Breakthrough cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in wretched data manipulating Tennessee in Sep 2021: 16%, 13%, 15% respectively

Breakthrough hospitalizations and deaths showed modest declines compared to August proportions of 14% and 17% respectively. Since hospitalizations and deaths are lagging indicators, however, the rise in breakthrough cases from 14% to 16% may be a harbinger of more bad news in Tennessee.

The data isn't presented in a straightforward manner. Subtract the percentages shown in the table from 100 to get the breakthrough figures. I can imagine some idiot looking at that table, wondering what the hell he's lookin' at.

Vaccines do not make one bulletproof, as story after story makes plain. This is especially the case for the elderly, for whom the risk of death is the highest, vaccinated or not. Waning vaccine effectiveness is only the second biggest concern facing this group.

But in Tennessee you wouldn't know risk of death is highest if you are old anyway, if you relied on Tennessee's COVID statewide dashboard, hilariously entitled "unified command". You won't find death information visualized anywhere, let alone by age. Cases are visualized by age, which is even more misleading to the elderly since cases abound among the younger tranches, not the older.

You really have to hunt for the death data on a different page and download the data in XLS format from a long list of available data sets entitled "Daily Age Group Outcomes- Statewide case outcomes by age group", and then do the math. And do you see the word "death" in there anywhere?

It's really irresponsible. It's almost like Tennessee is trying to hide the deaths from its old people, and throw shade on the vaccines, by publishing the breakthrough data in a weird way, at the same time. A conspiracy theorist would say they're tryin' to get rid of 'em, real quiet like.

I count 13,119 deaths in TN to date from COVID in people 61 years of age or older, which is about 82% of all the pandemic deaths in the state.

Tennessee really, really sucks at this.

 

 

Suddenly Oklahoma is not showing breakthrough data like it had been

Last week's PROPORTION OF BREAKTHROUGH CASES BY MONTH OF ONSET AS OF OCTOBER 11, 2021 showed the percent of cases vaccinated for October to date at 9.8%, the highest for any month yet.

This week the table is missing, with this message:

At this time, we are currently working on refining the process for identifying breakthrough infections and reinfections. Once we have finalized this process, we will resume providing tables on breakthrough infections and reinfections.

I'm sure it's nothing. 

 

Meanwhile The Grauniad can't decide whether record STDs constitute a crisis which is serious or waning

While neglected, the STI crisis presents a serious public health problem. ...

But Harvey warns that a coordinated effort by national health agencies such as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the National Institutes of Health and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services is needed to combat the waning STI crisis.

Here.

You can always count on THE GRAUNIAD to be clear as mud.

Something special about white people: STD cases make sixth consecutive new annual high in 2019, but it is not a non-Hispanic White heterosexual people problem according to CDC

Maybe we should cut down on the immigration:

 

 

More than 2.5 million cases of chlamydia, gonorrhea & syphilis reported in 2019.

Rates for African American or Black people were 5-8 times that of non-Hispanic White people.

Rates for American Indian or Alaska Native and Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander people were 3-5 times that of non-Hispanic White people.

Rates for Hispanic or Latino people were 1-2 times that of non-Hispanic White people.

Gay and bisexual men make up nearly half of all 2019 primary and secondary syphilis cases.

Gonorrhea rates were 42 times that of heterosexual men in some areas.

More. 

CDC is capitalizing White people now.

Thank you.

You people just don't understand performance art when you see it, especially this rich tapestry of intersectionality combining race, class, and gender issues

A Mount Holyoke College professor of art and Asian studies has been sentenced to 10-12 years in the slammer for nearly killing her female colleague who "should have known" she was in love with her:

Rie Hachiyanagi, an arts professor at Mount Holyoke College, was sentenced to 10 to 12 years in prison on Wednesday over the 2019 attack on fellow professor Lauret Savoy, MassLive reports. ...

When the victim let her in, Hachiyanagi bludgeoned her with a rock, fireplace poker and garden shears during a twisted, four-hour attack. ...

Hachiyanagi — who specializes in handmade paper crafts and performance art — had allegedly driven to the victim’s house uninvited the night of Dec. 23, claiming she “wanted to talk about her feelings,” according to a police report.

Once inside, she began attacking the victim, who is over the age of 60, with a myriad of household objects, including rocks, garden clippers and a fire poker, WWLP reported.

More here and here.

Price of one year at Mount Holyoke College in 2019-20: $67,578 for tuition, room, and board. Performance art included at no extra charge.

Can't we all just get along?

 

 

WaPo: Republicans have taken vulgarity to a whole other level (maybe because Joe Biden sucks really bad?)

The current eruption of anti-Biden signs and chants, however, is on another level, far more vulgar and widespread. 

It's the widespread that upsets them, not the vulgarity.

Welcome to what, wave 6?, in which Doris gets her oats, but not in China

 

Anthony Fauci actually predicted at least three times that mass vaccination against C19 would prevent a case surge

Fauci predicted this on December 15, 2020 and again on April 28, 2021.

It turns out he said the same thing as late as June 3:

Having about 50% of adults fully vaccinated and about 62% of adults having received at least one dose across the US as a whole means “as a nation, I feel fairly certain you’re not going to see the kind of surges we’ve seen in the past,” Fauci said. 

Three strikes, NPR, WSJ, CNN, and you are out!

Tuberculosis bacteria spread through tiny aerosolized particles in the air, just like SARS-CoV-2

The report indicated scientists believe as much as 90% of the tuberculosis disease released by an infected person could be carried in the aerosol particles. ...

It was previously believed transmission primarily occurred through coughing, which sprayed heavy droplets containing the bacteria onto others, according to the New York Times report.

Research throughout the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic increasingly found the virus also spread through the air in tiny particles, though that mode of transmission was not fully appreciated in the early stages of the pandemic.

More.

This Drudge headline from Oct 12 is utterly false and irresponsible and doesn't represent what the story or the Feds say about aspirin

"However, this Task Force recommendation is not for people already taking aspirin for a previous heart attack or stroke; they should continue to do so unless told otherwise by their clinician."

The word "stop" never occurs in the story.

When liberty is gone

 When liberty is gone,

Life grows insipid, and has lost its relish.

-- Joseph Addison

By the way, there was no fresh kale, or broccoli crowns, at the grocery store yesterday

Frozen green beans again tonight. 

This shortage business is really weird.

I'm thinking it's not a shortage of product but of help. The store manager was actually working the produce section, spreading out the cabbages where what I was looking for went so that the shelves didn't look so barren.

Checkout was handled by another store manager, who complained "no one wants to work on weekends".

Delaware has added over 300 deaths since achieving 52% fully vaccinated on July 22

 

Vermont was 66% fully vaccinated by July 4th, total announced deaths took off in August anyway

 

Climate Update for KGRR: September 2021

 

 

 

 

 

Climate Update for KGRR: September 2021

Max T 86, Mean 88

 

Min T 47, Mean 37 (tied for second highest minimum temperature on record with 1933; only 2019 and 2016 had higher minimums at 48; once again, so-called "global warming" is more a story of moderating at the cold end of the spectrum than of heating at the high end)

 

Av T 65.6, Mean 62.8 (actual to date is running 4.2% above mean to date)

 

Rain 3.34, Mean 3.59 (actual to date is down to just 0.69 above mean to date, or 2.6%; but October precipitation is already well ahead of normal to date, by 1.4; La Nina!)

 

Cooling Degree Days 70, Mean 75

CDD to date 870, Mean 691 (26% higher; the season will crack the list of warmest 20 summers on record; recall that the previous Heating Degree Day season was the 15th mildest winter on record)

 

Oceanic Nino Index shows a moderate La Nina in the 2020-2021 year just past

 

 

The anomaly at or below -0.5 persisted for 10 out of 12 overlapping periods in the 2020-2021 measuring season. For the first two periods of the 2021-2022 measuring season the anomaly continues in the negative at sum -0.9. The deepest anomaly in the last season was -1.3 in the October-November-December period, which is considered neither weak nor strong, but middling.

The trend toward lower ONI values since 1951 is consistent with wetter conditions in the Upper Midwest of the US, and greater incidence of tropical storms in the Atlantic from the 1980s. There is no need to adduce "global warming":

the historical tropical storm count record does not provide compelling evidence for a greenhouse warming induced long-term increase.

 

LOL Trump is still president: Biden to reimplement Remain in Mexico policy for migrants after a federal court ruling in August

 Story.

 

 

Hi, I'm Matt Drudge and welcome to my site where I promote estrogen

 

WaPo: 4 women and a guy named Hasan from Canada say "country music bad" lol

Gina from San Jose, Christina from South Dakota, Candy from Oklahoma, and Jackie from San Diego.

Story.

 

LOL, supply shortage hits reporting: CNBC relies on Reuters, a blog, and FOX Business for shipping container transportation costs data

 

On Oct. 7, there were reportedly around 60 container ships waiting in open water outside Los Angeles and Long Beach for berths to dock in and unload their goods. Before the pandemic, it was unusual to see even one vessel waiting for a slip. ...

Skyrocketing costs are also part of the problem. Over the past year, the cost to have one container shipped by freighter from China to the West Coast has soared from around $3,000 in Aug. 2020 to more than $20,000 in September of this year.

More.