Tuesday, February 5, 2019

When news reports boast that Michigan's Consumers Energy has 300-350 billion cubic feet of natural gas in storage, that's not really true either

Working gas available is hardly 49% of the current 308.8 billion cubic feet total storage reported by Consumers Energy, or only 150.9 billion cubic feet.

From all companies in Michigan available working gas in storage is only 671 billion cubic feet, not the much-vaunted 1.1 trillion cubic feet. Still, Michigan has more capacity than any other state. Its stored working gas would supply the needs of 4.3 million average households for one year before needing to be restocked, or about 11 million people for one year. Michigan's population is 10 million. Business users are not included in this math.

But when a mere compressor fire nearly incapacitates one utility's ability to service all of its 2 million customers when they need heat the most, think what an Electro Magnetic Pulse event might do.

That's what keeps me up at night. 

The Michigan Public Service Commission clearly states in footnote one to "Michigan Natural Gas Storage Field Summary":

Working gas means the maximum gas that can be cycled in and out of straoge [sic, read "storage"].  Base Gas means gas that is not cycled in and provides pressure support. 


In 2016 Consumers Energy's three main natural gas storage fields had working capacity of 95 billion cubic feet


Michigan's natural gas debacle last week went misreported because of an opaque, indifferent utility and stupid reporters

Over and over again we heard that the facility where there was a fire last week accounted for 64% of the utility's supply of natural gas to its customers in Michigan. And we're still hearing that today in some reports. Unfortunately, this isn't really true. It's unnecessarily alarming. 

The Ray field at Macomb has 41 billion cubic feet of stored natural gas, as only The Detroit News noted at the time, but during a normal winter when Consumers Energy pumps 2.5 billion cubic feet a day, the utility is supplying 150 billion cubic feet in two months' time. It can't all come from Macomb's storage, obviously. It's piped in from all over to be compressed at Macomb and at other stations. The problem isn't the supply, just as the utility indeed kept emphasizing, stating in various reports that Consumers has 300-350 billion cubic feet of stored gas. The problem was too much of the utility's compressor capability (64%) is centralized at Macomb, which they didn't want to emphasize when it suddenly went off-line automatically in the wake of the fire. Examine the news accounts and you will see that the reporters simplistically characterized these details and misled the public.

Critics of Consumers Energy's paltry $3 million in infrastructure spending over the last five years have a point. This utility in Michigan is notorious for spending more dark money than any other to influence politics. Now that they've had this fire, they'll have to spend more on infrastructure, but it remains for Consumers Energy to install more redundancy in its system to prevent against what happened last week. But don't hold your breath. The utility is as unlikely to do what is best for Michigan as reporters are likely suddenly to become more intelligent.

God forbid we have an EMP. I doubt any of this infrastructure would function properly after such an event, redundancy or no.

That's what alarms me. 


On Wednesday night, as temperatures dropped to -43 degrees with the wind chill, Consumers Energy sent an emergency message to Michiganders' cell phones asking them to turn down their thermostats to 65 degrees. 

That followed a similar plea from Consumers Energy CEO Patti Poppe, who reported a Wednesday explosion that damaged a Consumers Energy facility that accounts for 64 percent of its supply. In a Facebook message, Poppe urged Michiganders to "protect the system" by turning down the heat. 

But many Michiganders responded to Poppe's plea with defiance on social media during the emergency, frustrated with being asked to pay ever-increasing rates to a private company that essentially runs a monopoly.

The facility where there was a fire is a compressor facility tasked with the job of pressurizing natural gas for its pipeline network. The facility accounts for 64% of pressurized supply, not 64% of supply, a key detail still not reported clearly in the media, which at the time unnecessarily alarmed the public during a period of dangerous, bitter cold weather. 


The Ray plant contributes a maximum of 64 percent of the company's daily average of 2.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas to customers. Before gas can be put into the pipeline system, however, it needs to be compressed. The Ray station sits above Consumers' largest underground natural gas storage area with a capacity of 41.2 billion cubic feet of storage. Overall, Ray can compress 117 million cubic feet of gas per day, reaching pressures of 1,800 pounds per square inch. ...

"Most of the damage was on plant two. We have plant one flowing and three mostly has heat-related damage. We are working on that now," [VP Garrick Rochow] said. "Plant three will take maybe three weeks to get back online. Plant two is more significant. It was closer to the fire and flames and heat. It looks like it originated there. It is out for the season, but not going to impact ability to deliver to customers."

The layout of the Ray facility, which was built out over time, is three separate buildings and three separate plants on the site at 69338 Omo Road, in Armada Township. Station No. 3, which was built in 2011, is the largest of the three.

"We don't know what activated the fire gate system," Rochow said. "We are looking at that. We do know that in the process of venting the gas that the natural gas caught fire. There was a fireball like in the pictures. As a precautionary measure, plant 1 and 2 were in operation and fire-gated. Personnel fire-gated the entire facility. When that occurred, probably 50 yards separated the buildings .... gas from plants one and two caught fire."

Rochow said it is unclear why automatic controls vented the system and how the gas caught fire. "We can see the sequence of events but still looking at the reasons," he said. ...

But Rochow said one lesson Consumers might have learned is that the plants might still be too close to one another, given the fact that venting of gas of all stations at the same time led to the fireball igniting everything at once.

"We have systems there and the proximity of the systems has eliminated (favorable) redundancy," he said. "We will learn from it and think about how investments can create more redundancy on that particular site."

Monday, February 4, 2019

Not hiring whitey: 82% of new jobs since Republican tax cuts went to minorities

2.159 million new jobs added, but 1.765 million of them went to minorities, not whites. Hispanics received over 52% of the new jobs.

Thanks Donald Judas Trump! Thanks a lot! Thanks corporate bigots! Thanks a lot!



Winning


The Rams . . . won't be coming . . . to The White House


The Times of Israel never heard of Sid Luckman and Fred Biletnikoff evidently, nor of the priority of matrilineal descent

Alzado was never mvp

Sunday, February 3, 2019

We hate the ads you libertarian fool, every last one of them is offensive or stupid, like you


Grand Rapids, Michigan, Climate Update for January 2019

Grand Rapids, Michigan, Climate Update for January 2019

Max Temp 51, Mean Max Temp 48
Min Temp -10, Mean Min Temp -3
Av Temp 21.8, Mean Av Temp 23.7
Precip 2.9, Mean Precip 2.06
Snow 30.5, Mean Snow 18.6
Snow Season To Date 48.1, Snow Mean Season To Date 41.4
Heating Degree Days 1333, Mean Heating Degree Days 1272
HDD Season To Date 3805, Mean HDD Season To Date 3758

So after all the drama of the last week, using HDD we are just 1.25% colder than the mean, season to date.


Real Clear Politics at this hour has the guy who was for segregation in 1975 as the Democrat front-runner in Iowa

White guy by a mile. Maybe the black candidates need to adjust their policy positions.


Hillary was just fine with Northam and raised money for him less than two years ago

Hoo wee, that's some vetting process they've got there, now ain't it?





Kathy Tranny-turns on a dime

No one is safe around Kathy Tran.

The alt-right isn't too hot for "victim heirarchy", which is merely the flipside of proportional justice

Without proportional justice, an eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth, you're back to Draco where every crime is punishable by death because you couldn't think of a more appropriate punishment. Of course, when your entire political party is responsible for the deaths of tens of millions of infants in the womb, the entire party must pay.

Persistent injustice inflames the passions, suspending the thinking function.




Saturday, February 2, 2019

But, but . . . you loved me when I got elected


Joe Biden, outed on Friday for opposing desegregation in 1975, says Gov. Northam (D-VA) should resign for racism

Old Joe is pretty confident the furies aren't coming for him. Either that or he doesn't know yet that he's been outed.

Ralph, the one in the hood, check ✔️


Actually, Planned Parenthood doesn't want anything with a black face to go full term


Ed Gillespie had a stunning loss to Northam because everyone in Virginia knew who the real friend of white people was

CNBC 11/7/17: Democrat Ralph Northam elected governor of Virginia:

  • Northam led Gillespie by nine points late Tuesday, a margin of victory that stunned political analysts and pollsters, who had expected the race to be close.

Northam’s margin of victory stunned political analysts and pollsters, many of whom had predicted that the race would be extremely tight. [Northam +3.3 lol]

Gov. Coonman (D-VA): That's not me in blackface on that page for Ralph Northam

"I think I'll have another beer" is the guy in the hood talkin' then.

Stonewall Coonman is his real name, I think.

That Gov. Coonman (D-VA) is one wily cracker, has plausible deniability because of the hood, which is why they wear them, same as Antifa