Republican Iowa Caucus actual final results v Real Clear Politics poll averages on the day of the election:
Trump: 24.3 v 28.6, overestimated by 17.7%
Cruz: 27.6 v 23.9, underestimated by 13.4%
Rubio: 23.1 v 16.9, underestimated by 36.7%
Carson: 9.3 v 7.7, underestimated by 17.2%
Paul: 4.5 v 4.1, underestimated by 8.9%
Bush: 2.8 v 4.1, overestimated by 46.4%
Average miss for the top six: 23.4%
Average miss for the top three: 22.6%
