of Hitler’s speeches by his bed. Or the talk in New York that in the ’90s he was reading “Mein Kampf.” Nein, he said. “I never had the book,” he said. “I never read the book. I don’t care about the book.”
Ranking the candidates by credit scores of supporters: Kasich's have the best credit, Sanders' the worst
Nearly 60% of Kasich's support comes from people with excellent credit (FICO 720-850).
Half or more of supporters for all candidates have excellent credit, including supporters of Trump (who brings up the rear at 49.8%).
Compiled from the story here.
Combined percentages of supporters with excellent and good credit scores / combined percentages of supporters with fair and bad credit scores:
Kasich 86 / 14
Rubio 69 / 31
Trump 69 / 31
Cruz 68 / 32
Clinton 67 / 33
Sanders 66 / 34.
Rubio's in second because of the difference between 68.65% of support coming from from the good side for himself and 68.6% for Trump. Before rounding Cruz trails Trump in each category by 0.5 points.
Flashback: In 2006 Barack Obama sounded just like Donald Trump on illegal immigration
Here.
Make sure to click the speaker icon at the link to hear Obama himself recite these and other relevant lines in the audio version of his book.
Famous libertarian takes test, finds out he's a LEFTIST
Yet more evidence that conservatives should dump the libertarians, who belong in the Democrat Party, not the Republican.
Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson took the test at isidewith.com, reported here by CNBC:
"The candidate that most paired up with my beliefs is (Vermont Sen.) Bernie Sanders at 73 percent," the 2012 Libertarian candidate told CNBC in a phone interview this week from New Mexico.
Funny he needed a test to figure out where he really stands. How un-self-aware can you be? Apparently liberalism is more of a mental disorder than we knew, and marijuana-induced hallucinations less revelatory than he knew.
Johnson received almost 1% of the popular vote for president in 2012 running as a libertarian, but continues to insist "that the vast majority of the people in this country are libertarian".
Uh huh.
Saturday, March 19, 2016
Friday, March 18, 2016
NYT: Hillary needs a black opponent to win Democrat white men
While Mrs. Clinton swept the five major primaries on Tuesday, she lost white men in all of them, and by double-digit margins in Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, exit polls showed — a sharp turnabout from 2008, when she won double-digit victories among white male voters in all three states.
She also performed poorly on Tuesday with independents, who have never been among her core supporters. But white men were, at least when Mrs. Clinton was running against a black opponent: She explicitly appealed to them in 2008, extolling the Second Amendment, mocking Barack Obama’s comment that working-class voters “cling to guns or religion” and even needling him at one point over his difficulties with “working, hard-working Americans, white Americans.”
USA Today: Congress had a right to access Hillary Clinton’s emails as part of their investigation regardless of motive
Here:
Nevertheless, members of Congress, like reporters and the public, had a right to access Clinton’s emails as part of their investigation regardless of motive. And were it not for the dogged partisanship of Republicans and the actions of a hacker, Clinton’s private email system might never have come to light.
Nine days after the Benghazi attack, Congress asked for any State Department emails related to the subject. It took two years before Congress was given access to a single email from Clinton’s private account. By then, four House committees and two Senate committees had already issued their reports on the issue.
Ted Cruz has at most 423 delegates and NO path to 1237
Ted Cruz needs 814 more, almost 77% of the remaining 1059 delegates, to get to 1237.
Ain't gonna happen.
Update:
Cruz has won not quite 30% of the 1413 delegates already allocated.
To win 77% of the remaining delegates means improving his performance to date by 156%.
Update:
Cruz has won not quite 30% of the 1413 delegates already allocated.
To win 77% of the remaining delegates means improving his performance to date by 156%.
Trump needs at most 559 delegates: That's 52.78% of the 1059 remaining
Trump has accumulated at least 678 of 1413 delegates awarded so far, 47.98%.
Trump's current total of 678 will rise (to 690?) after Missouri is adjudicated, so he actually needs fewer than 559 delegates (547?).
Missouri expects to award Trump an additional 12 delegates on top of the current 25, as reported here:
On Wednesday, the Missouri Republican Party announced Trump had won 37 delegates, and Cruz won 15.
About only one third of remaining delegates come from states with proportional contests. The rest are in winner take all states.
Bonehead Erick Erickson should stop with the kooky Rick Perry shtick already
Noted here:
[A] meeting among a small group of “GOP operatives” and “conservative leaders" ... included talk of a third-party alternative to take on Trump in the general election.
One of the meeting’s participants, conservative radio host Erick Erickson, told Fox News on Thursday that the idea of a third-party bid was proposed at the meeting as a “final fallback option” to stop Trump.
... Earlier this year, Erickson publicly and privately pitched a potential third-party bid by former Texas Gov. Rick Perry, whose presidential campaigns in 2012 and this cycle did not catch fire. The effort became serious enough that a group of donors contacted Perry directly a few weeks ago, asking him to consider it, but he would not entertain the idea.
Thursday, March 17, 2016
Hey Mark Levin: There's nothing unconstitutional about a compact between the executive and the people . . .
. . . against a judiciary run amok and a congress which no longer represents the people.
It was done in England between the king and his subjects. It can be done here between the president and the voters.
The founders were wiser than you.
Let me translate this Ted Cruz statement for you
Cruz: Every Day Kasich Stays In The Race, It Benefits Donald Trump
Translation: Every day Kasich stays in the race hurts me.
Kasich isn't too smart: Neither Trump nor Cruz can win a general election
Here:
“Neither of those guys can win a general election,” he told reporters after a town hall-style event outside Philadelphia.
Oh yeah?
Ohio results from Tuesday:
Trump: 727,585
Clinton: 679,266
Missouri results from Tuesday:
Cruz: 380,367
Clinton: 310,602
Marco Rubio drops primary ballot challenge to John Kasich in Pennsylvania: Kasich short of the needed 2,000
So it wasn't a matter of principle at work to Rubio, just self-interest while he was still a candidate. Dropping the challenge now that he's out ensures that Rubio's spoiler strategy continues in the person of John Kasich. Denying Trump delegates is still the mission.
Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity keep misrepresenting Marco Rubio as a conservative. Little Marco's actions even now prove otherwise.
Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity keep misrepresenting Marco Rubio as a conservative. Little Marco's actions even now prove otherwise.
From the story here:
The Kasich campaign's lawyer had agreed that Kasich's paperwork was eight valid signatures short of the 2,000 required, but he maintained that the challenge was invalid because it was filed after the deadline.
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
Florida's Rick Scott joins three other governors endorsing Trump
Noted here:
Florida Gov. Rick Scott is calling on the Republican Party to come together and support Donald Trump. ... Trump has earned the endorsements of current governors Chris Christie of New Jersey, Paul LePage of Maine, and Jan Brewer, the former governor of Arizona.
Told you so: Trump needs only to maintain his current level of support to win, not increase it
The New York Times, here:
If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.
With delegate allocation still incomplete at Real Clear Politics after yesterday's primaries, Donald Trump needs to garner less than 53% of the remaining delegates to win, a level consistent with his actual performance at the beginning of March (see here).
Trump has consistently needed between 50% and 54% of outstanding delegates to win throughout the period to date since February contests ended.
With his wins yesterday the percentage needed is moving back toward 50%, indicating his momentum is increasing.
Trump has consistently needed between 50% and 54% of outstanding delegates to win throughout the period to date since February contests ended.
With his wins yesterday the percentage needed is moving back toward 50%, indicating his momentum is increasing.
John Boehner voted for Kasich yesterday, calls Cruz "lucifer" and wants Paul Ryan if no one wins the primaries
Here:
"If we don't have a nominee who can win on the first ballot, I'm for none of the above," Boehner said at the Futures Industry Association conference here. "They all had a chance to win. None of them won. So I'm for none of the above. I'm for Paul Ryan to be our nominee."
Trump crushes previous nominees' performance yesterday and Limbaugh talks John Kasich, Marco Rubio and a shooting story
A speech last night by Marco Rubio suspending his campaign proves to Limbaugh that Marco is the real deal while his one accomplishment in an otherwise feckless Senate career proves otherwise, that's what you should be thinking about.
Maybe Rush is waiting for the drugs to kick in.
Trump 2016 handily beats both McCain in 2008 and Romney in 2012 in OH, IL, FL, MO, NC primaries by 39% (but not Romney in NC)
Ohio: McCain 636,256 Romney 460,831 Trump 727,832 (Trump by 14% over McCain)
Illinois: McCain 426,777 Romney 435,859 Trump 548,528 (Trump by 26% over Romney)
Florida: McCain 701,761 Romney 776,159 Trump 1,075,094 (Trump by 39% over Romney)
Missouri: McCain 194,145 Romney 63,882 Trump 382,093 (Trump by 97% over McCain)
North Carolina: McCain 383,085 Romney 638,601 (both were May cleanup primaries by the defacto nominees), Trump 458,151
Overall Trump by 39%: McCain 2.34 million Romney 2.37 million Trump 3.2 million
Republican primary turnout in 2016 up 52% from 2008 in OH, IL, FL, MO and NC, Democrat enthusiasm in 2008 still beats by 9%
2008: 5.05 million
2016: 7.66 million
In the five states mentioned Republicans are voting in numbers 17.5% higher than Democrats in 2016.
In 2008 Democrats had all the enthusiasm: Democrats turned out in numbers 65% higher than Republicans.
Democrat turnout in these states in 2008 still beats Republican turnout in 2016 by 9%.
Democrat primary turnout down 22% overall from 2008 in OH, IL, FL, MO and NC combined
2008: 8.35 million
2016: 6.52 million
Missouri Primary 2016 turnout up 50% among Republicans, down 25% among Democrats compared to 2008
With Missouri still officially too close to call but with Trump in the lead by 1,726 votes in the Republican primary over Ted Cruz, turnout in 2016 is running 0.9 million v 0.6 million in 2008, up 50%.
Democrat turnout is down 25% at 0.6 million in 2016 v 0.8 million in 2008 with Hillary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders by 1,531 votes.
North Carolina Primary 2016 turnout about equal for both parties, just like in 2012
Republicans turned out 1.1 million in 2016 while Democrats turned out 1.08 million, rising just 13% and 11% over 2012 respectively.
In 2012 each party turned out 0.97 million in North Carolina (Obama of course was the Democrat incumbent president that year; Romney swept with almost 66% of the vote).
In 2008 Republicans turned out only 0.5 million (McCain swept with 74%) while 1.6 million Democrats duked out their contest between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton.
Clinton lost to Obama by 230,000 votes in 2008, but in 2016 she has beaten Bernie Sanders by 156,000.
Trump's victory over Cruz in 2016 is by less than 40,000 votes.
Florida Republican Primary 2016 turnout up big as homeboys Trump and Rubio duke it out
Democrat turnout fell slightly from 1.75 million in 2008 to 1.66 million in 2016, about 5%.
Florida's closed Republican primary saw 2016 turnout rise to 2.27 million from 1.95 million in 2008 and 1.7 million in 2012, up 16% and 34% respectively.
Illinois Primary 2016 turnout up 53% among Republicans, unchanged among Democrats
Democrat turnout in the primary in 2016 was about the same as in 2008: 1.97 million v 2 million.
Republican turnout was considerably higher in 2016 over prior years. In both 2008 and 2012 Republicans turned out 0.9 million voters, but this year it's up to 1.38 million, 53% higher.
The reason?
Well it ain't Ted Cruz.
In Ohio it looks like independents came out big for John Kasich yesterday
Democrat primary turnout in 2008 in Ohio was 2.2 million (in 2012 0.5 million for the incumbent Obama), but in the 2016 contest last night it struggled to round off at 1.2 million.
On the Republican side, turnout yesterday in Ohio was 2 million in contrast to 2008 and 2012 when turnout was 1.1 million and 1.2 million respectively.
Since Republicans and independents only could vote in the Republican primary in Ohio, not Democrats, it looks like independent support for the Ohio governor carried the day for John Kasich yesterday.
Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Little Marco finally drops out of the race for president
The Hill reports here:
Marco Rubio dropped out of the Republican presidential race on Tuesday night after losing badly to Donald Trump in his home state of Florida.
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