Just now on The Steve Gruber Show.
Tuesday, March 8, 2016
Monday, March 7, 2016
Trump is deliberately not countering opposition TV ads on TV, using Facebook and Twitter instead: Huge mistake?
He's also using ads during conservative talk radio programs, but overall his is a very risky strategy which may already explain why Trump is not farther ahead than he should be.
This may spell big trouble, dead ahead.
Facebook and Twitter require active participation. Television is passive and reaches more people. Facebook is ubiquitous but the irony is the owner is the big player behind the amnesty enemy. And Twitter is a sewer dominated by the thug left. They'll never vote for him anyway. At best he communicates effectively only with those who already support him.
Trump is proud of winning on a dime against losers like Bush who spent millions, but I don't think the strategy is sustainable.
This is crunch time, and Trump's not crunching.
Trump still has a big problem on H-1B flip-flop, appearance on Savage Nation today did nothing to assuage fears he's just telling people what they want to hear
Sympathetic critics like Laura Ingraham are exactly right that the time has long since passed for Trump to stop winging it, show more discipline, and spend some money on TV ads.
We're voting for him in Michigan tomorrow, but I predict Trump is going to disappoint us going forward even more than he already has.
It's almost as if he's prepared to hand this thing over to Ted Cruz, who doesn't give a fig for anything but himself.
One way or another, we're going to get the government we deserve, good and hard.
From the story here:
"Furious supporters of Donald Trump . . . are now FORMER supporters of Trump".
Mark Steyn gives Kathy Shaidle a mention on the Rush Limbaugh Show
Quotes her hoping that Trump doesn't turn out like that other Austrian . . ..
The remaining candidates' wives
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| Jeanette Rubio |
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| Karen Kasich |
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| Heidi Cruz |
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| Melania Trump |
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| Jane O'Meara Sanders |
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| Mr. Hillary Clinton |
Does Mark Steyn actually oppose Donald Trump?
It seems so.
He just said in the opener today that Trump needs 58% of the remaining delegates to clinch the nomination, which to Steyn appears to be too difficult to accomplish.
This just isn't so.
Trump needs 53.6% of the remaining, the least of all the candidates and close to his level of support through Super Tuesday.
That's 853 delegates, after Rubio won Puerto Rico yesterday, out of 1592 remaining.
Cruz needs 937, which is 58.9% of the remaining.
Steyn appears to have Cruz mixed up with Trump.
Was that on purpose?
Michigan Republicans boo Romney the "loser", call for his deportation
Byron York reports here:
Trump instinctively sensed that he could bash Romney in Romney's home state with no consequences at all. "This guy Romney came out yesterday," Trump began, which brought on lots and lots of boos. "The hatred he has, the jealousy, the hatred, it's hard to believe."
More boos. "You guys should like him, right?" Trump said. Still more boos.
'Deport Romney!" yelled a man in the crowd.
"Thank you," said Trump.
"Loser," yelled a woman near me.
The anger and frustration did not stop with political figures. A number of people complained to me about conservative media, which they believe hasn't treated Trump fairly. "I'm a National Review reader," said a man who walked up to me during Trump's speech. "I can't even look at the site anymore. It looks like Salon. Nine stories tearing [Trump] apart, man. I don't get it."
Sunday, March 6, 2016
Turnout in Republican primaries is nearly 49% higher than in Democrat contests to date
Popular votes for Republicans are running at 10.1 million vs. 6.8 million for Democrats, unless you count Rubio and Kasich as Democrats, in which case Democrats are winning by 35%.
Unify the party you poster boys for prophylactics.
Trump popular vote in LA, KS, ME and KY yesterday beat both Romney in 2012 and McCain in 2008
Trump garnered 230,443 votes in Louisiana, Kansas, Maine and Kentucky yesterday, beating Romney's total in 2012 (north of 174,000) and McCain's total in 2008 (north of 214,000). Ted Cruz received 230,209 popular votes.
In Kentucky neither Trump nor Cruz beat Romney or McCain but together the first and second place finishers yesterday garnered north of 154,000 votes, beating Romney's 117,000 in 2012 and McCain's 142,000 in 2008, both late May contests in those years unlike in 2016.
Turnout in Kentucky in 2016 exceeded 225,000, eclipsing the previous contests significantly. In 2012 turnout was only 176,000, even weaker than 2008's 185,000. Enthusiasm for Romney in 2012 had also been down in Louisiana, where McCain previously in 2008 had mustered 18,000 more votes than Romney did four years later.
In Louisiana, Kansas and Maine Trump beat Romney 2.6:1 and McCain 2:1 despite losing Kansas and Maine to Cruz yesterday, who himself obliterated Romney in Kansas 5.8:1 and McCain 8.75:1. In Maine Cruz crushed Romney 4:1 and McCain 8:1. Cruz yesterday beat the former GOP candidates for president 2.75:1 and 2.2:1 in Louisiana, Kansas and Maine combined.
Despite Trump winning the popular vote yesterday by 234 votes in the four contests, Cruz won 16 more delegates than Trump.
Ted Cruz is a "me too" wall builder and is soft on illegal immigration: Trump's central ideas in June 2015 speech predate Cruz' by five months
Noted here:
Cruz unveiled his immigration plan in November, the first plank of which is to "build a wall that works" — a suggestion that his call for more border agents, surveillance and biometric entry-exit tracking is simply a more sophisticated version of Trump's blunt-force proposals. "The unsecured border with Mexico invites illegal immigrants, criminals, and terrorists to tread on American soil. I will complete the wall," the plan says in yet another nod to Trump.
Not only did it take five months for Cruz to copy Trump's ideas, the only wall Ted Cruz ever mentioned in his own speech announcing his run for president in March 2015 was the Berlin Wall.
Securing the border is just a one-liner in the speech among many other one-liners, and unlike Trump Cruz emphasized legal immigration in the speech, a nod to his long-suspected softness on the issue:
(APPLAUSE)
Imagine abolishing the IRS.
(APPLAUSE)
Instead of the lawlessness and the president’s unconstitutional executive amnesty, imagine a president that finally, finally, finally secures the borders.
(APPLAUSE)
And imagine a legal immigration system that welcomes and celebrates those who come to achieve the American dream.
(APPLAUSE)
Instead of a federal government that wages an assault on our religious liberty, that goes after Hobby Lobby, that goes after . . ..
Peter Beinart notes leftists are upset with liberals who won't "undo systemic justice"
Leave the typo as it is, Peter. You got it right the first time.
The Detroit News adopts Mitt Romney's talking points against Trump ahead of the primary, but still won't tell us how it really feels
Here, calling him an opportunist, shallow, delusional, volatile and a fraud.
What, that's all?
How it holds back I can hardly tell!
"He may not be a racist, misogynist, nativist xenophobe. But too often he sure sounds like one."
Come on, why don't you tell us how you really feel, Nolan?
Cowards. Just like Romney.
John Kasich, lunatic Bushie who wants to start a hot war with Russia over Ukraine, Finland or Sweden
From the debate in Detroit:
In Russia, we need to tell them we're going to arm the Ukrainians with defensive lethal weapons. And we're going to tell Putin if you attack anybody in Eastern Europe in NATO, you attack Finland and Sweden, which is not in NATO, consider it an attack on us. And he will understand that.
Representative Dana Rohrabacher (CA-48) says "This is belligerent nonsense".
Momentum for all GOP candidates has slowed since Super Tuesday, but Trump's Mo is still tops
Momentum for all GOP candidates was slowed by Super Saturday yesterday, but Trump retains the easiest path to 1,237 despite a bitter attack from Mitt Romney and the establishment on Thursday morning and an ugly debate in Detroit on Thursday evening.
After Super Tuesday, Trump needed 51.45% of remaining delegates* to clinch the nomination with 1,237. Now he needs 52.57% of the remaining after Saturday's contests. His Mo has slowed by 2.2% but overall remains better than Cruz', who did well yesterday with indignant Christian Kansans and oddball libertarian Mainers.
Cruz has seen his Mo slow the least of all the candidates yesterday, needing 56.67% of remaining delegates after Super Tuesday to needing 57.64% now, or slowing by just 1.7%.
Rubio and Kasich, however, have both had flat tires on their journey to 1,237 yesterday.
After Super Tuesday, Rubio needed an untenable 63.17% of remaining delegates, but now he needs 68.17%. His Mo is down 7.9%.
And Kasich not only had a flat yesterday, his ball joint broke, too. Needing 67.93% of remaining delegates after Super Tuesday, he needs 73.62% now. His Mo is down 8.4%. He clearly sees himself as a monkey wrench, attempting to yet queer both upcoming Michigan and Ohio just enough to set the conditions for a contested convention in his home state of Ohio this summer.
Not very sportsmanlike. But hey, that's the establishment for you.
*Don't forget Ben Carson who dropped out on Friday when calculating delegate allocations. He has eight in his pocket.
Saturday, March 5, 2016
Rubio and Kasich both want to send US ground troops in large numbers back to the Middle East
From the debate in Detroit:
BAIER: Gentlemen, the next topic to discuss is terrorism. Senator Rubio, ISIS is a big topic of conversation on Facebook. We have a map that shows the conservation about ISIS around the country. You proposed sending a larger number of American ground troops to help defeat ISIS in Syria and Iraq...
RUBIO: That's correct, and Libya. ...
KASICH: Fortunately in Libya, there's only a few cities on the coast, because most of Libya is a desert. The fact of the matter is, we absolutely have to be -- and not just with special forces. I mean, that's not going to work. Come on. You've got to go back to the invasion when we pushed Saddam Hussein out of Kuwait. We have to be there on the ground in significant numbers. We do have to include our Muslim Arab friends to work with us on that. And we have to be in the air.
And we -- it should be a broad coalition, made up of the kinds of people that were involved when we defeated Saddam. Now, you've got to be on the ground and in the air both in Syria and Iraq. And at some point, we will have to deal with Libya. I am very concerned about ISIS getting their hands on the oilfields in Libya and being able to fund their operations. The fact is cool, calm, deliberate, effective, take care of the job, and then come home. That's what we need to do with our military foreign policy.
Trump 2016 v McCain 2008 through the Super Tuesday primaries: Trump wins by 45%
Trump beats McCain in every state except for liberal Vermont, 3.358 million to 2.317 million:
IA: Trump .045m v McCain .016m
NH: .100m v .089m
SC: .239m v .148m
NV: .034m v .006m
GA: .501m v .305m
TN: .332m v .175m
VA: .355m v .244m
MA: .311m v .204m
VT: .019m v .028m
MN: .024m v .014m
AL: .371m v .211m
OK: .130m v .123m
AK: .007m v .002m
TX: .757m v .708m
AR: .133m v .044m.
Trump in 2016 also beats Romney in 2012 by 33%, 3.358 million votes to 2.519 million, losing to Romney only in Texas (prefers homeboy Ted Cruz) and Vermont (prefers liberals).
Incidentally, despite Romney outperforming McCain overall in this comparison which ought to be a natural outgrowth of increasing population, he underperformed McCain in Georgia, Tennessee, Virginia, Vermont, Minnesota, Alabama and Oklahoma in 2012, an ominous sign for Romney. There was little enthusiasm for the man in too many places, which his recent demonstrations of disloyalty only underscore.
But Trump is crushing them both.
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