Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Daniel Gross: "To Spend Money We Don't Have is Vital"

Ah, no, but for some Americans there is no choice.

Daniel Gross for The New York Times here protests that he's witnessed a "frugality" kick twice in America and has lived to see us shake it off both times. He points to signs which he thinks show that Americans may be doing that once again because total debt is up, and boy is he happy about it.

What he won't say honestly, however, is that total debt continues its inexorable rise because while consumers have in fact cut back, government has stepped into the breach to make up for it. A good little Keynesian that Daniel Gross.

Unfortunately, it's the poorest Americans who are spending more, and it's because they must.

Sara Murray for The Wall Street Journal here points out that for the poorest quintile, spending rose 5.6% in 2009 from 2007 while experiencing at the same time a 5.5% drop in their after-tax income. Food spending alone for this group went up 15.4% in 2009 from 2007, because of rising prices. To make ends meet, they are using up what little savings they have left, and . . . tapping credit!

Meanwhile the middle quintile's spending in 2009 is down 3.5% from 2008, and 3.1% from 2007. Overall, Americans are spending 2.8% less in 2009 than in 2008, including the rich.

Many of these statistics are "firsts". And if the Bush tax cuts are allowed to expire, another first will be inflicted on the poorest Americans by benevolent, compassionate liberalism: a 50% tax increase when the 10% bracket disappears and reverts to 15%.